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Free NFL betting picks, odds, predictions for the Chiefs vs. Jaguars in the Divisional Round (2023). Our best bets and top NFL picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Saturday, January 21st, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Jaguars @ Chiefs
The Jaguars take on the Chiefs on Saturday, January 21st at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (14-3)
- Date: Saturday, January 21st, 2023
- Time: 4:30 PM ET
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Jaguars @ Chiefs
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Jacksonville Jaguars - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Jaguars knocked off the Chargers by a score of 31-30, giving them an important win over an AFC opponent. In terms of betting, Jacksonville picked up an ATS win, as they were the 2.0-point underdogs. Going into the game, the over-under total was set at 46 points, which the teams surpassed. Jacksonville went into the 4th quarter of the game, trailing by 10 at 30-20, but still came back to win and cover the spread as underdogs. For the season, the Jaguars have an ATS record of 9-9, along with an over-under mark of 9-9. This week's betting total of 52.0 is higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Jaguars' offense is averaging 24.2 points per game, placing them 10th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Chiefs defense giving up 21.7 points per game. Throughout the game, Jacksonville should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 10th-ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. Overall the Chiefs are the 18th-rated secondary in pass yards allowed.
Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
Kansas City last played the Las Vegas Raiders, winning by a margin of 31-13. The team not only won the game but also covered the -8.5 point spread as the betting favorite. With an over-under betting line of 52, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 44. On their way to picking up an 18-point win, Kansas City held a 18 point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 24-6. Through 17 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 6-11. So far, they have an over-under record of 8-9. This week's betting total of 52.0 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Chiefs' offense is averaging 29.2 points per game, placing them 1st in the NFL. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 12th-ranked defense, look for Kansas City to continue their strong offensive play. Throughout the game, Kansas City should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the top-ranked team in terms of passing yards. On the ground, Kansas City is sitting just 20th in rush yards per game but are 10th in yards per rush at 4.7 yards per carry.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Jaguars vs. Chiefs
As of late, the Chiefs have dominated the head-to-head matchups, winning each of the last 5 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-4, with the average scoring total coming in at 43.4 points. This week, the Jaguars will be looking for some revenge, as they already have one loss to the Chiefs this season. In the first game, Jacksonville fell by a score of 27-17. In addition to picking up the win, the Chiefs covered the spread as -8.5 point favorites.
The Kansas City Chiefs have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 4-1-0. On average, the Jaguars have averaged 14.6 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Kansas City at 28.8.
The Jaguars have posted a 3-0 record in their previous 3 games. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 1-2.
In their last 3 road games, Jacksonville has averaged 28.7 points per game while allowing 9.3. The team's record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Chiefs have gone 3-0 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
When looking at their past 3 home matchups, Kansas City has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 25.7 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Jaguars 8.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 52.0
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