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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is moving right along and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for Week 14 of the NFL Season.
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Single Stat NFL Totals
Josh Jacobs over 56.5 rushing yards - My only concern here is the game script. If the Chiefs get way ahead like they did on November 14th, Jacobs could be fazed out of the rushing game like he was then, but I think the Raiders find a way to keep this game close. The Chiefs just allowed Javonte Williams to gash them for 102 rushing yards and have allowed a running back to hit this total in every game but one since Week 6. The Raiders will likely try to establish the run early in order to keep the Chiefs offense off the field and Jacobs should see several carries early on to help get over this total.
Austin Ekeler over 53.5 rushing yards - Ekeler has hit this in two of his previous five games and barely missed it in a third game. He will be facing a Giants defense that has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards to running backs on the season. The Chargers will also enter this game as double-digit favorites, so Ekeler should see plenty of additional carries. The Chargers could also be without star wide receiver, Keenan Allen, which will also increase Ekeler's volume.
Travis Kelce over 67.5 receiving yards - Kelce has gone over this total in three of his previous four games and gets to face a Raiders defense he just lit up for 118 receiving yards just four weeks ago. The Raiders have been horrendous against the tight end position as they have allowed an average of over 67 receiving yards per game to the position. They have also struggled against the better tight ends in the league as they have allowed 70 or more receiving yards to Noah Fant, Mike Gesicki, Jared Cook, and Dallas Goedert in addition to Kelce.
Elijah Mitchell under 71.5 rushing yards - I loved Mitchell last week vs. the Seahawks and he managed to rush for just 66 yards on a massive 22 carries. While the volume is certainly there for Mitchell to go over this total, the Bengals have only allowed four running backs to eclipse this total in 2021 and have allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards to running backs this season.
Other Recommendations - Taylor Heinicke over 240.5 passing yards, CeeDee Lamb over 72.5 receiving yards, Terry McLaurin over 60.5 receiving yards. George Kittle over 56.5 receiving yards, Adam Humphries over 17.5 receiving yards
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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