Tyler Anderson 2023 Player Outlook: Career Season More Of An Exception Than The Norm
2 years agoStarting pitcher Tyler Anderson had a career year with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2022 before signing as a free agent with the Los Angeles Angels. Over 28 starts, the right-hander posted a 2.57 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 19.5% strikeout rate with 15 victories. It was a surprising performance after Anderson pitched to a 4.62 ERA and 1.31 WHIP across his first six big league seasons. He did an excellent job limiting hard contact, with 98th-percentile average exit velocity and 91st-percentile barrel rate, but he's typically been good in that area. Anderson's also not a ground ball pitcher (41.1% career ground ball rate), had a .256 BABIP, and his HR/9 was 1.46 just a year ago before managing a career-low 0.71 mark in 2022. The 33-year-old works with a four-pitch mix; four-seamer, changeup, cutter, and sinker. Anderson upped the usage of his best pitch, his changeup, by 7% from the year before, as batters put up just a .223 xwOBA and a 37% whiff percentage this season. However, his fastball was his favorite offering but had batters whiffing just 18.6% and owned a .341 xwOBA. Anderson gets opponents to chase (33.4% and 35.3% chase rate in 2021 and 2022, respectively), but they don't miss much when they do, making contact 60.5% of the time this year. The Angels aren't the juggernaut like the Dodgers, so he won't win 15 games, especially if his ERA balloons. Fantasy managers are buying in on the late-career renaissance, but drafting Anderson at his ADP of 273 is too early for little strikeouts and increased ratios.