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27-Year-Old Players Set to Break Out

The age of 27 has often been thought of as a baseball player’s peak, and the last chance for a guy who has yet to truly break out. There’s probably not much to the idea that there’s something magical about the age of 27, but certainly the chances for a guy to truly break out diminish as he gets older.

As many players come up and make an impact much younger than 27, some of these guys that have been around the league for a few years or took a little longer to come up to the bigs tend to fly under the fantasy radar. Last year’s crop of age-27 breakouts included Rick Porcello and, to a lesser extent, Sam Dyson and Jedd Gyorko. Are there fantasy breakouts like that in this year’s crop of age-27 big leaguers?

This year's list of age-27 breakouts include a former first round draft pick, a starter-turned-reliever and a young speedster ready to rack up some fantasy stats. Here are some guys whose age-27 seasons might be the turning point for them in 2017.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

2017 27-Year-Old Breakouts

C.J. Cron, Los Angeles Angels

It’s easy for lower-tier first basemen to get overshadowed in fantasy baseball, with the position being the home of mashers like Paul Goldschmidt and Mark Trumbo. Cron is one of those players – he’s shown consistency and a good amount of power in his first three years in the bigs, but not enough to generate much fantasy buzz. As he enters his age-27 season, however, things look like they could start to turn for the Angels’ first baseman.

Cron has hit 16 home runs each of the last two seasons, but last season he cut down his strikeout rate and walked more, and reached a career high in doubles with 25. This was all reflected in increased line drive, fly ball and hard hit contact rates, though his HR/FB rate dropped from 14.4 percent in 2015 to 12.1 in 2016. If he continues at the higher fly ball and hard hit contact rates in 2017, it’s reasonable to expect more of those fly balls to leave the yard, turning some of those doubles into homers.

The main barrier for Cron will be getting an adequate number of at-bats. He hasn’t played in more than 116 games in a season in his big league career. However, he does not appear to be in danger of being platooned – the right-handed hitter has hit righties better in his career than lefties. The injury that cost him a significant amount of time last year was not a chronic problem but a fractured hand from a hit-by-pitch. He also had surgery over the winter to repair a damaged thumb from the facture. If he can get on the field on a more everyday basis in 2017, fantasy owners who snag him in the later rounds after the big names go off the board could be rewarded with a breakout season from Cron.

 

Raisel Iglesias, Cincinnati Reds

When the Reds signed Cuban righty Raisel Iglesias to a $27 million contract back in 2014, most people probably thought we’d be talking about a potential breakout starter rather than a reliever, but here we are. After a season plus as a starter and a shoulder injury that cost him nearly two months on the D.L., Iglesias was moved to the bullpen midway through last season, and the results were intriguing. From June on, he had a 1.98 ERA in 50 innings out of the bullpen, starting out as a setup man but taking over the closer role by mid-August. He ended up finishing 15 games and picking up five saves, while posting a K/9 of 9.8 and keeping the ball in the yard with a HR/9 rate of 0.5 as a reliever.

Fantasy owners can expect Iglesias, who turned 27 over the winter, to be in the mix for the closer gig in Cincinnati this season, and getting this role could go a long way to determining his fantasy value. However, if he ends up in a dreaded closer-by-committee with Tony Cingrani and Drew Storen, all hope is not lost. He’s a quality setup man that will provide holds as well as good strikeout numbers, and his previous stint as a starter should open up the possibility of him logging more than one inning of relief some games, as he did 17 times in 2016. That means more strikeouts for the fantasy stats, but he’s really going to need to earn that primary closer job for a true breakout in 2017.

 

Cesar Hernandez, Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies second baseman Cesar Hernandez made himself known to fantasy owners in 2016 by tying for the MLB lead in triples with 11. He also had a career high .294 batting average, .371 OBP, and scored 67 runs, logging nearly half of his plate appearances from the leadoff spot. He also swiped 17 bags, though his steal rate left much to be desired as he was gunned attempting to steal 13 times. So what does it all mean for 2017?

