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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday September 18th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Royals vs. Red Sox
The Royals take on the Red Sox on Sunday September 18th at Fenway Park, Boston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Royals (58-88) vs. Boston Red Sox (70-75)
- Date: Sunday September 18th, 2022
- Time: 1:35 ET
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Royals vs. Red Sox
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Kansas City Royals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Kansas City Royals take on the Boston, hoping to improve on their record of just 58-88, placing them 4th in the AL Central division. Heading into today's game, the Royals will look to pick up a win on the road, as they have gone just 24-47 when playing away from home. The unit is coming off a winning effort over Boston by a score of 9-0. To start the year, Kansas City has picked up just 13 series wins, going 13-29-5.
The Royals will send Kris Bubic to the mound with an overall record of 2-12. Bubic will be looking to bring down an ERA of 5.63. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.300). Per 9 innings, Bubic is giving up an average of 1.4 home runs, well above the MLB average. For the season, he has picked up 94 strikeouts on a K rate of 18.0%. In his outings, Kris Bubic is putting batters on through walks at an alarming rate, averaging 4.24 walks per 9 innings.
On offense, Kansas City has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 3.86 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 14th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings of action. Although the team has struggled to score runs, their combined batting average of .241 comes in closer to the league average. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .196. For the season, the team has struggled in the power department, ranking 28th in the league at 0.83 home runs per contest. Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (7.1%). Up to this point, Kansas City has been getting on base at a rate of just .305, placing them 24th in all of baseball. While their WOBA of .299 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Boston Red Sox - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Kansas City, the Red Sox have a record of just 70-75. This places the team 5th in the AL East division. Boston will be looking to move closer to .500 at home, as they are currently 36-37 at Fenway Park. In their previous games, Boston lost by a score of 9-0 to the Royals. To start the year, the team has picked up just 19 series wins, going 19-22-6.
Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta comes into the game with a record of just 9-11. Compared to other starting pitchers, Pivetta has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 4.31. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .248. Per 9 innings, Pivetta is giving up an average of 1.24 home runs, well above the MLB average. In his previous outings, Pivetta has a K/BB rate of 2.51, this includes averaging 5.27 K's per appearance.
Boston enters play averaging 4.55 runs per game, placing them 8th in the MLB. The team's total run differential sits at -35. Heading into play, the Red Sox are the 5th unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .258. For the season, 36.5% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, the team is the 21st home run hitting unit, averaging .94 per game. In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. Boston's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 7th with an OBP of .320. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.7%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Royals vs. Red Sox
Heading into today's matchup between Kansas City and Boston, the Red Sox are the heavy favorite at -196 on the moneyline. Boston's implied win probability sits at 66.22%. The MLB predictive model shows Boston have enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Red Sox on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Red Sox Runline
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