BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 400
CURRENT ADP: ~540 overall
ANALYSIS: Minter already has some really good seasons on his resume, but in 2022, he stepped into great territory. Out of the 16 relievers to make it to the coveted 70-inning club, no one came close to matching Minter's 34.7 K%. He also finished in the top 4% of the league in xBA, xwOBA, and xERA.
They just don't make them like Minter anymore. Stupid high floor with a silly high ceiling. He lost some favor in his cutter, as it was surpassed by ol' faithful 4-seam as his primary pitch. The hitters actually lucked into a .338 BA against the cutter, despite a lowly .235 xBA - and yet he still put up those stats. As far as his chance at saves with Raisel Iglesias still in town, I look at it quite simply and remember Brian Snitker is a wild man.
Let's look at how Minter was used prior to Iglesias being acquired. When it was Kenley Jansen and A.J. Minter at the top, Minter racked up five saves in the first half. Now, we just replace Kenley Jansen with Raisel and easy multiplication leads us to expect around 10 saves with elite ratios and top five-RP strikeout numbers. Filth and faith.
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