DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The Tour Championship (2025)

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the Tour Championship (2025). His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Tour Championship. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this year -- if you want to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The Tour Championship

Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows users to input data to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide on everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The Tour Championship

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
• Units: +340.903 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2025
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look at a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

• $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
• You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space and includes work from Joe Nicely, Joe Idone, and myself.

You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Let's Look at the Stats

Field

Field Size: 30
Cut: No Cut
Top 20 Entrants: 19

Last Five Winners of The Tour Championship (Using no starting strokes)

Expected Cut-Line

East Lake

7,490 Yards - Par 71 - Greens Bermuda

Course breakdown will land in my Vegas Report this week

First Look Into Outright Bets

I believe both of those prices could continue rising if you are patient.

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Favorite Plays

Cameron Young ($7,900)

I am calling my Cameron Young fade last week a slight win in the grand scheme of things. Ownership was a little less than I expected, which does hurt the argument marginally since it detracts from me placing him third in projected popularity (ended up landing eighth), but I do think we were able to reap some of those benefits in various markets, including a nice Ludvig Aberg wager over Young throughout four days of golf.

I understand the sentiment around East Lake not being a great course fit for the American this week at its core, especially since finding fairways helps to deliver your actual scoring influence. However, I would argue that this is a better venue for him than we had last week because of the heightened impact he ended up receiving in multiple areas of my sheet.

My model ranked Young first in this field for Off-The-Tee returns at Donald Ross courses, third in Expected Putting and third when you re-weigh his recent form to fit the anticipated dispersion of scoring marks that we have gotten in the past at East Lake.

Gamers are going to be massively off Young, despite touting him for weeks, and my only argument I want to make is that if you liked him at the BMW Championship, consider this a higher upside spot to deliver some true GPP difference-making potential. For me, that is all you could ask for in a 30-man field at $7,900.

Harry Hall ($7,000)

While Cameron Young at least has the distance to overcome a wayward driver, Harry Hall is always going to have an issue with his big stick since it is impossible to get the data off the tee to look encouraging when you are middle-of-the-pack for length and as inaccurate as they come. Think a little of Ben Griffin in that sense.

When you hear that answer and get a chalky Hall to enter the mix, you might be asking yourself, "Why am I intrigued about his prospects?" But you don't have to look further than his overall return in other areas to understand that Hall's breakthrough this summer could be here to stay, even if any of those renditions have lacked actual top-five upside.

The putter is as good as it gets on tour, and his birdie-making skills are always there to be on display if he can find the short grass off the tee.

Rory McIlroy ($11,300)

To Scottie? Or not to Scottie?

For DFS, I would argue that if you believe Scheffler will 100% win and that this tournament is a race for second place, I wouldn't put money into DFS for the week. That's not because you are wrong (you very well might be correct), but in most contests, you will be playing against someone who is 65%+ owned and is going to give you limited chances to stand out in a 30-man field when there are no real spots to deviate with your lineup. Sure, with the contrarian route of that answer comes true zero-dollar back potential since you are drawing dead if/when Scottie wins. However, the only path to actually making real money in larger-field GPPs is to fade Scottie and hope he comes 3rd-10th. With that answer, gives us the golfer who is the best East Lake player over the last handful of years (when we realize Xander isn't here).

McIlroy's prospects have shifted too far away from the top of the board over the last few months, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him pop again late in the year. Think of the Triple Crown races for horse racing, where a horse looks unbeatable but gets taken down in the last leg by a fresher horse that didn't go through all three grueling stages in its attempt for glory.

McIlroy is that fresher horse and is highly fit for the course.

Dumpster Dives

Chris Gotterup ($6,600), Sungjae Im ($6,200)

You might be asking yourself, "how did Sungjae Im get to East Lake after a terrible season? Is it because he bought a home next to the course after falling in love with the area during his first trip to Atlanta and refused to be denied an extra week of playing golf since we see him in action weekly?

Even though I like that story better than the real one of him qualifying because of a few elevated events where he found success, I actually think East Lake is a quality spot for him to find success again (at minimal ownership) since everyone wants to talk about how bad of a season he has had in 2025.

While the iron play is the worst in the field (nearly one shot worse in 2025 versus where he was in 2024), this is the kind of venue that allows him to display his other attributes, which include a steady driver and short-game that is still allowing him to compete on tour.

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt

— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020

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