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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 16's Saturday Games of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage on this special Saturday edition, which includes the Bucs at Lions, 49ers at Cardinals, and Dolphins at Raiders.
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Bucs @ Lions
Recommended Prop Pick:
Antonio Brown more than 13.5 fantasy points and Marvin Jones more than 13.5 fantasy points
Brown has averaged nearly seven targets per game since being signed by the Bucs and has gone over this total in two of five games and just nearly missed it in another game. He will be facing a Lions Defense that has been awful against wide receivers as they have allowed over 41 fantasy points per game to the position across the previous four weeks, which ranks third-worst in the league over that span.
Jones is the top target in Detroit now with the loss of Kenny Golladay. This is evidenced by the fact that he has seen an average of 11 targets per game over the previous four weeks. He will be facing a Bucs defense that has allowed over 42 fantasy points per game to wideouts over the previous four weeks, which ranks second-worst in the league. He should see plenty of action in this game as well considering the Lions are 9.5 point underdogs.
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49ers @ Cardinals
Recommended Prop Pick:
Kyler Murray less than 260.5 passing yards and C.J. Beathard less than 209.5 passing yards
Murray has failed to go over this total in three of his previous four games and four of his previous six games. It won't be easy in this one, either, as the 49ers are currently only allowing just over 209 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which is ranked 10th-best in the league over that span. They have also only allowed one quarterback to go over this total in the previous five weeks and that was Josh Allen three weeks ago.
While I am not positive how Beathard will perform, I do know he will be going up against a strong pass defense in this one. The Cardinals are only allowing 199.75 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which is the eighth-best in the league over that span. They have only allowed two of the previous five quarterbacks to throw over this total.
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Dolphins @ Raiders
Recommended Prop Pick:
Tua Tagovailoa more than 16.5 fantasy points and Josh Jacobs less than 15.5 fantasy points
The Raiders are currently allowing quarterbacks to average nearly 20 fantasy points per game. They have allowed two passing touchdowns per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks them tied for seventh-worst in the league. Tua has been solid lately as he has gone over this total in each of his previous three games.
Jacobs has been a high-volume runner in 2020 as he has seen nearly 19 carries per game on the season, but he will have his hands full against this Dolphins Defense. The Dolphins are currently allowing the fewest fantasy points per game to running backs over the previous four weeks. They have not allowed a running back to score a rushing touchdown since Melvin Gordon III scored two in Week 11. They are also only allowing backs to average 61 rushing yards per game and 3.7 yards per carry over the previous four weeks. They also have not allowed a 100-yard rusher all season.
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