TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Basketball Storylines to Watch on NBA Opening Night

The NBA season opener is finally here, and it strangely feels like a lull in the action after a wild offseason hallmarked by massive trades, big free agent moves, and a wildly hyped incoming class of rookies. It's like we're trading an epic soap opera for a relative lack of drama in the regular season where it feels like we have to, as the great Charles Barkley said, "fake it for seven months that it’s not going to be the Warriors and Cavs in the Finals again."

Luckily for us, fantasy basketball doesn't care about how many games the Warriors will win or if anyone can challenge them in the Finals, so the fantasy game can help substitute a little drama.

There's not much new information in the fantasy world right now, as we wait for the games to get underway.  But here's a key thing to watch out for on each of the teams opening tonight!

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

Fantasy Basketball Storylines to Watch on NBA Opening Night

New Love, Old Love, or Somewhere in Between?

There are a lot of fun things to watch on the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. You know (assuming he plays) that LeBron James is going to put on a show to exert his dominance over Kyrie -- a dad hates to lose to his kid, after all, because it's a sign of your fleeting mortality. There are plenty of new players it'll be interesting to see in their Cavs debuts as well, with three out of five starters -- Dwyane Wade, Derrick Rose, and Jae Crowder -- coming on board this offseason. But I'll have my fantasy eyes trained on the one holdover in the starting lineup alongside LeBron, Kevin Love.

For the past three years, Love has been overshadowed in the Cavs offense by the ball-dominant forces of LeBron James and Kyrie Irving. In fantasy basketball, he's remained an excellent choice as a threes-and-rebound specialist for a team punting FG% or blocks, but he's been a shadow of his former fantasy dominance in Minnesota. However, with the departure of Kyrie and a new role as starting center that will ask him to play more of an interior role on offense, hope springs eternal that he'll expand his role and move up the fantasy rankings once again.

Here's what to watch out for tonight:

Last year, Love averaged 11.1 rebounds, which was a single-season best as a member of the Cavs. In his last 4 years with the Timberwolves, though, he averaged 13.7 rebounds. With Tristan Thompson now on the bench instead of eating up all the boards, can Love return to his glory days as a rebounder? Watch out tonight to see if he puts up a dominant effort on the boards against Boston's weak group of rebounders.

In his career with the Cavs, Love has averaged only 7.4 attempts per game from 2, with many of those still coming from relatively deep, so he's only averaged 47.3% from inside the arc. In Minnesota, as the focal point of the offense and an interior monster, Love averaged 12.2 attempts from 2 over his last four years, and shot 48.2% despite much greater attention by the defense. He also got to the free throw line almost 8 times per game in Minnesota, while he's barely cracked 4 per game in Cleveland. Love's number of attempts and accuracy from three have remained fairly stable between Minnesota and Cleveland.

You know he's going to get the ball on the perimeter and have the green light to shoot whenever he's open. So all the upside for his scoring is going to come from how many more shots he gets around the basket, where an increase in activity could simultaneously boost his PTs, his FG%, and the impact of his excellent FT%. The good news is Tristan Thompson is on the bench and Kyrie isn't there taking up all the oxygen out of the room. The bad news is Derrick Rose and Dwyane Wade are also guys who like to attack the basket, so they may still ask Love to largely stand around the perimeter to make room for their relatively short-ranged guards. Watch out tonight to see how much Love's role on offense changes.

New Kids on the Block, Live in Boston

While it'll certainly be fascinating to see Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward make their debuts in Boston Celtics uniforms, we kind of know they'll be quite awesome, with the main questions being how much Irving can expand his game as a passer and what kind of minutes they'll get in Brad Stevens rotation. I'm more interested in the younger players.

Reports are out there that the Celtics will be starting a rookie and a second year player on opening night, which is pretty surprising for a team that's considered one of the two or three favorites in its conference. Alongside Irving, Hayward, and center Al Horford, 2016 third overall pick Jaylen Brown and 2017 third overall pick Jayson Tatum are expected to start at shooting guard and power forward, respectively (Or is it shooting guard and small forward? Or small forward and power forward? It's so hard to tell with Boston's deep well of positionless wings).

