First Basemen to Target or Avoid at ADP - Fantasy Baseball Draft Analysis

When I was growing up and really getting into baseball in the 1990s and 2000s, the first base position was chalked full of big-time sluggers that would be counted on to produce gaudy offensive numbers season after season -- especially in the HR and RBI departments. Let's look at 2006 for example. Why? Well, it […]

Noteworthy Hitting Leaders (xSLG) - Statcast Review for Fantasy Baseball

After diving into the xBA leaderboard last week, I'm continuing my look at Statcast metrics by turning our eye to the xSLG leaderboard. We'll go through some of the leaders in the hopes of not just giving you Statcast numbers but explaining how I believe those numbers impact the projections I have for the given […]

Analyzing Pitcher Fly Ball Data for Fantasy Baseball 2023

Pitchers don't have much of a say about what happens after a pitch they throw is put into play. There is a ton of randomness that occurs after a hitter makes contact with a ball, and that makes a lot of pitching statistics hard to trust. Getting ahead of this gives us an advantage. We […]

Noteworthy Hitting Leaders (xBA) - Statcast Review for Fantasy Baseball

While the fantasy baseball prep work has been ongoing for months for some, many fantasy managers are turning their attention over in more earnest as the calendar flips to February and the NFL season winds down. While there will be many prep strategy articles, the most basic starting place is to familiarize yourself with the […]

Four MLB Rookies Who Surged in September - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values

In 2022, we saw the MLB debuts of several up-and-coming top fantasy baseball prospects: Julio Rodríguez, Michael Harris II, Adley Rutschman, and Spencer Strider...to name a few. However there were many more "under-the-radar" prospects who produced quality rookie campaigns, and surged in September as a potential preview of what is to come in 2023. These […]

Catchers to Target and Avoid at ADP - Fantasy Baseball Draft Analysis

What's going on RotoBaller Family! For those that don't know me, my name is Eric Cross. In the past, you might have read my work at FantraxHQ, FantasyPros, or FTN Fantasy. I'll now be providing fantasy baseball content for RotoBaller, and couldn't be more excited to join the great RotoBaller team that is certainly on […]

Biggest Fantasy Baseball Breakout Hitters in 2022

It's always a blast to reminisce on the past, and today we've got a fun topic to discuss. We all love watching offensive-minded players, but a few in particular stood out this past season. Let's take a look! I hand-picked four players that outperformed their expectations in 2022. Alejandro Kirk, Nathaniel Lowe, Andrew Vaughn, and […]

Breakout Pitchers for 2023 Fantasy Baseball

Finding breakout starting pitchers is one of the most important things we have to do in order to win fantasy baseball leagues every season. In most leagues, an individual starting pitcher has more of an impact on a fantasy team than an individual hitter since they are throwing a higher percentage of your team's total […]

3 Fantasy Baseball Hitters Slated to Breakout Earlier Than Their Prime in 2023

Some ball players are just built differently. The superstars of the MLB world tend to break out well before their prime, far closer to the age of 20 than the generally accepted age-28 prime season. Let's be honest, even though he was promoted at the ripe age of 19, few expected Juan Soto to explode […]

Known-Skill Starting Pitcher Rankings - Predicting Future Stats for Fantasy Baseball

There is a lot of guesswork that goes into fantasy baseball. This is especially true when we're talking about starting pitchers. And all of this despite the fact that we have more metrics than we can even count about pitchers. You will see a ton of talk this year about fancy advanced pitch metrics. Spin, […]

Injury Agnostic SP Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball

It's hard to project injuries. Therefore, it's hard to project how many innings a pitcher will throw in a given year. Am I rocking any boats yet? Sure, Jacob deGrom is more likely to hit the IL this year than Gerrit Cole. There's no questioning that, and that should matter when you are drafting your […]

Hitter Bargains at Every Position - Comparing ATC Projections vs. ADP for Fantasy Baseball

We're officially in the full swing of the 2023 fantasy baseball season, with all of the projections you know and love finally being released into the wild. With those projections come the award-winning ATC projections from our own Ariel Cohen. Since coming on the scene, the smart-aggregated ATC has been one of the highest-rated systems, […]

Fantasy Baseball Hitters That Could Benefit Most From the Shift Ban

Major League Baseball is making some big changes ahead of the 2023 season. One of the most significant is the banning of the shift. You can read more about that here, but here's a quick summary from that article: "With all four infielders needing to be on the dirt, the days of the four-outfielder setup […]

Using Hitter Projections to Identify Probable Improvers for 2023 Fantasy Baseball

Hey everyone, it's Jon Anderson back again! I have recently finished my season-long hitter projection system, so now the fun begins! I will be writing at least a few pieces here that look at what the projections are telling us. This is my first year doing a projection system, so I don't exactly have a […]

