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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Friday, May 5th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nuggets @ Suns
The Nuggets take on the Suns on Friday, May 5th at Footprint Center, Phoenix. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Denver Nuggets (53-29) vs. Phoenix Suns (45-37)
- Date: Friday, May 5th
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Footprint Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Nuggets @ Suns
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Nuggets & Suns Key Injuries
Nuggets
- NONE
Suns
- Chris Paul (Out) Groin
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Suns by a score of 97-87, the Nuggets are riding a three-game win streak. Nikola Jokic led the way in scoring with 39 points. Not only did Denver win the game, but they also covered the spread as 4.0-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 53-29, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 34-7 at home and 19-22 on the road. The Nuggets have a two-game win streak against the spread and have an overall ATS mark of 49-39.
Over their last five games, the Nuggets are averaging 112 points per game. For the season, Denver is ranked 17th at 115.8 points per contest. Denver's three-point shooting numbers are among the best in the NBA, as the team ranks 6th in the NBA, having hit 37.9% of their looks from deep. But given that they are just 32nd in possessions per game, their overall scoring numbers are closer to the league average. Currently, the Nuggets are 2nd in overall field goal percentage.
This season, the Denver defense ranks 7th in the league, giving up an average of 110.4 points per game. Opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 47.1% and have knocked down 34.4% of their three-point attempts. The Nuggets also rank 1st in the NBA for defensive rebounds. However, when it comes to forcing turnovers, Denver is only 17th, with 13.8 turnovers forced per game.
Phoenix Suns - NBA Betting Analysis
The Suns enter today's game having lost two straight, including a 97-87 loss to the Nuggets. Devin Booker led the team in scoring with 35 points on 48.3% shooting. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Phoenix as the 4.0-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Suns' overall record sits at 45-37, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 28-13 and 17-24 on the road. For the season, the Suns are 45-42 vs. the spread but have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
Going into today's game, the Suns are ranked 22nd in scoring with an average of 113.6 points per contest. Over their five most recent games, the team has been scoring an average of 229 points per game. This season, the Suns are ranked 29th in terms of pace with an average of 98.0 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are one of the more efficient teams in the league (6th) with a percentage of 37.9%. Their overall field goal percentage of 50.4% places them 2nd in the NBA.
Defensively, the Suns are one of the top units in basketball in large part due to their ability to force turnovers. This season, Phoenix is generating an average of 12.9 turnovers per game which is 6th in the NBA. They have also done an excellent job cleaning up the boards, ranking 1st in the league. Overall, they are allowing 110.4 points per game (7th) while allowing teams to hit 34.4% of their three-point attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Nuggets vs. Suns
Today's matchup will be the 6th game of the season between the Nuggets and Suns. So far, the Nuggets have the leg up in the series 4-2. The most recent game between the teams resulted in both a straight-up and ATS win for the Nuggets (97-87). Their combined 184 points fell below the over/under line of 229.0.
In the Nuggets' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 4-1 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 6-4 with an average of 223 points per contest.
Across Phoenix's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Suns are 3-0 straight up on an average scoring differential of -11 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 230 points per game and an over/under mark of 7-3.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: PHO -4
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 224.0
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