Faster and Furious: Pitchers With Rising Velocity

The shortened 2020 season resulted in some small sample size related caveats surrounding analysis heading into 2021, but fastball velocity is largely immune from that issue. Fastball velocity is extremely quick to stabilize, and even a few pitches can provide fantasy managers with a reasonably clear understanding of a pitcher’s velocity. Further supporting that notion […]

Nick Mariano's Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Third Base Rankings

Hope springs eternal for the 2021 baseball season, but it's hard to imagine we'll be completely past COVID-19 by then. Plus, we could see opening salvos for the CBA debates to come. But for now, let's just close our eyes and dream of a perfect world and chat as if a 162-game season will come […]

Noteworthy xwOBA-wOBA Pitching Leaders

One of the oddities brought on by the shortened 2020 season was the number of qualified pitchers with huge gaps between their xwOBA and wOBA. In 2019, only seven qualified pitchers posted a wOBA at least 0.050 points away from their xwOBA in either direction, a number that ballooned to 52 pitchers in 2020. Of […]

Nick Mariano's Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Second Base Rankings

As usual, I'll start by saying the 2021 baseball season may still be affected by COVID-19. Maybe even more labor disputes just for a curveball. But for now, let's just close our eyes and dream of a perfect world and chat as if a 162-game season will come next spring. Join me for my position-by-position […]

2021 First Look Fantasy Values: Third Base

The baseball offseason may officially begin with the end of the World Series but the projections offseason began last Thursday night with the release of the first Steamer projections for 2021. Created and maintained by mathematics teacher Jared Cross and his former students, Steamer remains the industry standard for non-aggregated projection systems, as well as […]

Nick Mariano's Early 2021 Fantasy Baseball Catcher Rankings

Let's cut right to it: the 2021 baseball season is not guaranteed to be a normal one. But for now, let's just close our eyes and dream of a world unencumbered by COVID-19 and talk about our silly little game as if a 162-game season will come next spring. It is time to decide how […]

2021 First Look Fantasy Values: Outfielders

The baseball offseason may officially begin with the end of the World Series but the projections offseason began last Thursday night with the release of the first Steamer projections for 2021. Created and maintained by mathematics teacher Jared Cross and his former students, Steamer remains the industry standard for non-aggregated projection systems, as well as […]

2021 First Look Fantasy Values: First Base and Second Base

The baseball offseason may officially begin with the end of the World Series but the projections offseason began last Thursday night with the release of the first Steamer projections for 2021. Created and maintained by mathematics teacher Jared Cross and his former students, Steamer remains the industry standard for non-aggregated projection systems, as well as […]

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Values Based On Contact Quality

In part one of this series, I established that zxwOBAcon is the primary driver of season-to-season changes in xwOBAcon and that the biggest risers in zxwOBAcon each season tend to be rebound candidates. Furthermore, rebound candidates recover all of their zxwOBAcon losses more often than not and frequently outperform their season x zxwOBAcon in season […]

Warning Signals in Shift Increases: Part One

Shifts work. Not all the time and not against everyone but eventually there is a sufficient amount of data on a player to be able to draw some pretty strong conclusions about what advantages can be gained by shifting. There are good reasons that Joey Gallo was shifted against 98.5% of the time in 2020. Not everyone […]

Lineup Order Risers and Fallers: AL West 2020 Review

It’s the offseason and there are about to be a bunch of moving parts. This allows for speculation in terms of players gaining or losing playing time, moving up or down a batting order and much more. The idea here is to highlight some lineup situations for each team and some potential winners or losers […]

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/14/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

It's Wednesday and we're still rolling through the AL and NL Championship Series with the main slate starting at 5:05 CT. The Tampa Bay Rays are on the verge of an impressive sweep over Houston as they're up 3-0 and will be throwing out their ace in Glasnow. The Braves barely held on to win […]

FanDuel MLB DFS Lineup Picks (10/8/20): Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

The Division Series has taught us fantasy managers some valuable lessons: Dodger Stadium and Petco Park are now apparently hitter’s parks, Randy Arozarena is Mike Trout-lite, and that bubble series can provide loads of intensity. The odds are that this is the final four-game slate of the 2020 baseball season, so as my mate Ziggy […]

Daily MLB DFS Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings for 10/8/20 (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Below you will find our Premium DFS value plays for 10/8/2020. These picks will target low-priced players in the main slate. We have another 4-game main slate of playoff baseball on tap today, with potential elimination games across the board. There are not many high […]

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/8/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

We head into Thursday with 4 game slate featuring potential elimination games in all four games. There is not a ton of elite pitching targets, which means we will have bats for days. This is a slate to make sure you get the proper players in your lineups, and if that means leaving money on […]