Pitchers That Could Improve for 2023 Fantasy Baseball - Exploring K% Correlation

With all of the data at our fingertips, we can really do some interesting things in the offseason. We know that the strikeout rate is one of (if not the) most important metrics for a pitcher. It's hard to have success with a low strikeout rate, and it's a bit tough to not have success […]

5 Mispriced Hitters for Deeper Fantasy Baseball Leagues

It's January! We are barreling towards the draft season, and for some of the more ornery folk, the draft season has already begun. Typically, at this time of year, most of the drafts being completed are on The NFBC. A lot of these drafts are deep leagues, 50-round drafts with no trading or free agents. […]

Exploring Hard Contact for Pitchers - Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitchers to Upgrade in 2023

This is a follow-up post to another one I've written recently. In that post, I did all the heavy lifting of setting the framework for what I was doing and why it made some statistical sense. You should check that out here before reading this post. The crux of the argument is this. For starting […]

Fantasy Baseball Batted Ball Type Analysis - Predicting Ground Ball, Line Drive and Fly Ball Hitters

MLB data has become so rich that there are countless things we can study and write about. It's really the best sport by a large margin for player and event analysis. One of the most useful and interesting data points we have available to us concerns batted ball data. We hear a lot about launch […]

Pitchers: Strong Septembers to Remember for 2023 Fantasy Baseball Drafts

Earlier this week, we looked at hitters that had strong Septembers. I included some important context in the opening of that piece. It's very important to read, and I don't want to just repeat all of that - so go there and read that first. I will be picking out five notable starting pitchers that […]

Hitters: Strong Septembers to Remember for 2023 Fantasy Baseball Drafts

It is typically a bad idea to look at one month of baseball data and draw strong conclusions from it. How do you like that for an opening to a piece that will look at one month of data and draw conclusions from it? Before you do an irresponsible thing, it is at least good […]

Pitch Mix Analysis: Starting Fantasy Baseball Pitchers With Upside In Their Arsenal

If you are going to make a living as a Major League starting pitcher, you had better come to the table with more than one effective pitch. There are very rare exceptions, but exceptions do not disprove the rule. Starting pitchers need multiple useful offerings to have success, and that's especially true when we're talking […]

A Year to Remember: MLB Pitchers Who Had Career Years in 2022 Fantasy Baseball

Jon Anderson here, back with another offseason fantasy baseball piece. We have been looking at players from 2022 that had standout years either positively or negatively. I checked on players that we expect to bounce back in 2023 after really disappointing seasons in 2022 in these two articles: Pitcher Bounce-Backs Hitter Bounce-Backs Now we are […]

A Year to Remember: MLB Hitters Who Had Career Years in 2022 Fantasy Baseball

The World Series is still going on, but here at RotoBaller, we've already turned one of our eyes toward the 2023 fantasy baseball season. That is just the kind of round-the-clock baseball coverage you get here. I have already published two pieces, reviewing hitters and pitchers that were major disappointments in 2022 that I judge […]

A Year to Forget: MLB Pitchers Who Will Rebound for 2023 Fantasy Baseball

We are into our fantasy baseball offseason content now, and we will be bringing you stuff all Fall and Winter long. I started it off with this piece about hitters who I expect to rebound in 2023. Check that one out if you haven't already! Today, we will do the same thing for pitchers - […]

A Year to Forget: MLB Hitters Who Will Rebound for 2023 Fantasy Baseball

If I had to pick one piece of general fantasy sports advice to give, it would be this. Price is king. You can know all the stats and trends and spend hours and hours pouring into player breakdowns and all the rest, but if you don't draft based primarily on price in mind, you will […]

MLB Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Season Recap

Welcome back to fantasy baseball and RotoBaller’s Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week, I have selected one advanced metric, chosen two pitchers with strong values and two with poor values, and analyzed what those values may mean for future performance. Sadly, we have come to the end of another fantasy baseball season […]

Projecting the Top 101 ADP for the 2023 Fantasy Baseball Season

Although the end of the 2022 season is nearly upon us, it's never too early to begin off-season prep for the 2023 season. This article provides an early look at the redraft field in 2023, projecting the top 101 by ADP. We'll have you covered all offseason long as soon as the final pitch of […]

Are You For Real? Surprising MLB Pitcher Starts from Week 25

Welcome back to "Are You For Real?", a weekly column where we take starting pitchers who had surprisingly good starts over the past week and put them under the microscope to determine whether they're legit or just smoke and mirrors. It's our final breakdown of the 2022 season, and boy it's a good one. We […]

Top Hitter Streamers and Starts for Fantasy Baseball - Week 25

This is it, the final week. We have one more week of fantasy baseball ahead of us. There is no more time for making wrong decisions, they must all be perfect from here on, if you're still playing the game - which I assume you are since I have your attention here. I quite enjoyed […]