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Wide Receiver Breakouts for Fantasy Football: Targets, Air Yards, Snaps Trends for Tee Higgins, Nico Collins, Drake London, Jahan Dotson

Nico Collins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

You are already aware that wide receivers will play a critical role in the success of your teams. The undeniable volatility that exists with the running back position has also presented an increasing rationale for prioritizing wide receivers when you build your rosters – both at the onset of your drafts and as you manage your teams throughout the entire season.

The numbers that are generated by all wide receivers provide the foundation for this weekly statistical breakdown of the position, which I will be constructing for a sixth consecutive season. This will be the second installment that will examine game-specific data, including updated totals for targets, air yards, targets per route run, yards per route run, red-zone targets, and snap counts. The information that is contained in this weekly report will analyze how various receivers are being utilized, and how effectively they are capitalizing on their opportunities.

As the season progresses noteworthy changes in usage and production will be blended into the equation. Statistics from our player pages at RotoBaller were included during the compilation of data, while Pro Football Reference, PFF, Rotowire, Fantasy Points Data, NextGenStats, and Rotoviz were also used as resources in the creation of this report.

Be sure to also check our other Week 14 fantasy football waiver wire pickups articles:

 

Fantasy Football Targets

Wide Receiver Week 1 Week 2  Total  Targ/Gm Yards/Targ
Puka Nacua 15 20 35 17.5 7.6
Justin Jefferson 12 13 25 12.5 12.4
Tyreek Hill 15 9 24 12 10.6
Michael Pittman Jr. 11 12 23 11.5 6.7
Chris Olave 10 11 21 10.5 9.4
Tee Higgins 8 12 20 10 4.5
Nico Collins 11 9 20 10 11.3
Kendrick Bourne 11 9 20 10 4.7
Stefon Diggs 13 7 20 10 8.4
Keenan Allen 9 10 19 9.5 9.8
Robert Woods 10 9 19 9.5 6.9
Calvin Ridley 11 8 19 9.5 7
Mike Williams 5 13 18 9 7.1
Mike Evans 10 8 18 9 13.2
DeAndre Hopkins 13 5 18 9 5.8
Davante Adams 9 8 17 8.5 8.8
Amari Cooper 7 10 17 8.5 7.5
Michael Thomas 8 9 17 8.5 6.8
Christian Kirk 3 14 17 8.5 7
Tutu Atwell 8 9 17 8.5 11.5
CeeDee Lamb 4 13 17 8.5 12.9
Ja'Marr Chase 9 8 17 8.5 4.1
George Pickens 7 10 17 8.5 9.6
Elijah Moore 7 9 16 8 4.9
Deebo Samuel 7 9 16 8 7.4
A.J. Brown 10 6 16 8 6.8
Marquise Brown 5 10 15 7.5 5.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown 8 7 15 7.5 11.5
DeVonta Smith 10 5 15 7.5 11.9
Zay Flowers 10 5 15 7.5 9.3
Tank Dell 4 10 14 7 7.6
Brandon Aiyuk 8 6 14 7 12.3
Chris Godwin 6 8 14 7 7.8
Tyler Lockett 4 10 14 7 4.9
Zay Jones 7 6 13 6.5 4.2
Josh Reynolds 7 6 13 6.5 11.2
JuJu Smith-Schuster 7 6 13 6.5 4.7
Garrett Wilson 5 8 13 6.5 9
Jonathan Mingo 5 8 13 6.5 3.3
Jayden Reed 5 8 13 6.5 6.5
Jahan Dotson 7 5 12 6 5.2
Josh Downs 7 5 12 6 5.6
K.J. Osborn 6 6 12 6 5.4
Courtland Sutton 5 7 12 6 8.2
Darius Slayton 5 6 11 5.5 7
Tyler Boyd 3 8 11 5.5 5.6
Adam Thielen 2 9 11 5.5 6
Allen Robinson 8 3 11 5.5 6.9
DK Metcalf 5 6 11 5.5 11.1
Gabe Davis 4 7 11 5.5 11.3
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 5 6 11 5.5 4.3

 

Puka Nacua followed up his surprising collection of 15 targets in Week 1 by accumulating a league-best 20 when the Rams hosted San Francisco in Week 2. That propelled his overall total to 35 which is 10 more than any other wide receiver entering Week 3.

Last year’s overall target leader Justin Jefferson has now captured 25 targets while collecting 10+ in 13 of his last 19 games. Tyreek Hill is third overall (24) with a total that has been fueled primarily by the 15 that he collected during Miami’s season opener. Michael Pittman Jr. has collected at least 11 targets in each of his first two matchups, which has launched his overall total to 23.

Chris Olave has soared to fifth overall in target share (30%). while accumulating 21 targets during his first two games with Derek Carr under center.  Tee Higgins has risen to a tie for sixth overall with 20 targets after he accumulated 12 during Week 2. The 12 targets Higgins collected also represented his highest weekly total since Week 11 of last season.

Nico Collins entered Week 1 with an average of 5.3 targets per game during his first two seasons. However, he now advances into Week 3 with a total of 20. He has also reached a double-digit total in four games during his career, including three of his last six.

