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Sean Wrona - RotoBaller

762 articles

I ran the auto racing statistical archive race-database.com from 2007 to 2015 and have been doing advanced auto racing analytics since 2013, mostly on my website Racermetrics. I was generally regarded as the fastest typist in the world throughout the 2010s, being most famous for winning the Ultimate Typing Championship at the South by Southwest Interactive conference in 2010. In 2021, I released my first book, Nerds per Minute: A History of Competitive Typing. I am currently doing research for a second book where I intend to rank the top 1,000 drivers in motorsports history and have built several statistical models to rank drivers across various motorsports series. I have just recently launched a blog at http://seanwrona.substack.com/ where I am releasing one driver capsule a day for my book if you are interested in subscribing. I earned a BA in Economics and an MPS in Applied Statistics from Cornell University in 2007 and 2008 respectively. I also am an expert-rated tournament Scrabble player. In high school, I was the statistician for the Mensa Scrabble-by-Mail Special Interest Group and wrote a 15-20 page column in that group's newsletter every other month. As you can see, I've been at this for a quarter century already.

Articles

Kevin Harvick Can Contend At Kansas But Not Win

Kevin Harvick will make his final start at the Kansas Speedway in tomorrow's Hollywood Casino 400. Kansas has been an excellent track for Harvick in the past. He has won three times and led 949 laps. However, he has not led since 2020 as the Stewart-Haas team has had a general decline in speed that […]


Chase Elliott May Return To Form At Kansas

Although he shockingly failed to make the playoffs for the first time in his career, Chase Elliott still stands a strong chance to be the playoffs' biggest spoiler, especially given the speed Hendrick Motorsports typically has at Kansas. In addition to winning there in 2018, Hendrick drivers have led the most laps in four of […]


Kansas Is Bubba Wallace's Best Shot For Playoff Win

Bubba Wallace returns to Kansas as a playoff contender for the first time. Not only did the 23XI Racing team sweep the Kansas races last year with Kurt Busch winning in the spring event and Wallace winning in the summer, but the Toyotas have maintained that speed all year on the intermediate tracks. In the […]


Kevin Harvick Should Finish Well Sunday

While Kevin Harvick successfully extended his streak of consecutive playoff appearances to fourteen, the outgoing Stewart-Haas driver has struggled with speed this year as his speed percentile of 61.92% (slowest since 2009). He was the fastest Ford driver for most of this season. However, Harvick was passed by Chris Buescher in that category last week […]


Alex Bowman Strong Dark Horse Because Of Blake Harris

Despite failing to advance to the playoffs for the first time as a full-time Hendrick driver, Bowman has actually performed better this year than you likely think. Bowman's speed percentile of 67.47% this year is actually his third-best as a full-time Hendrick driver; he was only faster in 2020 and 2021. The main difference is […]


Aric Almirola A Longshot Despite Best Qualifying In Years

Although Aric Almirola qualified 10th for tomorrow's Southern 500, expecting even a top five may be a tall task for the Ford driver. In the three Darlington races with the NextGen car, he has ranked 14th, 17th, and 17th in speed and he has never finished better than 7th at Darlington or even led a […]


Blaney An Unlikely Contender Despite Qualifying Speed

After barely qualifying for the NASCAR playoffs last year in a year he performed much better, Blaney easily qualified this year with a dominant win at Charlotte last spring. However, he is unlikely to contend for tomorrow's crown jewel event at Darlington despite qualifying 4th ahead of all the other Fords. Darlington is notoriously one […]


Joey Logano's History Bodes Well for Darlington and Playoffs

Although Joey Logano was mediocre over the summer, he still qualified for the 2023 NASCAR playoffs by virtue of his win at Talladega. Sunday's Southern 500 should be one of his best opportunities to end his winless drought. Logano has a history of performing better in the playoffs. He has a 6.5% winning percentage in […]


Daniel Suárez A Longshot For Playoffs Despite Being Eligible

Daniel Suárez is still mathematically eligible to make the NASCAR playoffs on points if he doesn't win since he trails Bubba Wallace by 43 points for the last playoff spot with a maximum of 55 points available to the second-place finisher. However, that is unlikely since Wallace is one of the best drivers on this […]


Ty Gibbs A Bigger Longshot To Make Playoffs Than He Seems

Although Ty Gibbs has had a consistent rookie season he's unlikely to make the playoffs. Gibbs trails Toyota stablemate Bubba Wallace by 32 points for the final playoff transfer spot. Furthermore, Wallace is unlikely to be overtaken on points as he is one of the best drivers on drafting tracks in the series. Gibbs would […]


Bubba Wallace's Playoff Bid Likely If No New Winner

Despite winning in each of the last two seasons, Bubba Wallace has not yet made the playoffs since both wins happened in playoff races after he was eliminated. This year he has been more consistent despite not winning. The 23XI Racing driver sits on the playoff bubble with a 32-point lead over Ty Gibbs. It's […]


