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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, May 10th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Heat @ Knicks
The Heat take on the Knicks on Wednesday, May 10th at Madison Square Garden, New York. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Miami Heat (44-38) vs. New York Knicks (47-35)
- Date: Wednesday, May 10th
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Heat @ Knicks
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Heat & Knicks Key Injuries
Heat
- Jimmy Butler (Questionable) Ankle
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Haywood Highsmith (Probable) Knee
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
- Caleb Martin (Questionable) Back
Knicks
- Immanuel Quickley (Doubtful) Ankle
- Jericho Sims (Out) Shoulder
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Knicks by a score of 109-101, the Heat are riding a two-game win streak. Jimmy Butler led the way in scoring with 27 points. Not only did Miami win the game, but they also covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 27-14 at home and 17-24 on the road. Even though the Heat have rattled off seven straight wins against the spread, their overall ATS record is 40-51.
The Heat come into today's game ranked just 24th in scoring at 109.5 points per contest. Across their last five games, the unit is averaging 111 points per game. So far this season, the Heat are ranked 25th in pace at 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, Miami has found success when stepping beyond the arc, ranking 11th in three-point shooting percentage. The team's overall field goal percentage of 46.0% is 26th in the NBA.
This season, the Heat have allowed an average of 105.6 points per game, good for 2nd in the league. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have knocked down 34.0% of their looks from beyond the arc (19th) and 44.8% of their overall field goal attempts. Miami's overall defensive numbers have been good despite the unit's struggles on the glass, sitting just 16th in defensive rebounds per game. The Heat are also a below-average group in forced turnovers, at just 12.8 per game.
New York Knicks - NBA Betting Analysis
The Knicks enter today's game having lost two straight, including a 109-101 loss to the Heat. Jalen Brunson led the team in scoring with 32 points on 47.6% shooting. Going into the game, oddsmakers had New York as the 4.5-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Knicks' overall record sits at 47-35, placing them 5th in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 23-18 and 24-17 on the road. For the season, the Knicks are 49-40 vs. the spread but have failed to cover in 4 straight games.
Currently, the Knicks are ranked 14th among all NBA teams with an average of 116.0 points per game. However, if their recent performance is any indication, they may drop in the rankings soon. Over their last five games, they have averaged just 101 points per contest. The Knicks have struggled with three-point shooting, making only 35.4% of their attempts, placing them just 29th in the league. Their overall field goal percentage enters as 47.0% (26th). Additionally, the team's pace of play is slower than the league average, at 97.7 possessions per game, placing them 33rd. In terms of getting to the line, the Knicks are 28th in attempts and 6th in free-throw shooting percentage.
This season, New York has put together a strong defensive unit, allowing just 105.6 points per game (2nd). But despite their strong overall numbers, they have been vulnerable on the glass, sitting just 16th in defensive rebounds per game. Yet, the Knicks have been excellent at forcing turnovers, averaging 12.0 per game, placing them 12th in the NBA. For the season, they have allowed teams to hit 34.0% of their three-point shots and 44.8% of their overall shots from the field.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Heat vs. Knicks
Heading into the 8th meeting of the season between the Knicks and Heat, each team has four wins and will be looking to get the leg in the head-to-head series. In the most recent game between the two teams, the Heat won by a score of 109-101, along with covering the spread as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under line going into the game was 209.5 points which the teams exceeded.
In the Heat's previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 5-0 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 7-3 with an average of 226 points per contest.
Across New York's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Knicks are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of -6 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 213 points per game and an over/under mark of 3-7.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: MIA +3.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 209.5
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