Kendrick Bourne had accumulated 9+ targets just three times during the first 91 games of his career. However, he has now accomplished it in each of his first two outings this season. That has also expanded his overall total to 20.

Keenan Allen has now captured 9+ targets during seven of his last eight matchups. That includes his first two games this season, which has launched him to an overall total of 19. That ties Allen with Robert Woods, who averaged 5.4 targets per game during 2022, but has now accumulated 9+ in his first two games with Houston.

Anyone who invested a third-round draft selection in Calvin Ridley should be encouraged by his usage after two matchups as a Jacksonville Jaguar. He has assembled 19 targets and has been targeted on 28.4% of his routes.

Mike Williams has accumulated 18 targets, even though he was limited to just five during the Chargers’ season opener. Williams was targeted 13 times by Justin Herbert when Los Angeles traveled to Tennessee. That was his highest weekly total since Week 5 of last season.

It was uncertain whether DeAndre Hopkins' ankle injury would prevent him from operating as the Titans' primary receiving option for their Week 2 matchup with the Chargers. He ultimately played on 37 snaps, while running 21 routes during the contest. He was also limited to five targets, although he is currently in a tie for 12th with 18 entering Week 3. That ties him with 10-year veteran Mike Evans, who has now averaged 9.3 targets per game during his last six regular-season matchups.

Davante Adams has accumulated 811 targets (10.7 per game) since Week 1 of 2018. That is the highest total among all wide receivers. It also includes the 17 that he has garnered during his first two games this season.

Christian Kirk had been relegated to an alarmingly low three targets in a 9.4% share during the Jaguars’ season opener. However, the 14 targets that he accumulated in Week 2 vaulted him to second overall for the week. It had also expanded his overall total of 17 entering Week 3.

CeeDee Lamb experienced a similar rise after being limited to four targets during the Cowboys' season opener. He was targeted 13 times by Dak Prescott in Week 2, which launched his overall total of 17. That ties him with Tutu Atwell, who had only collected 35 targets during the first 30 games of his career prior to the 2023 regular season.

George Pickens attained a double-digit total for the first time in his career during Week 2 which expanded his season total to 17. Amari Cooper joined him after attaining 10+ for the 26th time since his 2015 rookie season.

Ja’Marr Chase has also collected 17 targets although his 8.5 per game average easily trails the 11.3 per game that he averaged last season. Chase’s numbers and the current state of Cincinnati’s passing attack will be examined further in the Five Things I Noticed section.

 

Targets Risers And Fallers 

Wide Receiver Week 1 Week 2  Change  
Christian Kirk 3 14 +11
CeeDee Lamb 4 13 +9
Mike Williams 5 13 +8
Adam Thielen 2 9 +7
Drake London 1 8 +7
Tyler Lockett 4 10 +6
Chase Claypool 2 8 +6
Tank Dell 4 10 +6
Puka Nacua 15 20 +5
Marquise Brown 5 10 +5
Tyler Boyd 3 8 +5
DJ Moore 2 7 +5
Tee Higgins 8 12 +4
Amari Cooper 7 10 +3
George Pickens 7 10 +3
Garrett Wilson 5 8 +3
Jonathan Mingo 5 8 +3
Jayden Reed 5 8 +3
Gabe Davis 4 7 +3
Elijah Moore 7 9 +2
Calvin Ridley 11 8 -3
River Cracraft 5 2 -3
A.J. Brown 10 6 -4
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 7 3 -4
DeVonta Smith 10 5 -5
Zay Flowers 10 5 -5
Allen Robinson 8 3 -5
Demario Douglas 7 2 -5
Tyreek Hill 15 9 -6
Stefon Diggs 13 7 -6
Terrace Marshall 6 0 -6
DeAndre Hopkins 13 5 -8

A total of 14 different wide receivers were targeted at least 10 times during their matchups in Week 2. This group was spearheaded by rookie Puka Nacua, as the 20 targets that he stockpiled easily surpassed all other receivers during their Week 2 matchups.

Nacua has established multiple records during the exceptional start to his career. That includes the most receptions by a rookie during his first two (25), and the most receptions in a single game by a rookie (15).  He also became the first receiver in NFL history to accumulate 10 receptions and 100 yards in each of his first two career matchups.

Christian Kirk’s aforementioned rise from three targets in Week 1 to 14 targets when Jacksonville hosted Kansas City launched him to the second-highest total of the week. There has been no similar fluctuation in Justin Jefferson’s weekly totals, as he followed up the 12-target outing during Minnesota’s season opener by collecting 13 from Kirk Cousins in Week 2.

Mike Williams also captured 13 targets in Week 2. He has now attained a double-digit total in two of his last four regular-season matchups while interspersing those totals were just five targets during the other two outings contained within that span.

Michael Pittman's 12 targets in Week 2 expanded his season total to 23. That easily leads all Indianapolis wide receivers as rookie Josh Downs is second on the team with 12 entering Week 3.

Tee Higgins was also targeted 12 times by Joe Burrow and was targeted on 30% of his routes in Week 2. He currently leads Cincinnati with 20 targets as the team prepares for their Week 3 matchup with the Rams. The disappointing numbers that have been accumulated by the Bengals will be examined further in the Five Things I Noticed section.