So what to watch for out of them?

How active is Tatum? I'm not sure whether he's going to look great in his debut, or seem shaky going against elite competition. But I'd like to see how much confidence the Celtics have in him. How many shots is he going to take? How involved will he be sets that Stevens draws up? Will he seem like a real part of the offense, or just a bit player in the Kyrie and Hayward show?

As for Brown, I fully expect him to be the fifth wheel on offense. So the questions for him will be about efficiency and hustle. On the efficiency side, how good does his shot look? He'll need to produce offense from open threes and he also must improve his FT% to improve his viability in fantasy. On the hustle side, he averaged 5.9 rebounds, 0.9 steals, and 0.5 blocks per 36 minutes last year. The Celtics need rebounding -- can he be a 5-6 rebound guy as a starter? He also needs to play a key role on defense. After the departure of Avery Bradley, he'll often be tasked with covering the opponent's best guard, at least until Marcus Smart checks into the game. How well can he do in that role, and how much can he capitalize with steals given the opportunity to defend players who are handling the ball? Plus, can he be a sneaky source of blocks from the guard position? Brown's viability as a fantasy player depends on how well he can do the little things.

I'm Not a Rocketman, I'm a Rocket, Man.

Chris Paul! James Harden! Carmelo Anthony! The Houston Rockets certainly find a way to get stars on their team. And while I've shirked dwelling on the new stars on the prior two teams, it really is all about Paul and Harden for me when it comes to the Rockets.

The two main things I'll be looking at:

The pace -- Mike D'Antoni and James Harden were a match made in heaven last year for a lightning paced offense that ran teams off the floor with their frenetic pace. Chris Paul has always run slow offenses, holding the ball, surveying the floor, making crisp, well-though out passes to avoid turnovers and maximize each play. So where do the fast Rockets and slow Paul meet in the middle? How much do the Rockets slow down and hurt the overall stats of those on the team from James Harden to Trevor Ariza to Ryan Anderson? And how much does Chris Paul speed up, perhaps reducing his legendary efficiency for some more shots and enough assists alongside Harden to keep up his career averages?

The ball distribution -- How do James Harden and Chris Paul, two guys who excel at running an offense and dishing the ball, play nice and share? Does Harden go largely off-ball while Paul's on the floor? Do they take turns running it up the court? Do they see their minutes staggered so there's always one on the floor? Just how many assists Harden and Paul are able to rack up this year will go a long way toward determining their relative values as fantasy stars.

The Warriors, a Well-Oiled Machine

Of all the starting lineups on opening day, the Golden State Warriors is the one where we don't really have any questions. They're going to be awesome. Two fantasy first round picks in Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry, a second rounder in Draymond Green, and a third rounder in Klay Thompson. Also, Zaza Pachulia, who is a fantasy first round pick according to the ADP numbers I'm getting out of Tbilisi. There's not many questions I have about this group of starters, so we'll have to look at the bench.

The big question about the Warriors bench revolves around the health of veteran 6th man Andre Iguodala. The 2015 Finals MVP has typically been the first man off the bench for the Warriors dynasty, but of late he's started to break down with age. Coming into this season, he's already questionable for the opener with a bad back that's likely to bother him throughout the season. If he's a no-go tonight, it'll be key to watch who steps up for the Cavs in his place, as that player is likely to continue playing a big role throughout the season.

While the preseason hype train for the Warriors have surrounded the 2nd round pick they bought from the hapless Bulls for a bag of sea salt and vinegar potato chips, forward Jordan Bell (aka baby Draymond), it seems highly unlikely to me that a 2nd round big with no shooting range would step into the Iguodala role on the Warriors offense. If Draymond Green or David West were to go down, maybe it would be Jordan Bell time, but he's no wing.

