RADIO
On Saturday, we get the first double-header of the year, with both Truck Series and Xfinity Series races at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
This week, we've got some interesting drivers coming from the rear, including Ross Chastain starting 40th and Bill Lester starting 31st in his first Truck start since 2007. I'm not recommending either -- I like someone else as my high-priced guy instead of Chastain and Lester just hasn't run a race recently enough for me to trust him -- but I thought I'd mention them both in the intro.
Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Truck Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Truck Series DFS lineup picks for the Fr8Auctions 200 on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Truck Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station.
Truck Series DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings
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Kyle Busch #51 ($14,000)
Starting 2nd
It feels like the battle to be the highest-scoring fantasy driver in this race is going to be a battle between Kyle Busch and Ross Chastain, with the big thing being if Busch can get more points via laps led and fastest laps than Chastain can get via place differential.
I think Busch can do it.
Busch has finished 21st or worse in three of his last four Truck starts at Atlanta, but he's led a ton of laps in each of those and just run into trouble. He also has five Truck wins here, and before 2017 had never finished lower than eighth in a Truck race here.
Those recent results weren't because Busch struggled here. He's going to get out front early and score a ton of points.
Grant Enfinger #98 ($9,000)
Starting 19th
It's a real shame that Enfinger is splitting this truck this season. He makes his third start of the year and second in the 98 this week, returning to it for the first time since an 11th-place run at Daytona.
Maybe the weirdness of this situation is knocking Enfinger's price down? Because a GMS truck starting 19th with a driver who won four races last season feels like something close to a slam-dunk play. Consider too that Enfinger has never finished outside the top 10 at this track and that he won this race last year, though he led just seven laps.
I don't expect a repeat performance of that victory, but I do expect a strong showing from Enfinger, who should finish in the top 10.
Ryan Truex #40 ($7,200)
Starting 32nd
I'm trying to be less bullish on Niece Motorsports this year, but I just love the combo of price and starting spot for Truex in this 40 truck this week.
Truex is coming off of two rough races where he finished outside of the top 30, with a DNF last week. But he's run decently well during those races, with an average position of 19th and 25th in the past two events.
Truex has a top 20 truck. As long as he keeps it out of trouble, the place differential upside here makes him one of my favorite plays of this slate.
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Spencer Davis #11 ($7,000)
Starting 39th
Another great mix of price and place differential here. Davis starts all the way back in 39th, but this is not a 39th-place truck.
Because of the formula that determines starting spots, Davis missing the Daytona race has meant he's also missed the last two races. But he's in the field this week, with the formula throwing him at the tail-end of the field.
But Davis had an average finish of 22.2 in 14 races last year. In 2019, he had an average finish of 18.2, and the year before it was 12.8. He was only 25th in this race last year, but even that would be a 14-spot improvement over this starting position. He had top 15 runs at some comparable tracks last year though, with a 14th at Kentucky and 14th at Kansas, so there's upside for a nice top-20 run for this 11 truck as well.
Chase Purdy #23 ($6,900)
Starting 26th
We're fast approaching the point where we can say that Chase Purdy isn't very good at piloting a Truck Series vehicle, but I also think that as long as he remains in a GMS Racing truck, starts sub-20th, and is priced under $7,000 like he is this week, I'll keep having interest in this 23 truck.
Purdy's been consistent this year, with three finishes in the 20s. He has one top 10 ever in 12 Truck Series races. Can he break through and have a good race? I don't know. But what I do know is that he has a really good truck and at some point he's at least going to figure out how to take a top-10 truck and consistently put it 15th or so. I also know that not a lot of people are going to be in on Purdy at this point, making him someone who can differentiate your GPP lineup. I could also see you playing Hailie Deegan via the exact same argument here and saving $400.
Bret Holmes #32 ($5,900)
Starting 35th
Here's our value pick.
Holmes is one of two drivers I considered for this spot, with Cory Roper being the other one. I ultimately went with Holmes because, well...I guess it was a gut thing, because both have a lot of the same pros and cons. Holmes might be slightly less rostered.
Holmes made his first Truck Series start ever last race, finishing 37th after getting involved in an incident with a bunch of other trucks with 38 to go.
Holmes had an average running position of 27th in that race, with a highest position of 12th. It was a solid debut, and at this price I think it makes sense to bet on Holmes having a 25th-place car.
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