Only 14 wide receivers have accumulated more targets than Tyler Lockett since 2019, as he has eclipsed 100+ targets during each of his last four seasons while collecting 480 (7.3 per game) during that span. Lockett’s 10 targets tied him with Keenan Allen, who led the league with 68 targets (11.3 per game) during his final six matchups in 2022. Allen is currently fourth in routes run (88) and has been targeted on 21.6% of his routes.

Marquise Brown secured 10 targets in Week 2, which was his first double-digit total since Week 5 of last season. Rookie Tank Dell also secured his place among wide receivers who attained a double-digit target total in Week 2 by collecting 10 from C.J. Stroud. Dell also accumulated 66 snaps and ran 45 routes during his second career outing.

Kirk’s 14 targets in the aftermath of his disappointing total in Week 1 ignited a week-to-week rise of +11. Lamb’s total of four targets in Week 1 was his lowest since Week 18 of the 2021 regular season. However, the 13 targets that he collected in Week 2 fueled a rise of +9.

Williams was limited to five targets during the Chargers’ season opener. However, the 13 targets that Justin Herbert distributed when Los Angeles traveled to Tennessee. launched his weekly rise of +8. Adam Thielen ran 37 routes but was limited to just two targets during Carolina's season opener. He also ran 137 routes in Week 2 but was targeted 11 times. That improved his week-to-week total by +9.

The eight targets that were collected by Drake London were embraced by managers. They also fueled his weekly rise of +7. The 10 targets that were accumulated by Lockett and Dell were collected one week after each receiver had been relegated to four. That ignited their week-to-week increases of +6.

Hopkins’ 13 targets in Week 1 tied him for third overall. He surfaced in Tennessee’s lineup while contending with his ankle issue in Week 2, and was limited to five targets. That created his weekly drop of -8.

Tyreek Hill tied for the league lead with 15 targets in Week. 1. He also captured nine targets when Miami traveled to New England in Week 2, but that still resulted in a decline of -6. That tied him with Diggs, who has been targeted on 43.5% of his routes despite the decline.

DeVonta Smith and Zay Flowers both accrued 10 targets during their teams’ season openers. However, both receivers were relegated to five targets in Week 2. That fueled their week-to-week decreases of -5.

 

Fantasy Football Air Yards 

Wide Receiver  Air Yards Air Yards% aDOT
Tyreek Hill 346 46.1 14.4
Justin Jefferson 299 45.4 12
Kendrick Bourne 289 37.7 14.5
Nico Collins 275 43.2 13.8
Tee Higgins 273 58.6 13.7
Puka Nacua 271 36 7.7
Chris Olave 264 40.9 12.6
Tutu Atwell 235 31.3 13.8
Amari Cooper 230 34.2 13.5
Mike Evans 225 47.3 12.5
DeVonta Smith 221 45.7 14.7
A.J. Brown 213 44 13.3
Keenan Allen 200 33.2 10.5
Justin Watson 197 33.4 21.9
Mike Williams 192 31.9 10.7
Calvin Ridley 184 38.4 9.7
Davante Adams 180 48.1 10.6
DeAndre Hopkins 180 36.7 10
Brandon Aiyuk 174 41.6 12.4
Darius Slayton 171 35.9 15.5
Garrett Wilson 165 48.4 12.7
Michael Wilson 164 35.1 23.4
Stefon Diggs 161 34.6 8.1
Jordan Addison 152 23.1 13.8
Jayden Reed 152 32.5 11.7
Josh Reynolds 151 31.5 11.6
Zay Jones 148 30.9 11.4
Robert Woods 144 22.6 7.6
Gabe Davis 144 31 13.1
DK Metcalf 142 39.2 12.9
Tyler Lockett 141 39 10.1
Jaylen Waddle 140 18.7 12.7
Marquise Brown 138 29.6 9.2
Amon-Ra St. Brown 134 28 8.9
Michael Pittman 132 36.5 5.7
Deebo Samuel 129 30.9 8.1
Tank Dell 128 20.1 9.1
Van Jefferson 128 17 14.2
CeeDee Lamb 126 37.2 7.4
Ja'Marr Chase 126 27 7.4
Allen Lazard 124 36.4 15.5
Chris Godwin 115 24.2 8.2
Braxton Berrios 115 15.3 14.4
Courtland Sutton 113 35.4 9.4
K.J. Osborn 112 17 9.3
Skyy Moore 110 18.6 15.7
Mack Hollins 107 40.1 10.7
Terry McLaurin 104 26.3 10.4
Nelson Agholor 103 33.7 17.2
Treylon Burks 102 20.8 14.6
Jahan Dotson 98 24.8 8.2

Tyreek Hill continues to lead the league with 346 air yards. Justin Jefferson is second (299), followed by Kendrick Bourne (289), Nico Collins, (275), Tee Higgins (273), Puka Nacua (271), Chris Olave (264), and Nacua’s teammate Tutu Atwell (235). Amari Cooper (230), Mike Evans (225), DeVonta Smith (221), A.J. Brown (213), and Keenan Allen (200), complete the list of 13 receivers who have eclipsed 200 air yards entering Week 3.