Instead, the main guys to look out for in asserting themselves off the bench are last year's 2nd round steal, the talented Patrick McCaw (who played heavily in last year's playoffs and started several regular season games in place of Kevin Durant), Nick Young (who had a resurgent season last year as starting SG for the Lakers), and 3-and-D specialist Omri Casspi (who isn't quite as mobile or versatile as the other two, but is a long-bomb threat as a three point shooter and has the size to guard bigger if he's thrust into the Warriors small ball death lineup sans Iguodala).

Whether Iguodala plays or not, watch to see who gets the most minutes, especially in lineups that include the starters (and not just the bench crew). That will give some indication of who the Warriors would trust to play the biggest role if they had to live without the aching Iguodala for any long stretches.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Brice Matthews

Enjoying Hot Start in Grapefruit League
Neemias Queta

Explodes for Career-High 27 Points
Spencer Jones

Flashing Elite Power in Spring Games
Stephen Curry

Out at Least Five More Games
Kristaps Porzingis

to Miss Fifth Straight Game
Konnor Griffin

Launches Third Spring Training Home Run
Cameron Johnson

Exits with Ankle Issue in Loss
Lukas Dostal

Sets New Career High With 24th Win
Andrew Painter

Sharp in Spring Debut, Emerging as Favorite for Starting Role
Klay Thompson

Leaves Game After Second-Quarter Injury
Kris Dunn

Leaves Game After Taking Elbow to Head
Cutter Gauthier

Hits Two Goals in Shootout Win
John Collins

Suffers Elbow Injury Sunday
Robert Thomas

Returns to Action With Multi-Point Effort
Matthew Tkachuk

Dishes Out Three Assists Sunday
Matthew Schaefer

Has First Three-Point Outing
Teuvo Teravainen

Pots Two Goals In Sunday's Win
Arvid Soderblom

Keeps Mammoth Quiet
LeBron James

Available Versus Sacramento
Zion Williamson

Ruled Out Versus Clippers
Shelby Miller

Officially Placed on 60-Day Injured List
Kevin Love

Resting Monday Against Nuggets
Jacob deGrom

is Nearing Spring Debut
Tristan Vukcevic

Could Miss Game Vs. Houston
José Soriano

Jose Soriano has Start Pushed Back
John Collins

Cleared to Play Sunday
Bobby Miller

Being Viewed as Reliever
Brandon Clarke

to be Re-Evaluated in Two Weeks
Walker Jenkins

is Diagnosed with Hamstring Strain
Caleb Martin

Returns Against Thunder
P.J. Washington

Naji Marshall Ruled Out Sunday
Kyshawn George

Could Miss Game Against Houston
Baylor Scheierman

Cleared to Play Sunday
Rui Hachimura

Set to Return Against Kings
LeBron James

Questionable Against Kings
Jonathan Drouin

Unavailable Sunday
Darcy Kuemper

Won't Play Monday Due to Illness
Andrew Mangiapane

Oilers Place Andrew Mangiapane on Waivers
Jabari Smith Jr.

Still Out on Monday
Uvis Balinskis

Out Sunday
Jalen Johnson

Back on Sunday Night
Dmitry Kulikov

Comes Off Injured Reserve
Mark Stone

Exits With Injury Sunday
Merrill Kelly

"Optimistic" About Being Ready by Opening Day
Gabriel Moreno

Can Gabriel Moreno Put Together a Fully Healthy Season in 2026?
Mark Vientos

May Be Limited to Part-Time Role in New York
Kyler Murray

Likely to be Released
Noah Cameron

Can Noah Cameron Repeat His Breakout 2025 Season?
Justin Steele

"Full-Go" on Throwing, Still Eyeing May or June Return
Travis Etienne Jr.

