👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


RotoBaller's Early 2018 Redraft Football Mock - Round 1

The great thing about playing your favorite game with true fantasy degenerates is that there is never an "off" time for the game. It feels like yesterday we started drafting, both in eulogy to the 2017 fantasy football season, and a eulogy to when the RotoBaller writing team started our in-house PPR draft, which has officially been going on for three weeks as of this writing.

Our team was eager to do any sort of mock drafting, so you'll also be able to read a dynasty version of this exercise on the site as well. But our rowdy gang of 12 is in it for the sweet, short-term thrill of re-draft victory. We're using full PPR scoring and a standard 2-2-1 WR/RB/TE breakdown. Free agency news continues to hit as these picks go on, so already we can speculate as to how ADP might be shifting.

Of course, as people who just love the game and want to beat everyone else, we were less interested in the technicalities and exceptions and more interested in righting the wrongs of our previous season. So, let's recap round one.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Way Too Early Mock Results: Round 1

Round 1
Selection Writer Player
1.01 Dennis Clausen Todd Gurley
1.02 Cliff Clinton Ezekiel Elliott
1.03 Justin Carter DeAndre Hopkins
1.04 Chris Mangano Antonio Brown
1.05 Steve Rebeiro David Johnson
1.06 Taylor Maxston Le'Veon Bell
1.07 Chris Zolli Odell Beckham Jr.
1.08 Frankie Soler Rob Gronkowski
1.09 Steve Halupka Melvin Gordon
1.10 Brittany Smith Michael Thomas
1.11 Pierre Camus LeSean McCoy
1.12 Jason Katz Leonard Fournette

 

1.01: Team Dennis Clausen selects Todd Gurley (RB, LAR)

It's a name you're gonna have to get used to seeing at the top of the leader board, now that Todd Gurley has grabbed 13 rushing touchdowns, torched everyone who didn't own him in the playoffs, and emerged not only in the MVP conversation, but nearly 40 points better than any player on the end-of-year fantasy leader boards despite not playing in Week 17. Gurley looks like the offensive bomb that the Rams drafted when their strategy was focused on a smothering offense, and Gurley looks good in Sean McVay's offense in a way that's impossible to criticize. Though I can't begrudge anyone picking Gurley here, he'll need to stay a pivotal piece of the receiving game to be the outright number one guy in fantasy.

1.02: Team Cliff Clinton selects Ezekiel Elliott (RB, DAL)

I was tempted to get David Johnson here, but I was salivating at the change to see Elliott put together a full slate of performances that was comparable to the handful of games he played in 2017. Just two yards shy of a clean hundred yards per game, Elliott's numbers should make him a clear top-five guys with little downside. It may not be the most popular pick this early, but if he can stay on the field all season and come to camp as in-shape as he did after his training trip to Mexico, he'll be a great fantasy building block.

1.03: Team Justin Carter selects DeAndre Hopkins (WR, HOU)

I moved to Houston slightly before Brock Osweiler did, and I remember fondly the year of a grocery store chain doing "Osweiler/Watt are best buddies" commercials, before including Vince Wilfork for some reason and eventually retiring the idea altogether. Well, I'm a strong advocate of a Watson/Hopkins commercial where they are doing sweet throw and catches throughout the store, in anticipation of the most exciting offense the city has seen, at least in football terms. Hopkins was undervalued in 2017 as analysts were unsure of who would be slinging the rock. Now that Watson is the guy, his health will be intertwined with Hopkins's performance to be worthy of top receiver overall, with the consolation prize still being a top-five player at the position. It's a decent trade-off, but not without some risk, especially this high.