Jefferson’s 185 yards in Week 2 led all wide receivers, followed by Bourne with 173. Williams was next (152), followed by Higgins (140), Wilson (134), Olave (133), and two receivers who accumulated 129 air yards - Nacua and Darius Slayton.

Higgins has soared into the league lead in air yards share (58.6%), followed by Darnell Mooney (53.5%), Wilson (48.4%), Adams (48.1%),  Evans (47.3%), Jonathan Mingo (46.2%), (Hill (46.1%), Smith (45.7%), and Jefferson, who attained a share of 45.4%.

George Pickens led all receivers with a share of 72.1% in Week 2. He was followed by Smith (60.5%), Higgins (58.8%), Mingo (55.0%), Lamb (51.8%), Jefferson (51.4%), and Wilson, who secured a share of 51.0%.

 

Wide Receiver Routes Run  

Wide Receiver Routes
Justin Jefferson 93
Ja'Marr Chase 92
Tutu Atwell 91
Keenan Allen 88
Puka Nacua 85
Van Jefferson 84
Michael Pittman 83
K.J. Osborn 82
Jahan Dotson 82
DJ Moore 81
Robert Woods 80
Alec Pierce 77
Josh Downs 76
Tyler Boyd 75
DeVonta Smith 74
Terry McLaurin 74
Parris Campbell 74
Tee Higgins 73
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 71
Tyler Lockett 70
Nico Collins 69
Zay Flowers 69
Kendrick Bourne 69
Darius Slayton 68
Calvin Ridley 67
Mike Williams 66
Tank Dell 66
Courtland Sutton 66
Curtis Samuel 66
Christian Kirk 65
Chris Godwin 65
A.J. Brown 65
CeeDee Lamb 63
Jordan Addison 63
DK Metcalf 63
Mike Evans 62
Marquise Brown 62
Tyreek Hill 61
Amon-Ra St. Brown 61
Skyy Moore 59
Chase Claypool 59
Deebo Samuel 58
Joshua Palmer 58
JuJu Smith-Schuster 56
Jaylen Waddle 54
DeAndre Hopkins 54
Treylon Burks 54
Zay Jones 54
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 54
Drake London 53
Davante Adams 52

Justin Jefferson has run 93 routes entering Week 3 which leads all wide receivers. Ja’Marr Chase is second overall (92), followed by Tutu Atwell (91), Keenan Allen (88), Puka Nacua (85), Van Jefferson (84), Michael Pittman (83), and two receivers who have run 82 routes. - Jahan Dotson, and K.J. Osborn. D.J. Moore (81) and Robert Woods (80) complete the list of 11 receivers who have accumulated at least 80 routes.

Atwell led all receivers with 58 routes during the matchups of Week 2. Chase was second (52), followed by Nacua (51), Van Jefferson (49), Justin Jefferson (47),  Lockett (47), and two receivers who were tied with 46 (Stefon Diggs/DeVante Parker). 10 additional receivers ran at least 40 routes, including Tank Dell, CeeDee Lamb, and Christian Kirk.

 

Wide Receiver Targets Per Route Run 

Wide Receiver TPRR%
Amari Cooper 77.3
Chris Olave 63.6
Elijah Moore 57.1
Michael Thomas 51.5
Stefon Diggs 43.5
Jakobi Meyers 41.7
Puka Nacua 41.2
Tyreek Hill 39.3
Garrett Wilson 38.2
George Pickens 37
Kadarius Toney 37
Gabe Davis 36.7
Calvin Austin 35.7
Jayden Reed 35.1
DeAndre Hopkins 33.3
Rashid Shaheed 33.3
Davante Adams 32.7
Jonathan Mingo 31.7
Adam Thielen 29.7
Brandon Aiyuk 29.2
Nico Collins 29
Kendrick Bourne 29
Mike Evans 29
Diontae Johnson 28.6
Calvin Ridley 28.4
Michael Pittman 27.7
Deebo Samuel 27.6
Tee Higgins 27.4
Mike Williams 27.3
CeeDee Lamb 27
Justin Jefferson 26.9
Allen Lazard 26.7
Marvin Mims 26.7
Mack Hollins 26.3
Christian Kirk 26.2
Josh Reynolds 25
A.J. Brown 24.6
Amon-Ra St. Brown 24.6
Allen Robinson 24.4
Marquise Brown 24.2
Zay Jones 24.1
Robert Woods 23.8

Amari Cooper leads all wide receivers in targets per route run (77.3%). Chris Olave has risen to second overall ((63.6%), followed by Elijah Moore (57.1%), Michael Thomas (51.5%), Stefon Diggs (43.5%), Jakobi Meyers (41.7%), and Puka Nacua (41.2%). Tyreek Hill was next at 39.3%, followed by Garrett Wilson (38.2%), George Pickens (37%), Kadarius Toney (37%), and Gabe Davis, who has been targeted on 36.7% of his routes.

Bourne led all receivers in targets per route run during Week 2 (40.9%), followed by Nacua (40.2%), Deebo Samuel (36%), Hill (34.6%), and Christian Kirk (34.1%). Seven receivers were targeted on 33.3% of the routes including Davante Adams, Chase Claypool, and Kadarius Toney.

