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Welcome back, RotoBallers!
I hope you all had a great Thanksgiving week filled with football, basketball (NCAA and NBA!), friends/family, and food! We have a solid six games to take a look at for Monday night, so let's try to find some prop lines to take advantage of and start December off right.
You can follow me on Twitter @BellRoto. This is a great time for NBA content as Christmas time rolls around. If you have more questions about these prop bets or other NBA DFS situations, hit me up throughout the day on Twitter. Let’s do it!
Editor's Note: Here's a really nice special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus - All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNBA19' Once you sign up and deposit, use our NBA prop picks below to get off on a winning foot!
Aron Baynes (PHX) OVER 6.5 Rebounds
Baynes was "limited" to 20 minutes on Friday, but he went ahead and played nearly 25, collecting seven rebounds in that time. I expect him back to his normal 27-30 minutes here against a fast-paced team that loves to miss jumpers.
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Ricky Rubio (PHX) OVER 7.5 Assists
I mentioned the fast-paced nature of this game in the Baynes blurb above, and Rubio should also benefit from Suns projected point total that is 4.3 above their season average. He got back on track after his injury against Dallas on Friday with nine dimes, and prior to getting hurt he had eight assists in four of five contests. This assist line for Rubio is a point too low in my mind.
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Donovan Mitchell (UTA) UNDER 24.5 Points
Mitchell scored 24 points in a solid shooting effort the last time he played Philly. Recently, he's topped 20 points just once in his last four games. I imagine he sees plenty of Ben Simmons defense in this one, and I think he falls well short of this line in a low-scoring, grind-it-out game against the Sixers.
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Trae Young (ATL) OVER 9.5 Assists
I imagine this line is jacked up due to the high implied total for Atlanta and lack of defense that is Golden State. Even still, I can't project a double-digit assist night for Young. There are too many other ball handlers who rack up assists in this offense. Young takes so many shots each game that finding his way to 10 dimes, even in a cake-walk matchup, is difficult. He's only reached 10 assists once in his last nine games, so I'm going to roll with the logical approach here.
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Buddy Hield (SAC) OVER 3.5 Three Pointers Made
This one is painful to type, but I'm going to lean with it anyway. Since D'Aaron Fox's injury, Hield has continued to chuck from deep for this Kings team. Despite this line seeming way too high to touch, Hield has at least three threes in each of his last four games (one of them he made 11). But what's most fascinating is that he's attempted 13, 12, and 21 shots from deep in his past three contests. With those attempts, three makes seems like the floor. I'm fine with banking on a fourth to fall tonight against a fast-paced Chicago team that will suit Hield's transition game very well. Plug your nose here, and I don't recommend staying up to watch the result. Just roll over tomorrow morning and hope it hits.
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