1.04: Team Chris Mangano selects Antonio Brown (WR, PIT)

Now Antonio Brown isn't a risky receiver in any sense of the word, more often than not a safe harbor for fantasy ships as well as the Pittsburgh Steelers offense. Of course, it also may be the first season we're talking about a Brown without a Bell, and though that shouldn't affect the receiver's reliability when it comes to making space and putting together big plays out of thing air, it will mean that teams can simply leave multiple defenders on Brown one hundred percent of the time and take their chances with everyone else. It means you still kind of have to take Brown where you can get him, but you may see Brown quietly slide to sixth or seventh in more leagues than he'll climb to pole position.

1.05: Team Steve Rebeiro selects David Johnson (RB, ARI)

Johnson gets a recent injury discount after enough owners got burned by a wrist injury that unexpectedly kept him out all season, but Johnson will have had a full year to nurse before hitting the field again, meaning anything less than peak-David Johnson would be a shock to football and fantasy analysts alike. Rebeiro noted that Johnson was his pick because he didn't think Hopkins would go third, but if Johnson sees the receiving workload he did in his best season, the fantasy gods may have granted him a bit of a gift.

1.06: Team Taylor Maxston selects Le'Veon Bell (RB, PIT)

As of this writing, there is no bigger question mark in fantasy football. The ability and the steadfast performances that are his hallmarks aren't in question, but the "if" and "where" he's going to play certainly are. If the Steelers decide to franchise Bell again, the back has made it clear that he will stick to the sidelines until he gets a fair contract, which may mean a holdout that spans just the preseason at best, or the franchise tag at worst. This route also could cause some bad blood with the team as a whole, meaning that Bell would become as frustrating to his own team as he would be for fantasy owners; simply put, no one is happy if Bell isn't playing.

If Bell gets his wish and gets a fair contract, it probably won't be with Pittsburgh, as it's believed Bell already refused the team's top offer last year while noting that his leaving the team was not as much about the money. Where Bell would go is a total mystery, as no one knows the exact factor he's looking for next, so no one knows what to expect apart from enough cap space.

Credit to Taylor for taking Bell here, but I wouldn't, at least not until have some idea of those other factors. There's just enough question marks not around Bell's ability or drive, but the decisions that have yet to be made that impact his fantasy value at a much greater level. I both respect and fear for the fantasy owners who roll the dice on a very uncertain gambit here.

1.07: Team Chris Zolli selects Odell Beckham Jr. (WR, NYG)

I think you're gonna see Beckham on a lot of teams this year with the "Dirty Dancing" Super Bowl commercial shot, because we're all putting a lot of stock into Eli and Odell capturing the magic and making it work in 2018, the latter most especially. Odell Beckham is entering a very big do-or-die contract year, and I'm sure everyone who is financially linked to the young receiver is telling him to straighten up and fly right this year. Contract years are generally a very fun time to take a chance on talented fantasy players, so you could easily be getting peak Odell Beckham in 2018.

You may see Michael Thomas going before Beckham is some cases because of this surrounding conversation, but don't get it twisted; Beckham has still been a lock for double-digit touchdowns and a minimum of 1,300 yards for the last three years. Zolli took the best player off the board here, and arguably Beckham may represent the Gurley of 2017 when we find ourselves asking why we didn't take him higher.

1.08: Team Frankie Soler selects Rob Gronkowski (TE, NE)

The positives on Gronk: The Brady-Belichick-McDaniels core around him is unchanged, and Gronk is still a big red zone target who was tied for most at his position.

The negatives are much lengthier. Gronkowski is going to be the only guy on this first round list who openly considered retirement recently, and it's potentially due to the over-the-middle concussions he's been susceptible to throughout his career, including the playoffs. The team has adjusted how they use him throughout the season, converting him to more use on the outside or in blocking, and only sending him out over the middle to get slaughtered in worst case situations or playoff games. Gronk also isn't the top guy at his position anymore, seeding that seat to Travis Kelce (Gronk must be referred to as "Old Kelce" now) with Zach Ertz nipping at his heels. And what's more, Gronk is reportedly rumored to a link to the WWE, the only franchise in the world that could make Patriots fans go from "He's not gonna retire," to "Oh, sh*t, he might!"