 

Wide Receiver Yards Per Route Run  

Wide Receiver YPRR
Chris Olave 6
Amari Cooper 5.77
Rashid Shaheed 5.07
Tyreek Hill 4.18
Gabe Davis 4.13
Mike Evans 3.82
Stefon Diggs 3.65
Brandon Aiyuk 3.58
George Pickens 3.54
Michael Thomas 3.52
CeeDee Lamb 3.49
Garrett Wilson 3.44
Jakobi Meyers 3.38
Justin Jefferson 3.32
Nico Collins 3.28
Puka Nacua 3.13
Jaylen Waddle 3.04
Davante Adams 2.88
Amon-Ra St. Brown 2.84
Elijah Moore 2.82
Josh Reynolds 2.81
DeVonta Smith 2.41
Mack Hollins 2.39
Jayden Reed 2.3
Tutu Atwell 2.15
Keenan Allen 2.13
Jordan Addison 2.11
Deebo Samuel 2.03
Zay Flowers 2.03
Calvin Ridley 1.99
DeAndre Hopkins 1.94
Mike Williams 1.94
D.K. Metcalf 1.94
Michael Pittman 1.84
Christian Kirk 1.83
Adam Thielen 1.78
Treylon Burks 1.74
Allen Robinson 1.69
Calvin Austin 1.68
Chris Godwin 1.68
A.J. Brown 1.66

Chris Olave leads all wide receivers with an average of 6.0 yards per route run. Amari Cooper is second overall (5.77), followed by Rashid Shaheed (5.07), Tyreek Hill (4.18), Gabe Davis (4.13), Mike Evans (3.82), Stefon Diggs (3.65), and Brandon Aiyuk, who is averaging 3.58 yards per route run.

Mike Evans attained the highest yards per route run average during the matchups of Week 2 (6.33). Nelson Agholor was second (4.50), followed by Treylon Burks (4.47), Nico Collins (3.95), Jaylen Waddle (3.91), DeVonta Smith (3.85), Davante Adams (3.50), and two additional receivers who averaged over 3.4 yards per route run - CeeDee Lamb (3.49), and Amon-Ra St. Brown 3.4.

 

Fantasy Football Red Zone Targets  

Wide Receiver Inside 20 Inside 10 Inside 5
Tyreek Hill 5 4 3
Zay Flowers 5 2 1
Calvin Ridley 5 2 1
Tyler Lockett 5 2 1
Zay Jones 5 1 1
Keenan Allen 4 3 0
Stefon Diggs 4 2 1
Tee Higgins 4 2 2
Ja'Marr Chase 4 2 1
Michael Thomas 4 2 0
Brandon Aiyuk 3 2 0
Robert Woods 3 1 0
DK Metcalf 3 1 0
Michael Thomas 3 2 0
Chris Godwin 3 1 0
Courtland Sutton 3 1 1
Jayden Reed 3 2 0
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 3 1 1
Marquise Brown 3 1 1
Jakobi Meyers 3 3 2
Josh Downs 3 1 1
K.J. Osborn 3 2 0
Parris Campbell 3 0 0
KaVontae Turpin 3 1 0
Joshua Palmer 3 2 0
Amon-Ra St. Brown 2 1 0
George Pickens 2 0 0
Michael Pittman 2 1 1
Rashid Shaheed 2 0 0
Davante Adams 2 1 0
Mike Williams 2 2 0
Garrett Wilson 2 1 1
DeAndre Hopkins 2 0 0
Kendrick Bourne 2 0 0
Elijah Moore 2 0 0
River Cracraft 2 2 1
Skyy Moore 2 1 0
Drake London 2 2 1
Isaiah Hodgins 2 1 0
Romeo Doubs 2 2 1
Dontayvion Wicks 2 0 0
Kadarius Toney 2 1 1

Five different wide receivers are tied for the lead lead with five targets inside the 20. Tyreek Hill, Zay Flowers, Calvin, Ridley, Tyler Lockett, and Zay Jones. Five receivers have garnered four targets - Keenan Alle//Stefon Diggs/Michael Thomas/Tee Higgins/Ja’Marr Chase.

Hill leads the position with four targets inside the 10, while Allen is second with three. Hill has also accumulated a league-best three targets inside the 5-yard line, while Higgins and Jakobi Meyers have been targeted twice.

Four of Lockett’s five red zone targets were accumulated in Week 2 when Seattle traveled to Detroit. Teammates Chase and Higgins each collected four targets inside the 20, while six different receivers were targeted three times in Week 2, including Calvin Ridley, Keenan Allen, and Jayden Reed.

Lockett, Chase, Higgins, and Drake London all collected two targets inside the 10 during their Week 2 matchups. Higgins was also the only wide receiver to capture more than one target inside the five.