One area where Hernandez, who will turn 27 in May, showed good improvement in 2016 was his walk rate. He walked in just 8.8 percent of his plate appearances in 2015, but got that rate up to 10.6 percent in 2016. And most of that was on the strength of adjustments and increased plate discipline in the second half of the season, as he walked at just a 5.5 percent rate in the first half but improved that rate to 15.7 in the second half of the season. His career highs in average and OBP were also aided by some BABIP luck (.363), but his career average BABIP is .352, which makes complete sense for a speedster who hits the ball on the ground. Over his career, Hernandez has generated infield hits off 8.2 percent of the balls he has hit on the ground, which will certainly result in a higher BABIP.

If Hernandez is going to have a breakout season in 2017, however, he’s going to have to have to both improve his steal rate and attempt to steal more often. He has reported to spring training camp with more muscle this season and a stated goal to swipe 30 to 40 bags and is working with base-running coaches to improve this part of his game. Guys often come into spring training with lofty goals, but given the improvements he showed last season and his game-changing speed, I tend to believe that he can do it.

 

More Potential Breakouts




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Braden Schneider

Limited in Training Camp
Lars Eller

Recovering From Abdominal Procedure
Nick Jensen

in Danger of Missing Start of Season
Brandon Montour

to Miss Two Weeks After Ankle Surgery
Gabriel Landeskog

a "Full Go" for the Season
Samuel Girard

Avalanche Hope to Have Samuel Girard Available for Start of Season
Mackenzie Blackwood

Out Week-to-Week
Alex Tuch

Day-to-Day With Undisclosed Injury
Jordan Greenway

to Sit Out Training Camp
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Considered Day-to-Day
Simon Edvinsson

to Miss a Couple of Weeks
Mikael Backlund

Signs Two-Year Extension
Connor Ingram

to Be Waived by Mammoth
Zach Hyman

Misses Start of Training Camp
Nick Paul

Out Until November
Kris Letang

Cleared for Training Camp
David Pastrnak

Out for Start of Training Camp
Matthew Tkachuk

Expected to Be Out Until December
NBA

Trevelin Queen Joins Chinese Team
Damian Lillard

Not Rushing His Return
Brooklyn Nets

Keon Johnson Waived by Nets
Justin Verlander

Plans to Pitch in 2026
Junior Caminero

Day-to-Day With Back Tightness
Will Smith

Won't Return When First Eligible
Tyler Soderstrom

Returns to A's Lineup
Tyler Warren

Sidelined on Wednesday with Toe Injury
Jaylen Waddle

Questionable for Week 3 Against Buffalo
Joe Burrow

Bengals Not Closing the Door on Joe Burrow Returning This Year
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Play Against Missouri?
Kyle Tucker

Progress has "Plateaued"
Isaac Paredes

has "Outside Chance" to Return This Weekend
CFB

Kaidon Salter Expected To Start for Colorado on Saturday
Willson Contreras

Goes on 10-Day Injured List, Done for Season
Justin Fields

Ruled Out for Week 3 Due to Concussion
Jayden Reed

Out Indefinitely After Foot and Shoulder Surgery
Washington Commanders

Preston Smith Signs With Commanders
Trey Jemison III

Joins Knicks on Two-Way Contract
Kevin McCullar Jr.

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Knicks
Matt Ryan

Returns to Knicks on Exhibit 10 Contract
New York Knicks

Alex Len Signs Exhibit 9 Deal With Knicks
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Expected to Take on Larger Offensive Role With Hawks
Thomas Sorber

Undergoes Surgery
Dominic Canzone

Has Five-Hit, Three-Homer Game Tuesday
Cal Raleigh

Sets Single-Season Home Run Record for a Switch-Hitter
Jayden Reed

Undergoes Clavicle and Foot Surgeries, Out for Foreseeable Future
Bo Bichette

to Miss Rest of Regular Season
Zach Neto

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Hand Injury
Yordan Alvarez

Out on Tuesday, Dealing With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Place Aaron Jones Sr. on Injured Reserve With Hamstring Injury
CFB

