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27-Year-Old Players Set to Break Out

The age of 27 has often been thought of as a baseball player’s peak, and the last chance for a guy who has yet to truly break out. There’s probably not much to the idea that there’s something magical about the age of 27, but certainly the chances for a guy to truly break out diminish as he gets older.

As many players come up and make an impact much younger than 27, some of these guys that have been around the league for a few years or took a little longer to come up to the bigs tend to fly under the fantasy radar. Last year’s crop of age-27 breakouts included Rick Porcello and, to a lesser extent, Sam Dyson and Jedd Gyorko. Are there fantasy breakouts like that in this year’s crop of age-27 big leaguers?

This year's list of age-27 breakouts include a former first round draft pick, a starter-turned-reliever and a young speedster ready to rack up some fantasy stats. Here are some guys whose age-27 seasons might be the turning point for them in 2017.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

2017 27-Year-Old Breakouts

C.J. Cron, Los Angeles Angels

It’s easy for lower-tier first basemen to get overshadowed in fantasy baseball, with the position being the home of mashers like Paul Goldschmidt and Mark Trumbo. Cron is one of those players – he’s shown consistency and a good amount of power in his first three years in the bigs, but not enough to generate much fantasy buzz. As he enters his age-27 season, however, things look like they could start to turn for the Angels’ first baseman.

Cron has hit 16 home runs each of the last two seasons, but last season he cut down his strikeout rate and walked more, and reached a career high in doubles with 25. This was all reflected in increased line drive, fly ball and hard hit contact rates, though his HR/FB rate dropped from 14.4 percent in 2015 to 12.1 in 2016. If he continues at the higher fly ball and hard hit contact rates in 2017, it’s reasonable to expect more of those fly balls to leave the yard, turning some of those doubles into homers.

The main barrier for Cron will be getting an adequate number of at-bats. He hasn’t played in more than 116 games in a season in his big league career. However, he does not appear to be in danger of being platooned – the right-handed hitter has hit righties better in his career than lefties. The injury that cost him a significant amount of time last year was not a chronic problem but a fractured hand from a hit-by-pitch. He also had surgery over the winter to repair a damaged thumb from the facture. If he can get on the field on a more everyday basis in 2017, fantasy owners who snag him in the later rounds after the big names go off the board could be rewarded with a breakout season from Cron.

 

Raisel Iglesias, Cincinnati Reds

When the Reds signed Cuban righty Raisel Iglesias to a $27 million contract back in 2014, most people probably thought we’d be talking about a potential breakout starter rather than a reliever, but here we are. After a season plus as a starter and a shoulder injury that cost him nearly two months on the D.L., Iglesias was moved to the bullpen midway through last season, and the results were intriguing. From June on, he had a 1.98 ERA in 50 innings out of the bullpen, starting out as a setup man but taking over the closer role by mid-August. He ended up finishing 15 games and picking up five saves, while posting a K/9 of 9.8 and keeping the ball in the yard with a HR/9 rate of 0.5 as a reliever.

Fantasy owners can expect Iglesias, who turned 27 over the winter, to be in the mix for the closer gig in Cincinnati this season, and getting this role could go a long way to determining his fantasy value. However, if he ends up in a dreaded closer-by-committee with Tony Cingrani and Drew Storen, all hope is not lost. He’s a quality setup man that will provide holds as well as good strikeout numbers, and his previous stint as a starter should open up the possibility of him logging more than one inning of relief some games, as he did 17 times in 2016. That means more strikeouts for the fantasy stats, but he’s really going to need to earn that primary closer job for a true breakout in 2017.

 

Cesar Hernandez, Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies second baseman Cesar Hernandez made himself known to fantasy owners in 2016 by tying for the MLB lead in triples with 11. He also had a career high .294 batting average, .371 OBP, and scored 67 runs, logging nearly half of his plate appearances from the leadoff spot. He also swiped 17 bags, though his steal rate left much to be desired as he was gunned attempting to steal 13 times. So what does it all mean for 2017?

One area where Hernandez, who will turn 27 in May, showed good improvement in 2016 was his walk rate. He walked in just 8.8 percent of his plate appearances in 2015, but got that rate up to 10.6 percent in 2016. And most of that was on the strength of adjustments and increased plate discipline in the second half of the season, as he walked at just a 5.5 percent rate in the first half but improved that rate to 15.7 in the second half of the season. His career highs in average and OBP were also aided by some BABIP luck (.363), but his career average BABIP is .352, which makes complete sense for a speedster who hits the ball on the ground. Over his career, Hernandez has generated infield hits off 8.2 percent of the balls he has hit on the ground, which will certainly result in a higher BABIP.