This is the classic overpaying-for-Gronk that fantasy owners have become numb to, but it's getting worse and worse. Considering Kelce was left on our board until round three (spoiler alert), this seems like a big reach for a guy who is sending out signals that he's tired of getting hit and concussions. If his health doesn't ultimately remove him from the game, it will at least limit a certain facet of his fantasy production.

1.09:  Team Steve Halupka selects Melvin Gordon (RB, LAC)

Melvin Gordon isn't a pick that'll get your fantasy draft room to gasp or faint, or react much at all. Gordon isn't any sort of underrated player as he's being taken in the top-10, but the workload and contribution to the passing game do make him a bit of a commodity that is underappreciated in fantasy circles. Despite Austin Ekeler spending a whopping two games making us wonder if Gordon was part of a committee, Gordon finished the season as the clear clubhouse leader and isn't going anywhere anytime soon.

I like Gordon here, as his contemporaries either have a shorter track record, playing time concerns, or a higher boom-bust status. Gordon is a safe RB1 for leagues, and I'd draft him comfortably with that floor in mind.

1.10: Team Brittany Smith selects Michael Thomas (WR, NO)

With all the conversation around the Kamara and Ingram connection in New Orleans, we didn't pay nearly enough attention to the fact that Michael Thomas was having the best first-two-seasons of fantasy football production in recent memory in terms of yardage, but also that he wasn't eating nearly enough with the talented backs taking all that sweet red zone work. It was my only gripe with a strong 2017 season from the receiver, and I think that in conjunction with that number returning to Thomas's previous mark of nine, you'll see him re-enter the number one receiver conversation. Thomas is Pro Football Focus's second-best receiver overall, so a few more touchdowns sprinkled on top of his consistent yards-per-touch statistic each game should mean very worth considering at the end of round one.

1.11: Team Pierre "Grand PFunk Railroad" Camus selects LeSean McCoy (RB, BUF)

I wrote enough times about the importance of having a RB who is seeing 20 rushing opportunities a game, so getting the guy with the second-most rushing opportunities last year at the end of the first round is a strategy that makes sense. It just comes down to, today, figuring out how the Bills are going to reload for 2018. The best-case scenario with McCoy is he spends at least one more year as the primary weapon for the team, a rushing and catching weapon that had no equal in Buffalo. The worst case scenario is that the Bills don't figure out their offensive situation, and McCoy is left to deal with stacked boxes that will slow him down to a halt in spite of his explosive ability. This is normally the reason we don't do the real drafts until fall.

1.12: Team Jason Katz selects Leonard Fournette (RB, JAX)

Katz had some interesting choices at RB here, all better than Pierre's pick before. Fournette, Kamara, and Hunt all remained, and while I don't know if Fournette was the "right" pick, I can see the logic. Fournette will almost certainly improve on his rookie campaign, and the team will be more comfortable with a twenty plus carry workload game in and game out, if only to keep the ball out of the air and converted in a way that Fournette was able to do even against the best teams. The problem, again, becomes box stacking, in hopes that he doesn't look like the same ineffective weapon he did against the Chargers and Cardinals.

I think Fournette will take a nice step forward, and have less of those fully stopped performances, but the back also plays a very physical game, so I do hold a small concern for injury.

Biggest Reach: Rob Gronkowski

Not to belabor the point, but tight end isn't winning you leagues that way it may have in more recent years. Taking Gronkowski here, and missing out on some of the younger quality RBs that run out about halfway through round three, means you're left playing catch-up on two fronts in exchange for a guy who will almost certainly not break over 250 overall points in 2018.