Diego Pavia Refutes Report of Seeking Seventh Collegiate Season
Christian Kirk

Expected to Return in Week 3
CFB

Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
CFB

Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
Tosan Evbuomwan

Joins Knicks
NBA

Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
Bismack Biyombo

Returns to Spurs
Bones Hyland

Rejoins Timberwolves
Kobe Bufkin

Moves to Brooklyn
Trey Yesavage

Sets Franchise Strikeout Record On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

To Receive MRI For Sprained Left Ankle On Tuesday
Willson Contreras

Exits Early Monday With Right-Biceps Tightness
Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
Brock Bowers

Officially Active on Monday Night
Jauan Jennings

Day-to-Day With Ankle Injury
Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
CBJ

Denton Mateychuk Dealing With Groin Issue
Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
J.J. McCarthy

Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Aaron Jones Sr.

Unlikely to Play in Week 3 Due to Hamstring Injury
Diego Lopes

Returns To The Win Column
Jayden Daniels

' Week 3 Status in Doubt
Rob Font

Outclassed In The Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
David Martinez

Wins His Second UFC Fight
Jared Gordon

Suffers Brutal TKO Loss At Noche UFC 3
Rafa Garcia

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Brian Thomas Jr.

Dealing with Wrist Injury
Dustin Stoltzfus

Drops A Decision At Noche UFC 3
Kelvin Gastelum

Gets Back In The Win Column
Diego Ferreira

Suffers Second-Round TKO
Alexander Hernandez

Extends His Win Streak With A Brutal TKO
Quang Le

Suffers First-Round Knockout
Santiago Luna

Shines In His UFC Debut
Christopher Bell

Earns his First Bristol Cup Series Victory
Alex Bowman

Falls Short of Advancing Through Cup Series Playoffs
Chase Briscoe

Collects his Third Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Strong Top-Five Bristol Performance Advances him to the Playoffs
Corey Heim

Earns his First Career Cup Series Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Leads Greece to Bronze Medal
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Drops 28 Points in EuroBasket Finals
CFB

Indiana's Lee Beebe Jr. Out for Season with Knee Injury
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Named EuroBasket MVP
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote Bryce Eldridge
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Progressing in Recovery
Jonathan Kuminga

Receives New Offer From Warriors
Kenneth Walker III

Bounces Back with Big Week 2 Performance
Bijan Robinson

Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

to Undergo Surgery, Out at Least Three Months
Quentin Grimes

Still Not Close to a New Contract Agreement
Joel Embiid

"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

Has Arguably his Best Career Drive, but Only Finishes 10th
Chase Elliott

Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
Austin Dillon

Misses Round of 12 After Extremely Mediocre Bristol Run
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

Finishes Last in All Three Round of 16 Races to Fail to Advance
CFB

Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
CFB

Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
CFB

LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
CFB

DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
CFB

CJ Carr Remains Poised In Narrow Loss
CFB

John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
CFB

Arch Manning Struggles Against UTEP
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
CFB

Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Chris Buescher

May have Another Solid Run at Bristol
Kyle Busch

Should DFS Managers Roster Kyle Busch at Bristol?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Risky to Consider Rostering at Bristol?
Michael McDowell

Could be A Solid Value Option For Bristol DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

Probably Won't Factor in for Bristol Win
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not as Strong at Bristol as Other Short Tracks
Alex Bowman

Needs to Win to Make Round of 12
Ross Chastain

has Never Led at Bristol but Has Been Pretty Consistent
Austin Dillon

Richmond Speed Unlikely to Carry Over to Bristol
Josh Berry

Might Run Well at Bristol, but Almost Certainly Won't Win to Advance
Justin Haley

Bristol One of Justin Haley's Few Recent Bright Spots
CFB

Austin Simmons Listed As Game-Time Decision Against Arkansas
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Struggles In Fourth Straight Loss
CFB

Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
CFB

CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
CFB

Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
Jean Silva

A Favorite At Noche UFC 3
Diego Lopes

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Event
Rob Font

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
David Martinez

Set For Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
Rafa Garcia

An Underdog At Noche UFC 3
Jared Gordon

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dustin Stoltzfus

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Kelvin Gastelum

In Dire Need Of Victory
Diego Ferreira

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column

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