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Kipp Heisterman's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/13/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Ryan O'Hearn, Juan Soto, Byron Buxton, and Cal Raleigh.
We have a typically large slate for Friday's MLB games. Today's games have a ton of great spots to look at in terms of hitter matchups, park matchups, and weather matchups. The weather all over the East Coast is starting to heat up, and this is the time of the year when more home runs are beginning to leave the yard. This article has been rolling out some solid home run options every day, so let's keep the good mojo going.
I will provide my four favorite home run bets on today’s slate. I do not recommend betting any more than four home runs, as it will be tough to sustain a bankroll. My favorite way to bet home runs is to round robin them, which I will do tonight. I've put a small unit size on these, but I want the opportunity to cash in bigger if more than one home run hits.
Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Friday, June 13, 2025. Odds for each pick are from DraftKings Sportsbook and may change throughout the day. Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks for the best price, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also important to risk only a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since this market is volatile, so keep that in mind.
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MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/13/2025)
Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Friday, June 13:
- Ryan O'Hearn, Baltimore Orioles
- Juan Soto, New York Mets
- Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins
- Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners
Ryan O'Hearn OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+550 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Ryan O'Hearn has been an absolute beast for the Baltimore Orioles this season as he now has nine home runs while posting a very respectable .875 OPS. The odds here are not bad as well, given the success he has had against right-handed pitching and the matchup.
On the season, O'Hearn has been especially productive against right-handed pitching, as noted by his .930 OPS. He has also hit all nine of his home runs against right-handers. The power numbers should not be all that surprising based on the metrics under the hood. Overall, O'Hearn has posted a 34.4% hard hit rate.
He has also posted a 91.1 mph average exit velocity. Lastly, O'Hearn has a 6.3% barrels/PA mark. These metrics rank him in the 61st, 79th, and 59th percentiles, respectively. His matchup against Jack Kochanowicz could not get much better, either.
Kochanowicz has allowed a total of 11 home runs on the season. In addition, 10 of these home runs have been given up to left-handers. He has also allowed four home runs over his previous four starts, including a game where he allowed multiple home runs.
The metrics for Kochanowicz do not get much better. Overall, he has allowed an average exit velocity of 86.2 mph, which ranks in the first percentile. I had to double-check that number due to it being so abysmal. He has also allowed 33.5% of balls to be hit 95+ mph, which ranks in the first percentile as well.
Quite frankly, Kochanowicz has been awful.
When he finishes up his duties in this game, he will give way to an Angels' bullpen that has allowed 41 home runs thus far in 2025, which ranks dead last in the league. This is an absolute dream of a spot for O'Hearn in this game.
Ryan O'Hearn delivers a 3-run blast to put the @Orioles ahead 😤 pic.twitter.com/LkvgQ7cdM4
— MLB (@MLB) May 28, 2025
Juan Soto OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+475 DraftKings Sportsbook)
My guy, Casey Wilson, had Juan Soto in this article yesterday, and although he did not go deep, he did rip a double and score a run. Let's see if we can get home with Soto tonight against Taj Bradley and the Tampa Bay Rays.
We will start with Taj Bradley, who has allowed a total of 10 home runs this season. He has allowed five home runs to both right-handed and left-handed hitters. Bradley has also struggled recently as he has allowed six home runs across his previous seven starts. Overall, Bradley has posted a 1.2 HR/9 rate, and the metrics do not look all that sharp, either.
In 2025, Bradley has allowed an average exit velocity of 83 mph, which ranks in the 19th percentile of the league. Soto, on the other hand, has been hot as a pistol. Over the previous seven days, Soto has smacked two home runs while posting a 1.359 OPS. He has also hit five homers over the previous two weeks.
Soto's power metrics back up his performance. On the season, he is posting a 41.1% hard hit rate, which ranks him in the 94th percentile league-wide. He has also posted an average exit velocity of 94.1 mph, which ranks in the 94th percentile of the league.
The weather in New York should be in the mid-70s as well, which should only help Soto get over the fence in this one.
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Byron Buxton OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+275 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Buxton is currently on the field, and that means he is doing Byron Buxton things. On the season, Buxton has hit 11 home runs while posting an .857 OPS. He has also been hitting well recently, posting a 1.386 OPS over the previous week and a .938 OPS over the previous two weeks.
The OPS is not all that surprising, as Buxton has been hitting the ball extremely hard this season. Overall, he has posted a hard hit rate of 38.4%, which ranks him in the 86th percentile of the league. He has also posted an average exit velocity of 91.5 mph, ranking him in the 85th percentile.
He will be up against Astros' left-hander, Colton Gordon, which is also good news. On the season, while Buxton only has two home runs off lefties, he is posting a stellar 1.002 OPS. Meanwhile, Gordon has struggled a bit this season.
Gordon has given up four home runs across just 24 2/3 innings pitched. He has allowed all four home runs to come against right-handed hitters as well. The metrics show us that he has allowed an average exit velocity of nearly 83 mph, which ranks him in the bottom 24% of the league. His 1.5 HR/9 is also lackluster, ranking him in the bottom 16% of the league.
As aforementioned, Buxton has just two home runs off of lefties this season, but this is a prime spot for him to add yet another.
Cal Raleigh OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+275 DraftKings Sportsbook)
I am going to catch some flak from my colleagues for this one as we typically try to stray from the "chalk" home run props, but I had to include Raleigh in this spot tonight. He has been absolutely on fire, as noted by his 1.143 OPS and seven home runs over the previous two weeks.
He has posted a superb hard hit rate of 39.4%, which ranks him in the top 11% of the league. He has also posted an average exit velocity of 92.2 mph, which ranks him in the top 9% of the league. He will be up against Guardians' right-hander, Gavin Williams, and Raleigh has posted a ridiculous .999 OPS with 18 home runs off of righties in 2025.
Cal Raleigh blasts his MLB-leading 23rd home run of the year! 💪 pic.twitter.com/UKodR74mq8
— MLB (@MLB) June 1, 2025
Williams has been up and down this season, allowing a total of nine home runs while posting a 3.86 ERA. Williams has consistently allowed the long ball as well, as noted by the fact that he has given up eight home runs across his previous 10 starts. Progressive Field also plays well for the left-handed power hitter, which could certainly benefit Raleigh in this matchup.
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