Erik Jones One Of The Likeliest Longshots To Win At Daytona

After having his breakout season for Legacy Motor Club last year, Erik Jones has struggled to match those results this year, likely because Chevrolet has withdrawn funding from the team after it switched to Toyota. Although he can't point his way into the playoffs, Jones is still one of the likeliest drivers to win his […]


Brennan Poole One Of The Best Underdog Picks For Daytona

Brennan Poole is making his first NASCAR Cup Series start on a drafting track since 2020 at Daytona for Rick Ware Racing on Saturday. Although the team isn't fast enough to be competitive on most tracks, it has collected at least one top ten finish in the past four Daytona races. Last year, they placed […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ethan Salas

Likely Out Until July With Lower-Back Stress Reaction
Moises Ballesteros

Cubs To Call Up Moises Ballesteros On Tuesday
Ian Happ

To Go On Injured List With Oblique Issue
Brandon Woodruff

Won't Make Season Debut This Weekend
Luke Jackson

Leaves After Being Hit In Arm By Comebacker
Scottie Scheffler

Making First Individual Start At Quail Hollow
Brooks Koepka

An Afterthought At PGA Championship
Malik Taylor

Lions Sign Luke Deal, Malik Taylor
Michael Kim

Looks To Start At Quail Hollow After Early Exit In Philly
Drake Dabney

Titans Sign TJ Sheffield, Drake Dabney
Cole Fotheringham

Broncos Sign Cole Fotheringham, Kyrese White
Asante Samuel Jr.

Coming Off Neck Surgery
Jordan Lawlar

Officially Called Up
Jayden Reed

Packers Meet With Jayden Reed To Clarify His Status On The Team
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Beginning Rehab Assignment On Tuesday
NFL

Broncos-Chiefs To Square Off On Christmas Day
Stephan Jaeger

Looking To Ride Wave Of Momentum Into PGA Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

A Favorite To Contend At PGA Championship
Patrick Cantlay

Could Turn His Tides At Quail Hollow
Ben Lively

Leaves Start Early With Forearm Inflammation
Jose Altuve

Returns To Lineup On Monday
Sam Hauser

Remains Out On Monday
Corey Seager

Appears To Be Headed Back To Injured List
Donovan Mitchell

Listed As Questionable For Game 5
Ryan Leonard

To Re-Enter Capitals Lineup Monday
Seth Jarvis

Rejoins Top Line Monday
Frederik Andersen

Good To Go Monday
Troy Stecher

Entering Oilers Lineup Monday
Viktor Arvidsson

To Sit Out Game 4
Brayden McNabb

Expected To Play In Game 4
Mark Stone

A Game-Time Decision Monday
Gabe Davis

49ers Hosting Gabe Davis On A Visit
Cleveland Browns

Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah Shifts To PUP List
Terence Steele

Expected To Start At Right Tackle
Jaydon Blue

Could Be Dallas' Lead Back By Season's End
Cam Skattebo

Could End Up As Third-Down Back
Abdul Carter

Giants Plan On Using Abdul Carter Everywhere
Jaxson Dart

Looks Confident In Rookie Minicamp
Brandon Woodruff

Dealing With Ankle Tendinitis
Jack Della Maddalena

Becomes The New UFC Welterweight Champion
Belal Muhammad

Outclassed At UFC 315
Manon Fiorot

Drops Decision At UFC 315
Valentina Shevchenko

Defends Title
José Aldo

Jose Aldo Retires After UFC 315 Loss
Aiemann Zahabi

Extends His Win Streak
Alexa Grasso

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Alexa Grasso

Natalia Silva Outclasses Alexa Grasso
Kyle Prepolec

Submitted In His UFC Return
MMA

Benoit Saint-Denis Gets Back In The Win Column
Viktor Hovland

Finishes Tied For 54th At Truist Championship
Sepp Straka

Wins The Truist Championship
Xander Schauffele

Finishes Tied For 11th At Truist Championship
Shane Lowry

Finishes Tied For Second At Truist Championship
Tom Kim

Finishes Tied For 54th At ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic
Russell Henley

Finishes Tied For 46th At Truist Championship
Tony Finau

Finishes Tied For 15th At Truist Championship
Wyndham Clark

Finishes Tied For 63rd At Truist Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Finishes Tied For 60th At Truist Championship
Trey Hendrickson

Hasn't Had Communication With Bengals Recently
NFL

Chiefs-Chargers To Face Off In Brazil In Week 1
Nick Jackson

Buccaneers Sign Nick Jackson
James Pearce Jr.