If Hernandez is going to have a breakout season in 2017, however, he’s going to have to have to both improve his steal rate and attempt to steal more often. He has reported to spring training camp with more muscle this season and a stated goal to swipe 30 to 40 bags and is working with base-running coaches to improve this part of his game. Guys often come into spring training with lofty goals, but given the improvements he showed last season and his game-changing speed, I tend to believe that he can do it.

 

More Potential Breakouts




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kirill Marchenko

Returns From Four-Game Absence
De'Anthony Melton

to be Capped at 20 Minutes on Thursday
Carter Verhaeghe

Ready to Return Thursday
Scott Wedgewood

Skips Thursday's Game
Paolo Banchero

Upgraded to Questionable for Friday Night
Danila Yurov

Misses Second Straight Game
CFB

Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Unavailable Thursday
CFB

Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
Dereck Lively II

to Seek "Multiple Opinions" on Right Foot Treatment
David Pastrnak

Still Out Thursday
Ryan McDonagh

Lightning Sign Ryan McDonagh to Three-Year Extension
Trayce Jackson-Davis

Set to Suit Up Thursday
Ja Morant

Considered Day-to-Day
Tee Higgins

Ready to Return After Full Practice?
Jimmy Butler III

Sidelined Thursday
Jayden Daniels

Practices in Full on Thursday
Jaylen Brown

Ruled Out Thursday Against the Wizards
Lamar Jackson

Expected to Play Against Steelers
Quentin Grimes

Is Ready to Return on Thursday
Deshaun Watson

Not Expected to Play This Year
Paul George

Will Not Play Against the Warriors
Joel Embiid

Upgraded to Questionable for Thursday
CFB

Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
Justin Herbert

Chargers "Really Optimistic" That Justin Herbert Will Play on Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Will Not Play Thursday
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
Noa Essengue

Out for the Season
Mike Evans

has "Real Chance" to Return in Week 14
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected To Miss 2-4 Weeks
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Realistic Expectation is for Amon-Ra St. Brown to Return Next Week
Jalen Carter

Won't Play in Week 14 After Having Shoulder Surgeries
Justin Herbert

Expected to Practice Either Thursday or Friday
Mike Evans

Practicing Again Thursday
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Questionable With Rib Contusion
Marcus Smart

Sidelined Thursday Against Raptors
Los Angeles Clippers

Chris Paul Set To Part Ways With Clippers
CFB

Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Yves Missi

Sidelined vs. Wolves
Quentin Grimes

Uncertain To Play Against Golden State
Bilal Coulibaly

Likely Out Multiple Weeks With Oblique Strain
Karel Vejmelka

Records Impressive Shutout
JJ Peterka

Rocks Ducks With Four-Point Effort
Cole Caufield

Extends Point Streak With Power-Play Assist
Matvei Michkov

Delivers Two Assists Wednesday
Jake Oettinger

Grabs Fourth Consecutive Victory With Shutout
Ryan Leonard

Tallies Four Points in Wednesday's Win
Cam York

Exits Win Early
Jakob Poeltl

to Sit Out Thursday's Game
Alexandre Sarr

to Miss Third Straight Game Thursday
Kyren Williams

Expected to Play in Week 14
Davante Adams

Expected to Play Despite Missing Wednesday's Practice
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Woody Marks

Texans Say Woody Marks Will be Fine
Rasmus Ristolainen

to Miss at Least One More Week
Drew Doughty

Logs Full Practice Wednesday
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Jeff Skinner

Remains Sidelined Wednesday
Petr Mrazek

Out 2-3 Weeks
Tyler Seguin

Likely Done for the Season
Neal Pionk

Returns to Jets Lineup
J.J. McCarthy

Practices in Full, on Track to Return in Week 14
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Mark Andrews

Agrees to Three-Year Extension With Ravens
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
Kyle Schwarber

Reds Serious About Adding Kyle Schwarber in Free Agency?
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Officially Questionable for Thursday Night
Omarion Hampton

"on Track and Looking Good" for Week 14
CFB

Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
Joey Bosa

Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
Bryce Young

Panthers Expected to Pick Up Bryce Young's Fifth-Year Option
Deshaun Watson

Browns Opening Practice Window for Deshaun Watson
CFB

Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Collin Klein Expected to be Top Target for Kansas State if Head-Coach Job Opens
CFB

Chris Klieman Considering Stepping Down at Kansas State
Aaron Rodgers

Appears to be Healthier Heading into Week 14
Alexander Wennberg

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles

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