Andres Gimenez 2023 Player Outlook: A Fair Price on a 2022 Breakout

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January 13, 2023
Gimenez took a step forward in 2022, slashing .295/.369/.464 with 17 homers and 21 steals. That was a quite useful fantasy season from the young guy, who at the age of just 24 has a lot of years ahead of him. Gimenez significantly increased his barrel rate (3.6% to 6.2%), contact rate (70.6% to 73.6%), and xwOBA (.243 to .302) while cutting five points off of his strikeout rate (25.7% to 20.3%). None of that is easy to do in one year and is assuredly a sign of a talented young player coming into form. As for 2023, the power upside is probably limited here. A 20-homer projection seems about right unless he pushes his barrel rate up even further, but the guy can definitely post a great batting average and contribute a good amount of steals. He is more than useful for what he is as a middle infielder, and there is still untapped upside here given the age and the improvements we've already seen. We could be looking at a top-30 player next year if he takes another step forward, so I see no problem buying him at his current ADP around pick 85. The floor is great, and the ceiling may be higher than we think!--Jon Anderson
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