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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Sunday, May 7th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nuggets @ Suns
The Nuggets take on the Suns on Sunday, May 7th at Footprint Center, Phoenix. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Denver Nuggets (53-29) vs. Phoenix Suns (45-37)
- Date: Sunday, May 7th
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Footprint Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Nuggets @ Suns
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Nuggets & Suns Key Injuries
Nuggets
- NONE
Suns
- Chris Paul (Out) Groin
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
In Denver's most recent game, Jamal Murray led the team in scoring with 32 points, but the Nuggets fell to the Suns by a score of 121-114 to the Suns. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Denver as the 4.0 point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Nuggets' overall record sits at 53-29, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 34-7 and 19-22 on the road. This season, Denver's ATS record sits at 49-40.
Over their last five games, the Nuggets' are averaging 111 points per game. For the season, Denver is ranked 16th at 115.8 points per contest. Denver's three-point shooting numbers are among the best in the NBA, as the team ranks 8th in the NBA, having hit 37.9% of their looks from deep. But given that they are just 31st in possessions per game, their overall scoring numbers are closer to the league average. Currently, the Nuggets are 2nd in overall field goal percentage.
This season, the Denver defense ranks 9th in the league, giving up an average of 110.4 points per game. Opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 47.1% and have knocked down 34.4% of their three-point attempts. The Nuggets also rank 1st in the NBA for defensive rebounds. However, when it comes to forcing turnovers, Denver is only 17th, with 13.8 turnovers forced per game.
Phoenix Suns - NBA Betting Analysis
The Suns enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 121-114 win over the Nuggets. Devin Booker and his 47 led the way for the Suns. Not only did Phoenix win the game, but they also covered the spread as 4.0-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 45-37, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 28-13 at home and 17-24 on the road. This season, Phoenix's ATS record sits at 46-42.
In their last five games, the Suns have averaging 112 points per contest which is similar to their season average. Overall, Phoenix is ranked 18th in the league with a scoring average of 113.6 points per game. Phoenix's three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 12th in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 37.4%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 98.0 possessions per game, which is just 29th. Their current field goal percentage of 46.7% is 3rd in the league.
Defensively, the Suns are one of the top units in basketball in large part due to their ablity to force turnovers. This season, Phoenix is generating an average of 12.9 turnovers per game which is 3rd in the NBA. They have also done an excellent job cleaning up the boards, ranking 1st in the league. Overall, they are allowing 110.4 points per game (9th) while allowing teams to hit 34.4% of their three-point attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Nuggets vs. Suns
Today's matchup will be the 7th game of the season between the Nuggets and Suns. So far, the Nuggets have the leg up in the series 4-3. The last head-to-head showdown between the teams ended in a 121-114 win for the Suns. However, the Nuggets covered the spread as the 4.0 point underdogs. The over/under line going into the game was 225.0, which they surpassed.
In the Nuggets' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 4-1 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 6-4 with an average of 225 points per contest.
Across Phoenix's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Suns are 3-0 straight up on an average scoring differential of -11 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 230 points per game and an over/under mark of 7-3.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: DEN +2.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 227.5
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