Signs Rookie Deal
Kaleb Johnson

Must Improve His Pass-Blocking
NFL

Eagles-Cowboys To Kick Off 2025 Season
Ryan Blaney

Holds Strong For A Top-Five Finish At Kansas
William Byron

Struggles At Kansas With An Underwhelming Finish
Chase Briscoe

Scores A New Career-Best Cup Finish At Kansas
Denny Hamlin

Mechanical Issues Ruin Denny Hamlin's Promising Kansas Performance
Alex Bowman

Puts Together A Strong Top-Five Finish At Kansas
Ryan Preece

Earns His First Career Top-10 Finish At Kansas
Evan Rodrigues

To Be Evaluated On Monday
Sergei Bobrovsky

Stops Maple Leafs From Scoring In Game 4
Kyle Connor

Ends Mini-Slump On Sunday
Thomas Harley

Collects Two Points Sunday
Mikael Granlund

Registers Two Assists In Sunday's Win
Mikko Rantanen

Continues Scoring Tear In Game 3
Christopher Bell

Finishes Second In Otherwise Subpar Day For Toyota
Chris Buescher

Has Decent Run At Kansas, But Teammates Outperform Him
Josh Berry

Despite Qualifying Error And Speeding Penalty, Josh Berry Finishes Sixth
Joey Logano

Despite Joey Logano's Complacency, Penske Cars Fast Enough For Top-10 Finish
Tyler Reddick

Once Again Inexplicably Mediocre At One Of His Better Tracks
Brad Keselowski

Crashes Out At Kansas But Shows First Hint Of Speed
Jordan Lawlar

Set For Promotion To Majors
Zack Wheeler

Dominates Guardians In Fourth Win
Kyle Schwarber

Cracks Pair Of Dingers
Donovan Mitchell

Doubtful To Return To Game 4
Ronel Blanco

Strikes Out 11
Karl-Anthony Towns

Not On The Injury Report For Game 4
Sam Hauser

Questionable For Game 4
Stephen Curry

Remains Out On Monday, As Expected
Woody Marks

Inks Rookie Deal With Houston
New England Patriots

Isaiah Iton Heading To New England
Hunter Goodman

Nearly Hits For The Cycle
Colorado Rockies

Rockies Fire Bud Black
Jordan Martinook

Available For Game 4
Stuart Skinner

To Start Game 4 On Monday
Mark Stone

Not Ruled Out For Game 4
Sergei Bobrovsky

Looking To Regain Sharpness Sunday
Connor Hellebuyck

Hopes To End Road Woes On Sunday
Colin Blackwell

Enters Stars Lineup Sunday
Zach Eflin

Cleared To Start On Sunday
Corey Seager

Not Past His Hamstring Injury
Stephen Kolek

Strikes Out Seven In Complete-Game Shutout
Kyle Larson

Could Embarrass The Field At Kansas
Tyler Reddick

Should Be Fast At Kansas
Denny Hamlin

Has Been Phenomenal At Kansas in Next Gen Car
Brett Baty

Hits A Pair Of Home Runs, Drives In Five In Loss
Ryan Blaney

Expect Ryan Blaney To Obtain Another Quality Kansas Finish
Chris Buescher

May Be One To Watch At Kansas
William Byron

Is Among The Top Favorites To Win At Kansas
NASCAR

Should DFS Players Roster Bubba Wallace At Kansas?
Christopher Bell

Qualifies Third For This Week's Kansas Race
Austin Cindric

May Be A Great And Sneaky DFS Pick For Kansas
Jack Roslovic

Notches Two Points In Game 3 Win
Frederik Andersen

Produces 21-Save Shutout In Game 3 Victory
De'Andre Hunter

Ready To Play Friday
Evan Mobley

Returns Friday
Darius Garland

Officially Available Friday
Sam Hauser

Likely To Remain Out On Saturday
Belal Muhammad

Set For His First Title Defense
Jack Della Maddalena

Has A Chance To Become UFC Champion
Manon Fiorot

Looks To Become The New Champion
Valentina Shevchenko

Set For UFC 315 Co-Main Event
Aiemann Zahabi

Looks For His Sixth Win In A Row
José Aldo

Jose Aldo Set For Featherweight Bout
Natalia Silva

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Alexa Grasso

Returns At UFC 315
Kyle Prepolec

Set For UFC 315 Main-Card Opener
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Stephen Curry

Unsure When He Can Return From Injury
De'Andre Hunter

Iffy For Friday
Evan Mobley

May Miss Another Game
Darius Garland

Questionable For Game 3
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Held In Check Wednesday
Chet Holmgren

Logs Double-Double In Game 2 Win
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads Thunder To Blowout Win
Derrick White

Close To Another Double-Double In Game 2
Jaylen Brown

Struggles In Second Half Wednesday Night
Josh Hart

Leads All Scorers With 23 Points In Game 2 Against Celtics
Mikal Bridges

Makes Late Impact Again
Will Zalatoris

Looking To Find Consistency Heading Into Philadelphia
Justin Rose

In Solid Form Ahead Of Truist Championship
Russell Henley

Looks To Keep Building Momentum At Truist Championship
Brian Harman

In Great Form Heading Into Philadelphia
Corey Conners

Red-Hot Heading Into Truist Championship
Daniel Berger

In Great Form Ahead Of Truist Championship
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