Not Expected to be Franchise-Tagged
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Planning to Release Aaron Jones Sr.?
Samuel Basallo

is Returning on Sunday
St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals Sign Oliver Marmol to Two-Year Extension
Thomas White

is Diagnosed with Oblique Strain
Carmen Mlodzinski

to Compete for Starting Rotation Spot
Tyler Reddick

Could Make History at COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Still the Favorite at COTA
Christopher Bell

Will Be Tough to Beat at COTA
Jacob Melton

is Returning on Sunday
AJ Allmendinger

Could Contend at COTA
Connor Zilisch

Carries Plenty of Upside for DFS at COTA
Chase Elliott

May be A Strong Contender Again at COTA
Chris Buescher

Is Nothing But Consistent at Road Courses
Ross Chastain

May Be An Underrated Competitor for the Win at COTA
William Byron

Is William Byron a Viable DFS Option for COTA?
Carson Hocevar

Needs Clean Race at COTA
Nick Suzuki

Enjoys Three-Point Night Against Capitals
Rasmus Dahlin

Collects Three Points Saturday
Kyle Larson

Could be A Decent DFS Option for COTA Lineups
Joel Kiviranta

in Concussion Protocol
Joel Eriksson Ek

Available Sunday
Ryan Blaney

Could Ryan Blaney be A Sleeper DFS Option for All Formats for COTA?
Mark Scheifele

Expected to Play Sunday
Chase Briscoe

Should DFS Players Roster Chase Briscoe at COTA?
Adam Wilsby

Exits Early Versus Stars
Gage Goncalves

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Is A Favorable Value Option for COTA DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Be A Rosterable DFS Play for COTA?
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Favorable DFS Option for COTA?
Cale Makar

Scores Twice Versus Chicago
Keston Hiura

Exits After Getting Hit by Pitch
Leo De Vries

Exits Early on Saturday
A.J. Brown

Patriots "Have Explored Trade Talks" Involving A.J. Brown
Lone'er Kavanagh

Set For UFC Mexico City Main Event
Brandon Moreno

Looks To Bounce Back
David Martinez

Set For UFC Mexico City Co-Main Event
Marlon Vera

In Dire Need Of Victory
King Green

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Zellhuber

Aims To Snap Two-Fight Skid
Felipe Bunes

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Édgar Cháirez

Edgar Chairez A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
George Pickens

Cowboys Not Interested in Trading George Pickens
Ashton Jeanty

Not in Line for Workhorse Role in 2026?
Anthony Richardson Sr.

Colts Give Anthony Richardson Sr. Permission to Seek a Trade
Kyler Murray

Prefers to be Released
Derek Carr

"Strong Belief" That Derek Carr is "Very Serious" About Unretiring
Andy Dalton

Is Andy Dalton Available for a Trade?
Keith Mitchell

Making The Comfortable Return to PGA National
CFB

Chandler Morris Suing NCAA for Seventh Year of Eligibility
Chris Kirk

Searching for a Spark at Cognizant Classic
Brooks Koepka

Making Third PGA Tour Start at Cognizant Classic
Mackenzie Hughes

a Steady Option at Cognizant Classic
Seamus Power

Seeking More Green in Florida
PGA

Haotong Li Back From a Break as Florida Stretch Starts
Stephan Jaeger

Trying to Put Four Rounds Together in Florida
PGA

Nico Echavarria Again Attempting to Make the Weekend
Patrick Fishburn

Looking for a Spark at Cognizant Classic
Blades Brown

Set for Cognizant Classic Debut
Michael Thorbjornsen

Looking to Bounce Back at Cognizant Classic
Maxx Crosby

Raiders Expect Maxx Crosby to Return
Billy Horschel

Looks to Improve Season at Cognizant Classic
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Falcons Place Franchise Tag on Kyle Pitts Sr.
Joe Highsmith

Returns to Defend at Cognizant Classic
Quinshon Judkins

Out of Walking Boot, Will be Ready for Training Camp
Breece Hall

Jets Will Use Franchise Tag on Breece Hall if Extension isn't Reached
Joel Dahmen

Needs Better Consistency Heading Into The Florida Swing
Daniel Berger

Looks to Improve Putting as PGA Tour Begins Its Florida Swing
Kirk Cousins

Falcons Plan to Release Kirk Cousins
Zach Ertz

Plans to Return for 14th Season
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF