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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 16. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
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Giants @ Eagles: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Miles Sanders more than 13.5 fantasy points and Kenny Golladay less than 10.5 fantasy points
Sanders is coming off back-to-back solid performances in which he is averaging nearly 20 fantasy points per game. He has seen an average of 21 carries per game over those two games and it appears that the Eagles are going to entrust him to carry the load down the stretch as they attempt to make the playoffs. He gets a matchup against the Giants this week and they have allowed an average of nearly 26 fantasy points per game to running backs in 2021, which ranks ninth-worst in the league. The Eagles are also favored in this one, so he should see plenty of work late in the game to salt away the clock.
What happened to Kenny Golladay? He has not gone over 1o fantasy points since Week 4. Granted he has missed quite a bit of time, but he has played the previous six weeks and has yet to score more than 8.5 fantasy points. The matchup does not get much better for him this week, either as the Eagles have allowed just 29 fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the previous four weeks, which is ranked in the top half of the league over that span.
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Rams @ Vikings: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Matthew Stafford more than 285.5 passing yards and Kirk Cousins more than 255.5 passing yards
Stafford has gone over this total in three of his previous four games while averaging nearly 34 pass attempts per game over that span. The Vikings will enter this game having allowed quarterbacks to throw for an average of nearly 253 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks fifth-worst in the league over that span. They have also allowed three straight quarterbacks to throw for more than this total, including a 285-yard passing performance from Justin Fields last week.
Cousins has hit this total just once in his previous three games, but has hit this mark in three of six games at home and has a solid chance to do it again against the Rams. The Vikings will be without Dalvin Cook, but could be getting Adam Thielen back in this one, which should help open up the passing game a bit more. The Rams have also allowed an average of over 262 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks fourth-worst in the league over that span.
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Broncos @ Raiders: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Josh Jacobs less than 15.5 fantasy points and Javonte Williams more than 12.5 fantasy points
Jacobs will likely find tough sledding in this game as the Broncos have allowed an average of just 18.77 fantasy points per game to running backs over the previous four weeks, which ranks 10th-best in the league over the span. They are allowing an average of just 77 rushing yards per game over that span and have not allowed a single rushing touchdown to a running back over that span. Jacobs has also hit this total just twice in his previous seven games.
Williams on the other hand, has a tremendous matchup against a Raiders' defense that has allowed an average of over 34 fantasy points per game to running backs over the previous four weeks, which is ranked second-worst in the league over that span. The Raiders are allowing an average of 102 rushing yards per game over that span, but are also allowing over seven receptions per game to backs, which is where Williams can add on to this total as he is averaging nearly five targets per game over the previous four weeks.
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