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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, May 10th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Lakers @ Warriors
The Lakers take on the Warriors on Wednesday, May 10th at Chase Center, San Francisco. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Los Angeles Lakers (43-39) vs. Golden State Warriors (44-38)
- Date: Wednesday, May 10th
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Lakers @ Warriors
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Lakers & Warriors Key Injuries
Lakers
- Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
- LeBron James (Probable) Foot
- Mo Bamba (Questionable) Ankle
Warriors
- Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Questionable) Toe
- Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot
Los Angeles Lakers - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Warriors by a score of 104-101, the Lakers are riding a two-game win streak. LeBron James led the way in scoring with 27 points. Not only did Los Angeles win the game, but they also covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 43-39, placing them 7th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 23-18 at home and 20-21 on the road. The Lakers have a two-game win streak against the spread and have an overall ATS mark of 47-43.
This season, the Los Angeles offense has been excellent, ranking 9th in the NBA at 117.2 points per game. Los Angeles has averaged 114 points per contest over their last five games. Los Angeles has used pace to their advantage this season, averaging 101.8 possessions per game, which is the 4th most in the league. This up-tempo style has made up for a three-point field goal percentage of 34.6% (34th). In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Lakers are 3rd in the NBA in attempts while connecting at a rate of 77.5%.
Los Angeles' defense is currently ranked 18th in the league at 115.1 points allowed per game. Los Angeles is hovering around the league average despite forcing turnovers at a below-average rate of 13.5 per game. Also, the unit has struggled to clean up the defensive glass, ranking 24th in defensive rebounds per game. So far, opponents have hit 47.1% of their field goal attempts and 35.4% of their looks from deep.
Golden State Warriors - NBA Betting Analysis
The Warriors enter today's game having lost two straight, including a 104-101 loss to the Lakers. Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 31 points on 40.0% shooting. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Golden State as the 2.5-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Warriors' overall record sits at 44-38, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 33-8 and 11-30 on the road. The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in 2 straight games and have an overall ATS record of 43-49.
With an average of 118.9 points per game, the Warriors are ranked 2nd in the NBA in scoring. Despite this, their recent performance has been below average, scoring just 111 points per game in their last five contests. The key to the Warriors' offensive success is in their balance of pace and efficiency. This season, they are ranked 5th in the league in pace, while also hitting 38.5% of their three-point shots. Currently, the team's effective field goal percentage of 57.1% is ranked 4th in the NBA.
Golden State's defense will take the court ranked 18th in the league at 115.1 points per game. Despite their struggles on the defensive glass, ranking 35.6 in defensive rebounds per contest, and generating turnovers at a below-average rate of 15.7 per game, the unit has managed to maintain league-average numbers. So far, opponents have shot 47.1% from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Lakers vs. Warriors
Today's matchup will be the 8th game of the season between the Lakers and the Warriors. So far, the Lakers have the leg up in the series 6-2. The most recent game between the teams resulted in both a straight-up and ATS win for the Lakers (104-101). Their combined 205 points fell below the over/under line of 228.0.
In the Lakers' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 4-6 with an average of 227 points per contest.
Across Golden State's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Warriors are 1-2 straight up on an average scoring differential of -4 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 224 points per game and an over/under mark of 4-6.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: LAL +7.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 226.0
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