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Kipp's MLB futures over/under picks - DFS prop picks on PrizePicks for home runs and strikeouts. Use his MLB over/under prop picks recommendations to win.
Hello everybody and welcome! 2023 Spring Training is underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has come up with a ton of season-long picks for us to choose from. In this article, we will cover some of my favorite plays for the 2023 season.
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MLBSZN Picks for 2023
Aaron Judge more than 4.5 multi-home run games
Judge should absolutely obliterate this number in 2023. The only thing that could possibly hold him back from achieving five multi-HR games would be an injury, and while he has had a history of injury in the past, he has been healthy for the previous two seasons and looks good heading into 2023.
Over his previous two seasons, Judge has combined for a total of 17 multi-HR games. In 2021, he had a total of six games where he hit two or more dingers, and then last season, he had a ridiculous 11 games with two or more bombs. Lock this one in.
Andrew McCutchen less than .5 multi-home run games
I had to do a double-take at this number even being on the board as I was surprised this was an option. After doing some digging, I discovered Cutch has had three multi-HR games in his previous two seasons, two of which came in 2021 when he hit 27 total home runs for the Phillies. Last season, he hit just 17 dingers and had one multi-HR game for the Brewers.
Now, he will return home to the Pirates where it all began, entering his age 36 season. He is not likely to be a regular on this team as the Pirates are entering a youth movement. McCutchen has been brought in to groom this new crop of outfielders in Pittsburgh and will likely do a decent amount of platoon work, which makes it unlikely we see a power resurgence allowing him to have a multi-HR game in 2023.
Gerrit Cole less than 8.5 10+ strikeouts games
This is a tough number as Cole has posted exactly nine 10+ strikeout games in each of his previous two seasons. This is also why the number is currently sitting at 8.5. The less-than feels like a solid play here for a couple of reasons. First, betting the less than on these season-long props is typically the way to go because you never know when a player might suffer an injury. I am not saying that is going to happen to Cole, but if it did, we would be protected with less than here.
Secondly, Cole had a rough second half last season as he posted an ERA north of 4.75 in September and saw his overall ERA rise from 3.26 prior to the All-Star Break to 3.50 come season's end. The fact that he is another year older also does not help his cause for increasing this total, either, as he will be 33 at the end of this season.
Cristian Javier more than 186.5 strikeouts
I love Javier this season. He is fresh off of a breakout season in which he posted a 2.54 ERA with 194 strikeouts across 148 2/3 innings pitched. It was the third consecutive season in which he increased his strikeout total and innings pitched total. He should certainly continue to progress in 2023 and is in a stellar division for strikeout pitchers.
In 2022, three of the top six K rate vs. right-handed pitchers were located in the AL West in the Los Angeles Angels, Texas Rangers, and Oakland Athletics. This should be a superb season for Javier in 2023.
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