 

Fantasy Football Snap Counts

Wide Receiver Total Snaps Total Snap %
Van Jefferson 137 87.82
Donovan Peoples-Jones 136 88.89
Tutu Atwell 135 86.54
DeVonta Smith 135 99.26
Keenan Allen 132 93.62
A.J. Brown 127 93.38
Puka Nacua 127 81.41
Robert Woods 122 78.21
Stefon Diggs 122 85.92
Michael Pittman 122 97.6
Gabe Davis 120 84.51
Alec Pierce 119 95.2
Justin Jefferson 117 99.15
Mike Williams 117 82.98
Jonathan Mingo 117 91.41
Adam Thielen 113 88.28
Elijah Moore 113 73.86
Amon-Ra St. Brown 112 83.58
Jahan Dotson 111 84.73
DJ Moore 111 91.74
K.J. Osborn 110 93.22
Ja'Marr Chase 108 97.3
Chris Olave 108 78.26
Michael Thomas 108 78.26
Chris Godwin 108 79.41
Kendrick Bourne 107 71.81
Deebo Samuel 107 89.17
Drake London 107 84.92
Terry McLaurin 106 80.92
Courtland Sutton 106 88.33
Calvin Ridley 106 79.7
Marquise Brown 105 88.98
Amari Cooper 105 68.63
CeeDee Lamb 103 74.64
Nico Collins 102 65.38
Zay Jones 102 76.69
Zay Flowers 102 79.69
Tee Higgins 101 90.99
Allen Robinson 100 87.72
Darius Slayton 100 75.76

Van Jefferson leads all wide receivers in offensive snaps for a second consecutive week (137).  Donovan Peoples-Jones is next (136), followed by two receivers that accumulated 135 snaps - DeVonta Smith, and Tutu Atwell. Keenan Allen has played on 132 snaps, while A.J. Brown and Puka Nacua have accumulated 127.

DeVante Parker has played on 100% of New England‘s offensive snaps although he was sidelined in Week 1. Smith is second overall (99.3%), followed by Justin Jefferson (99.2%), Michael Pittman (97.6%), Ja’Marr Chase (97.3%), and Alec Pierce (95.2%).

Smith led all wide receivers with 75 offensive snaps in Week 2. Atwell was second overall (74), followed by Donovan Peoples-Jones (72), and A.J, Brown (72). Parker was next (71), followed by Woods (68), Nacua (67), and two receivers who are tied at 65 -  Jefferson, and Diggs.

Four receivers were involved in 100% of their teams' offensive snaps - Smith, Parker, Jefferson, and Pierce. Three receivers played on 98% of their team snaps- Chase, Michael Pittman, and Jonathan Mingo.

 

Five Things I Noticed

1. The historically poor performance by Cincinnati’s offense during the Bengals’ season opener was catastrophic for anyone who was dependent upon Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, or Joe Burrow in their lineups during Week 1. Cincinnati only managed an anemic 82 passing yards (67 net), when the Bengals visited Cleveland. That easily established a new career low for Burrow, while plummeting well below his average of 280.3 per game. As did his eye-opening average of 2.65 yards per attempt.

Chase ran 40 routes during the opener, which tied him for 14th overall. He also collected a team-high nine targets from Burrow and was targeted on 22.5% of his routes. However, the two-time Pro-Bowler only averaged 0.98 yards per route run, was limited to 39 receiving yards, and was also relegated to WR44 in PPR scoring with an average of 9.1 points per game.

Higgins's numbers were even more problematic after he failed to catch a pass for the second time in his career. Higgins played on 51 snaps and ran 33 routes. He also finished second on the Bengals in targets (eight) and led Cincinnati wide receivers in targets per route run (24.2%), despite failing to secure a reception.

The discouraging performance was a byproduct of Joe Burrow’s extended absence after he sustained a calf injury on July 27th. That sidelined him throughout nearly all of training camp and also forced him to miss the entire preseason. However, it was logical to anticipate more favorable numbers from Chase, Higgins, and Burrow, along with a significant improvement in all aspects of Cincinnati’s offense when the Bengals hosted Baltimore in Week 2.

The offense did perform more effectively in some categories. However, the passing attack still is not operating with the level of proficiency that had been expected. Burrow’s yardage total improved to 222, as he completed 27 of his 41 attempts. His 5.41 yards per attempt represented an increase, as did his 5.29 yards per attempt.

Chase collected five of his eight targets but failed to reach 40 receiving yards for a second consecutive game. His 35.0 yards per game average entering Week 3 resides far below the 86.2 per game average that he attained in 2021 and 2022 combined. Chase is second overall in routes run (92) but is 16th overall with 17 targets, and his average of 8.5 per game remains below the 11.3 that he secured during 2022. He is also 24th in receptions (10),  and just 58th with 70 receiving yards. He is also averaging just 0.76 yards per route run.

Higgins's numbers did rise considerably in Week 2. He led Cincinnati with 12 targets, which was his highest weekly total since Week 11 of 2022. He also paced the Bengals in receptions (eight), and receiving yards (89), while also generating two touchdowns.

Higgins also captured a league-high four red zone targets in Week 2 and tied for the league lead with two targets inside the 10. He also ran 39 routes in Week 2, while finishing 13th in targets per route run (30%). and averaging 2.23 yards per route run.

The concerns regarding the numbers that have been registered by Cincinnati’s offense have also escalated after Burrow aggravated his troublesome calf in Week 2. The Bengals' prospects of resembling the aerial attack that had been anticipated prior to Week 1 are largely dependent upon Burrow's health moving forward. If Burrow is forced to the sideline, the transition to Jake Browning under center will negatively impact Chase and Higgins.