Biggest Steal:  Michael Thomas

Thomas, as noted, was in striking distance from Antonio Brown in terms of actual football performance in 2017, so there's no reason that won't translate to fantasy with the paired anticipation of a touchdown adjustment. Quietly, Thomas has supplanted guys like Julio Jones, Mike Evans, and AJ Green in the best receiver conversation, and that's going to be worth something in both the short term and long term. While Thomas wasn't my favorite pick in the first round, which largely went as expected apart from a few reaches, the 10th pick was right around the best place for him, and Brittany's position at the turn means she can make a splash at RB that sets her up really well for 2018.

 

More Fantasy Football Mock Drafts and Analysis


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tre Tucker

Not a Long-Term Solution in Dynasty Leagues
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jack Bech

a Dynasty Hold as New-Look Raiders Offense Takes Shape
Jaydon Blue

a Low-Value Dynasty Stash Until Depth Charts are Settled
Makai Lemon

a Top-Five Pick in Dynasty Rookie Drafts
George Kittle

a Dynasty Buy with League-Winning Potential
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

a Dynasty Sleeper with High Touchdown Potential
Tobias Harris

Goes Cold in Game 7 Loss
Quinn Hughes

Open to Signing Extension This Offseason
Jalen Duren

Finishes Game 7 with Quiet Line
Cade Cunningham

Endures Cold Shooting Night Sunday
Joel Eriksson Ek

Misses Second Round Due to Heel Injury
Sam Merrill

Catches Fire in Game 7 Win
Evan Mobley

Posts Versatile Double-Double in Game 7
Jonas Brodin

Sits Out Round 2 Due to Toe Injury
Donovan Mitchell

Guides Cavaliers Into East Finals
Sam Malinski

Practices Fully Sunday
Jarrett Allen

Scores 23 Points in Cavs' Game 7 Rout of Pistons
Josh Manson

Rejoins Practice
Kevin Huerter

Active on Sunday Night
Caris LeVert

Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert Available Sunday
Dean Wade

Max Strus Replaces Dean Wade in Starting Lineup Sunday
Luke Kornet

Iffy for Monday
Larry Nance Jr.

Won't Play Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Listed as Questionable for Monday's Action
Jalen Williams

Officially Available for Game 1 Against Spurs
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Named MVP for Second Straight Year
Jonah Coleman

is an Intriguing Power Back to Target in Dynasty Leagues
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Darius Slayton

Lacking Long-Term Upside for Dynasty Managers
Keaton Mitchell

a Prime Dynasty Handcuff Option Entering First Season in L.A.
Jadarian Price

Looks Like the Running Back of the Future in Seattle
Isaiah Bond

Dynasty Outlook Clouded by Uncertain Role in Cleveland
James Cook III

Remains a High-End Dynasty RB1 Entering 2026
Lamar Jackson

Poised for Bounce Back Season in 2026
Bucky Irving

Expected to Be Ready for Training Camp
Kyle Williams

Deep Threat Kyle Williams Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time
Michael Pittman Jr.

Could Receive Short-Term Value Uptick in PPR Leagues
Stefon Diggs

Chiefs, Commanders Could Make Sense for Stefon Diggs
Will Howard

Dynasty Value Dealt a Blow
Jaylen Warren

Should Benefit From Veteran QB's Return to Pittsburgh
Drew Allar

Could Continue to Hold Dynasty Value
Pat Freiermuth

Could See a Small Dynasty Bump With Veteran QB Returning
Bones Hyland

Wants to Stay in Minnesota
Mike Conley

Hints He Will Continue Playing Next Season
Kevin Huerter

Iffy for Sunday Night
Caris LeVert

Questionable for Game 7
Duncan Robinson

Back on Injury Report Ahead of Game 7
Larry Nance Jr.