Top MLB DFS Tournament Stacks and Avoids for October 7, 2020 (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. We will be releasing our Premium MLB DFS picks every single day of the week for the entire MLB and fantasy baseball season and postseason.   Top Avoids of the Day for 10/7/20  Jose Urquidy vs. Oakland Athletics Uriquidy is drawing the start today which […]

FanDuel MLB DFS Lineup Picks (10/7/20): Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

This may be our last slate with four games to choose from in the postseason as the Athletics fight elimination from the Astros today. Regardless of who advances, postseason FanDuel slates are always a blast with the game's stars on center stage. There are lots of value hitters available as well as multiple teams to […]

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/7/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

We're rolling along with the week and we head into Wednesday's DraftKings MLB slate with four games on tap. The NL will be playing the second game of their series while the AL teams are playing in game three of their series. We have a couple of appealing starting pitchers to target to go along […]

Daily MLB DFS Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings for 10/7/20 (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Below you will find our Premium DFS value plays for 10/7/2020. These picks will target low-priced players in the main slate. We have a 4-game main slate of playoff baseball on tap today, including a potential elimination game between the Astros and A's. There are […]

Top MLB DFS Tournament Stacks and Avoids for October 6th, 2020 (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. We will be releasing our Premium MLB DFS picks every single day of the week for the entire MLB and fantasy baseball season and postseason.   Top Avoids of the Day for 10/6/20  Mike Clevinger vs Los Angeles Dodgers Announced as the Padres starter over Chris […]

Daily MLB DFS Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings for 10/6/20 (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Below you will find our Premium DFS value plays for 10/6/2020. These picks will target low-priced players in the main slate. Finally, we get a full 4-game slate to pick from. The National League Divisional series kicks off today with the Marlins vs. Braves and […]

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/6/20) - MLB DFS Lineups

We head into Tuesday with 4 game slate featuring Game 2 of the ALDS matchups and the start of the two NLDS matchups. There are some interesting pitching options, and that should allow for some nice offensive spots to attack. Probably can not get much more offensive than last night, but we can try and […]

FanDuel MLB DFS Lineup Picks (10/6/20): Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

The days of four-game MLB slates are fast dwindling as the American League and National League Division Series take centerstage at once beginning Tuesday. With no elimination scenarios on the table yet, starting pitchers should have a reasonable leash, although as you’ll come to read, some may have longer ones than others. As can usually […]

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/5/20): MLB DFS Lineups

Two! Two-game slate! Ahh...Ahh...Ahhh! I love to count and play DFS! I also have two small children and obviously watch way too much Sesame Street. Let's talk about gambling instead. With limited options today, I'll do things a little differently and make my picks more general, as opposed to building one lineup. I think all […]

MLB DFS Cheat Sheet and Lineup Picks for 10/5/20 (Premium Content)

MLB DFS Premium Cheatsheet for 10/5 All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. With only two games on the slate, I'll be breaking down each game with my favorite pitchers and hitters from each. I would recommend using some caution here and responsible bankroll management as we should be getting four-game […]

FanDuel MLB DFS Lineup Picks (10/5/20): Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

What a strange weekend it was without baseball. The scheduling continues to boggle many minds, but at least the playoffs will be back on our screens tonight and give us more opportunities to win playing daily fantasy. It's only a two-game slate to kick off the Division Series round, but there will be some fireworks […]

Daily MLB DFS Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings for 10/5/20 (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Below you will find our Premium DFS value plays for 10/5/2020. These picks will target low-priced players in the main slate. We have a 2-game main slate of playoff action as we kick off the American League Divisional Series. The A's take on the Astros, […]

MLB Betting & DFS Preview: National League Divisional Series

It's October, and it feels great to have postseason baseball in our lives once again! Now that the opening round of the extended 2020 MLB playoffs has concluded, it's time for the divisional round to begin with the remaining eight teams battling it out in this best-of-five format. In this article, the focus switches to […]

MLB Betting & DFS Preview: American League Divisional Series

It's October and it feels great to have postseason baseball in our lives once again! Now that the opening round of the extended 2020 MLB playoffs have concluded it's time for the divisional round to begin with the remaining eight teams battling it out in this best-of-five format. In this article, I will focus on […]

FanDuel MLB DFS Lineup Picks (10/2/20): Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

The MLB scheduling gurus are at it again with a wacky, two-game slate with games starting five hours apart. This will make things a little tricky in DFS as we likely won't have the Cardinals or Padres lineups before the Cubs and Marlins get underway. Beyond that, as of this morning, the Padres don't even […]