 

2. The fact that Drake London operates in an Atlanta offense that maintains an unrelenting reliance on the run is no longer newsworthy. There was a legitimate reason for optimism that the combination of London's favorable target share and the late-season surge in his production during 2022 could usher him to a significant increase in his overall numbers this season.

London had secured a league-high 33.0% target share from Weeks 15-18 last season which corresponded with Atlanta's transition from Marcus Mariota to Desmond Ridder under center. This vaulted London to second overall in targets per route run (33%), third in yards per route run (3.06), sixth in receptions (25/6.3 per game), and eighth in receiving yards (333/83.3 per game) during his final four games last season.

Unfortunately, anticipation that London would exceed the expectations of his Round 6 ADP (56/WR23) during the draft season was promptly eviscerated following the discouraging results that transpired during the Falcons’ season opener.

London played on 43 snaps (89.6% share). However, he was limited to only one target throughout Atlanta’s matchup with Carolina. He failed to collect the attempt from Ridder which ensured that London would complete his first game without a reception. Even though Arthur Smith’s unwavering passion for Atlanta‘s ground game has been proven repeatedly, the thorough omission of London from the Falcons’ offense was still an unforeseen development.

The lack of involvement by Atlanta’s 2022 first-round draft selection was also exasperating for anyone who had invested in him. It also added fuel to what is already a steady disdain for Smith’s strategic approach involving the utilization of London and Kyle Pitts. Ridder launched eighteen passes against the Panthers which was easily the lowest total among all 32 teams in Week 1. A league-high 52.9% of his passes were distributed to the Falcons' running backs, while Atlanta finished dead last in targets, to wide receivers (29.4%).

These numbers understandably launched emerging doubts surrounding London’s ability to reward anyone who selected him during draft season. However, London’s unwanted dearth of production in Week 1 was not replicated against the Packers.

The Falcons ran 78 plays, which is a significant increase from the 48 that they accumulated in Week 1. Smith utilized Atlanta’s ground game on 45 of those plays, although that still allowed Ridder to launch 32 passes - which is the second-highest total during his six starts. He only completed 59.4% of his throws although he did generate a career-high 237 yards.

London accumulated 64 snaps (82.1% share) and ran 34 routes. He was also targeted on 23.5%  of his routes and averaged 1.97 yards per route run. London also led the Falcons in targets (eight/24.1% share), receptions (six), and receiving yards (67).

While London’s expanded production output is a welcome development, Smith will still rely heavily on Atlanta’s rushing attack. When the Falcons are able to operate with an expansive play total during their upcoming matchups, that will increase the likelihood that London will deliver numbers that approach the optimistic expectations that emerged during the offseason.

 

3. The Chargers’ passing attack failed to assemble numbers during the season opener that replicated the results that had been constructed during 2022. However, it was reasonable to expect Justin Herbert and his receiving weaponry to combine for a statistical eruption during their Week 2 matchup at Tennessee, versus a Titans pass defense that had yielded 305 yards to Derek Carr and the Saints in Week 1.     

The Chargers ranked second in pass play percentage (65.1%) and third in passing yardage (268.7 per game) during the 2022 regular season which was Joe Lombardi’s final year as the team’s offensive coordinator. Justin Herbert, averaged 41.1 attempts per game, along with 6.8 yards per attempt, and 6.9 air yards per attempt.

The Chargers dropped to 24th in pass play percentage (47.4%) during their season opener, which was the first installment of a restructured Los Angeles offense, under new OC Kellen Moore. Los Angeles rose to eighth in run play percentage (52.6%) in Week 1, after finishing 31st with a percentage of 34.9% last season.

Herbert completed 22 of his 33 passing attempts and generated 229 yards through the air, while veterans Keenan Allen and Mike Williams combined to commandeer 14 of the targets that were accumulated by the Chargers’ receiving weaponry. Allen paced the team (nine/29.0% share), followed by Williams (five/16.5% share). LA's first-round draft selection Quentin Johnston registered three targets (9.7% share), while third-receiver Joshua Palmer was targeted once (3.2% share). Allen easily led the Chargers in routes run (43), was targeted on  20.9% of his routes, and averaged 1.77 yards per route run.

Williams ran 26 routes, was targeted on 19.2% of those routes, and averaged 1.73 yards per route run. Palmer ran 30 routes and was targeted on 3.3% of his routes while averaging 0.13 yards per route run. Johnston was limited to 19 routes during his NFL debut. He was also targeted on 15.8% of those routes while averaging 0.47 yards per route run.

However, their numbers rose significantly in Week 2. Herbert eclipsed 300 yards in Tennessee (305) while completing 27 of his 41 attempts. Herbert also distributed a league-high 76.9% of those passes to his wide receivers. His yards per attempt rose from 6.9 to 7.44 when contrasted with Week 1, as did his adjusted air yards per attempt (7.5/8.4).

Allen led the Chargers in snaps (60), routes run (45), receiving yards (111), and also generated two touchdowns. Allen was also targeted on 22.2% of his routes, an averaged 2.47 yards per route run. Williams led Los Angeles in targets (13) and tied Allen for the team lead with eight receptions. He also assembled 83 receiving yards, ran 40 routes, was targeted on 32.5% of those routes, and averaged 2.08 yards per route run.