Likely Out Sunday Due to Illness
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Jeremy Lauzon

Misses Saturday's Practice
Mark Stone

Doesn't Practice Saturday
Josh Manson

Misses Practice, Considered Day-to-Day
Brent Burns

Day-to-Day Ahead of Conference Finals
Cale Makar

Considered Day-to-Day
Alex Lyon

Likely to Start Game 6 Against Canadiens
Owen Power

Available Saturday
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
Kyle Schwarber

on a Heater, Hits Two More Homers to Take Major-League Lead
Clay Holmes

Suffers Fractured Fibula on Friday Night
Blake Snell

Heads to 15-Day Injured List
Blake Snell

Scratched From Start on Friday for Undisclosed Reasons
Max Fried

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Bone Bruise
CFB

Julian Sayin Looking To Build Off Of Strong Debut Season
CFB

College GameDay Set for First Three Weeks
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Aiming For Ohio State Receiving Records
CFB

Keshaun Singleton Projects as Auburn's WR1
CFB

Jeremiah Cobb Impresses New Auburn Staff
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Very Likely to Start for Georgia Tech
CFB

Charles Woodson Jr. Commits to Michigan
Jordan Westburg

to Have Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Melquizael Costa

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Main Event
Arnold Allen

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 117
Daniel Santos

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Co-Main Event
MMA

Dohoo Choi Returns At UFC Vegas 117
Juan Diaz

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Malcolm Wellmaker

Looks To Bounce Back
Christian Edwards

Set For His UFC Debut
Modestas Bukauskas

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Tarik Skubal

Resumes Playing Catch, Ahead of Schedule?
Lane Hutson

Contributes Two Assists in Game 5 Victory
Nick Suzuki

Amasses Three Points in Crucial Victory Thursday
Juraj Slafkovsky

Dishes Out Three Assists in Game 5 Win
Carter Hart

Stops 31 Pucks in Series-Clinching Win
Pavel Dorofeyev

Enjoys Second Consecutive Multi-Goal Game
Shea Theodore

Records Two Points in Game 6 Win
Mitchell Marner

Scores Special Goal in Series-Clincher
Ryan Johnson

Takes Over as Canucks GM, Sedins Promoted to Co-Presidents
Drew Helleson

Won't Play Thursday
CFB

Virginia Tech Lands Commitment from Four-Star QB Peter Bourque
Byron Buxton

Scratched on Thursday With Hip Soreness
Cal Raleigh

Heading to Injured List With Oblique Strain
Francisco Alvarez

has Knee Surgery, Expected to Miss Eight Weeks
Cal Raleigh

Exits With Apparent Side Injury on Wednesday Night
CFB

NFL Veteran Tom Moore Joins Iowa Coaching Staff
CFB

Can Cam Cook Dominate in Return to Big 12?
CFB

ACC, Big 12 Support 24-Team College Football Playoff
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Looking to Elevate Nebraska Back to National Contention
CFB

Kwazi Gilmer Set for Big Impact at Nebraska
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of PGA Championship Despite Concerning Form
J.J. Spaun

Trending Up Ahead of PGA Championship
Adam Scott

Riding Strong Form Into PGA Championship
Patrick Reed

Looking to Make Another Run at PGA Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Looks to Build on Strong Finish at Truist Championship
Sam Burns

Must Keep Ball in Play at PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Complete Career Grand Slam at Aronimink
Brandt Snedeker

Not the Best Option for the PGA Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Volatile Option at PGA Championship
Maverick McNealy

Seeking Better Start in Philadelphia
Harry Hall

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Aronimink
Hideki Matsuyama

Attempts to Improve Over 2025 PGA Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Defend PGA Championship at Aronimink
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Keep Momentum Rolling in Philadelphia
Ben Griffin

Attempting to Bounce Back After Truist Championship
CFB

Transfer Defensive Lineman Devarrick Woods Commits to Clemson
Harris English

Will Need His Putter to Thrive at Aronimink
Akshay Bhatia

Creative Flair Could Show Itself in Philadelphia
Keegan Bradley

Knows the Aronimink Golf Club Well
Si Woo Kim

Struggles at Truist Championship
Gary Woodland

Can Continue Incredible 2026 Season at PGA Championship
Xander Schauffele

In Excellent Form Heading to PGA Championship
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF