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NFL rookie A.J. Dillon is a 2020 running back sleeper and fantasy football ADP draft value. Target him as an undervalued RB in your fantasy football drafts.
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~154 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~172
ANALYSIS: The rookie out of Boston College is a beast at 6' and 247 lbs, and a snapshot of his "massive legs" (coach Matt LaFleur's words) went viral early in training camp. He rushed for 5.2 yards per carry and totaled 40 touchdowns in college, leading the ACC with 1,685 rushing yards in his final season.
His path to fantasy-relevant playing time hinges on his ability to cut into either A) Jamaal Williams' snaps, because he simply hasn't shown that he deserves the touches he gets at a putrid career average of 3.9 yards per carry (PFF projects Dillon to get 90 opportunities compared to Williams' 140 at this point), or B) cut into starter Aaron Jones' goal-line looks, as Jones had a league-high 16 rushing touchdowns and that's obviously due for a regression to the mean (Jones projects to 9 rushing TDs in 2020).
Whether or not you want to take a flier on Dillon will depend on how much of a bite you think he takes out of the Jamaal Williams and goal-line roles. Also, consider that Jones is on a contract-year and that Dillon cost Green Bay a second-round pick (62nd-overall), which most probably means that he will be the future of the Packers backfield and that could start this year if they want to have the newcomer installed as soon as possible.
Dillon is definitely an intriguing back with upside if he outperforms Williams (nothing too crazy to think can happen) to end as Green Bay's RB2 and rack up some good fantasy points throughout the year. Also, he looks like a great target for handcuff-guns.
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