The Chargers' pass play percentage of 56.7%  now ranks 18th overall entering Week 3. The repeated connections between Herbert, Allen, and Williams should be sustained during the short term in Moore’s offense. That will keep the trio involved with sufficient frequency to reward fantasy managers during upcoming weeks. Johnson's role will eventually expand, which looms as an eventual threat to William's current level of involvement.

 

4. 13 wide receivers were selected before Houston secured Nico Collins with the 89th overall pick of the 2021 NFL Draft. Collins entered Week 1 with career highs of 66 targets, 37 receptions, and 481 receiving yards that were established in 2022.  He had also averaged 5.3 targets, 2.9 receptions, and 38.6 yards per game during his first two seasons.

However, he delivered an encouraging sequence during his final four matchups last season when he vaulted to sixth overall in targets (36/9.0 per game), while averaging  4.8 receptions, and 44 yards per game.

Collins also began the season with the most career targets, receptions, receiving yards,  and air yards among all wide receivers who were returning to the Texans’ roster. He was also included in a depth chart that also contained 31-year-old Robert Woods, six-year veteran Noah Brown, 2022 draft selection John Metchie, and rookies Tank Dell, and Xavier Hutchinson.

After his first two matchups this season, Collins is easily assembling the most prolific numbers of his career. Collins has played on 102 snaps, procured a 22% target share, and ascended to sixth overall in targets (20/10 per game). He is also fifth in receiving yards (226/113 per game), fifth in yards per reception (17.4), and sixth in yards before catch (151). Collins has also risen to ninth in receptions (13/6.5 per game) and has vaulted to second with six receptions of 20+ yards.

Collins has benefitted from operating in a Houston aerial attack that is currently fifth in pass play percentage (67.6%). C.J. Stroud has also launched 91 passing attempts, which is a total that has only been exceeded by two other signal callers. Stroud is also fourth in passing yardage (626/313 per game), and the Texans should need to sustain their reliance on Stroud and the team’s aerial efforts during the majority of their matchups.

Collins is also sixth with an average of 20.8 points per game and his numbers have been embraced by fantasy managers. However, Tank Dell’s usage and output in Week 2 are noteworthy, and he has also emerged as a viable roster option.

Dell played on 33 snaps during Houston's season opener, ran 23 routes, was targeted on 17.4% of those routes, and averaged 1.48 yards per route run. He also collected three of his four targets and assembled 34 receiving yards. However, Brown was placed on injured reserve (groin) which launched Dell into an expanded role.

He operated on 63 snaps (75%) share and ran 43 routes when Houston hosted Indianapolis in Week 2. He was also targeted on 23.3% of those routes while capturing 10 targets (23.8%) share) from Stroud. Dell also collected seven receptions, while generating 72 yards and a touchdown.

Dell should retain a sizable role as Stroud distributes targets to his weaponry in the upcoming weeks. He should overtake Woods as Houston's WR2 and it is conceivable that he could challenge Collins’ current WR1 responsibilities by the conclusion of the season.

 

5, Jahan Dotson was included in the select group of wide receivers that I targeted for the majority of my rosters throughout the offseason. Several other receivers on that list have begun the year with promising numbers (Chris Olave/Brandon Aiyuk), while it is too soon to determine whether Drake London will match expectations. However, I am increasingly concerned that Dotson will not achieve a breakout status in 2023.

Dotson became the 16th player to be selected during the 2022 NFL draft which placed in a group of six receivers who were selected in Round 1. Dotson assembled encouraging numbers during his rookie season even though a protracted hamstring issue made a significant impact on his season-long results.

Dotson led Washington with a 93.4% snap share in Weeks 1-2 while rising to third among all wide receivers in routes run (92), second in touchdowns (three), and averaging five targets/3.5 receptions/50 yards per game. The problematic hamstring sidelined him from Weeks 5–12 while limiting him to 38 routes from Weeks 10-12. However, Dotson paced the Commanders in targets (26/6.5 per game), targets per route run (22.2%), receptions (16/4.0 per game), receiving yards 290/72.5 per game) and yards per route run (2.48) from Weeks 15-18.

Dotson appeared primed to surpass the level of usage and output that he delivered during his best performances in 2022 while building upon the late-season momentum that he had attained. However, the numbers entering Week 3 have been disappointing. Dotson does lead Washington’s wide receivers with 111 snaps (84.7% share) and also in routes run (82). Dotson also paces the Commandeers with 12 targets and is tied with Curtis Samuel for the team lead in receptions (eight).

However, Dotson is fourth on the team in receiving yardage while averaging 31 per game.  He is also averaging 5.2 yards per target, 7.8 yards per reception, and 1.59 yards per route run. Dotson has been targeted on 14.6% of his routes and is averaging just 0.76 yards per route run. He has also finished at WR46 and WR81 in scoring during his first two matchups. Despite the underwhelming production that Dotson has delivered, it is premature to dismiss his prospects of generating a surge in his output based on the results of just two games. Anyone who invested in Dotson during the draft season should remain patient, as the favorable number of routes that he is accumulating could lead to a rise in his production.



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