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Fantasy Basketball Storylines to Watch on NBA Opening Night

The NBA season opener is finally here, and it strangely feels like a lull in the action after a wild offseason hallmarked by massive trades, big free agent moves, and a wildly hyped incoming class of rookies. It's like we're trading an epic soap opera for a relative lack of drama in the regular season where it feels like we have to, as the great Charles Barkley said, "fake it for seven months that it’s not going to be the Warriors and Cavs in the Finals again."

Luckily for us, fantasy basketball doesn't care about how many games the Warriors will win or if anyone can challenge them in the Finals, so the fantasy game can help substitute a little drama.

There's not much new information in the fantasy world right now, as we wait for the games to get underway.  But here's a key thing to watch out for on each of the teams opening tonight!

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Fantasy Basketball Storylines to Watch on NBA Opening Night

New Love, Old Love, or Somewhere in Between?

There are a lot of fun things to watch on the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. You know (assuming he plays) that LeBron James is going to put on a show to exert his dominance over Kyrie -- a dad hates to lose to his kid, after all, because it's a sign of your fleeting mortality. There are plenty of new players it'll be interesting to see in their Cavs debuts as well, with three out of five starters -- Dwyane Wade, Derrick Rose, and Jae Crowder -- coming on board this offseason. But I'll have my fantasy eyes trained on the one holdover in the starting lineup alongside LeBron, Kevin Love.

For the past three years, Love has been overshadowed in the Cavs offense by the ball-dominant forces of LeBron James and Kyrie Irving. In fantasy basketball, he's remained an excellent choice as a threes-and-rebound specialist for a team punting FG% or blocks, but he's been a shadow of his former fantasy dominance in Minnesota. However, with the departure of Kyrie and a new role as starting center that will ask him to play more of an interior role on offense, hope springs eternal that he'll expand his role and move up the fantasy rankings once again.

Here's what to watch out for tonight:

Last year, Love averaged 11.1 rebounds, which was a single-season best as a member of the Cavs. In his last 4 years with the Timberwolves, though, he averaged 13.7 rebounds. With Tristan Thompson now on the bench instead of eating up all the boards, can Love return to his glory days as a rebounder? Watch out tonight to see if he puts up a dominant effort on the boards against Boston's weak group of rebounders.

In his career with the Cavs, Love has averaged only 7.4 attempts per game from 2, with many of those still coming from relatively deep, so he's only averaged 47.3% from inside the arc. In Minnesota, as the focal point of the offense and an interior monster, Love averaged 12.2 attempts from 2 over his last four years, and shot 48.2% despite much greater attention by the defense. He also got to the free throw line almost 8 times per game in Minnesota, while he's barely cracked 4 per game in Cleveland. Love's number of attempts and accuracy from three have remained fairly stable between Minnesota and Cleveland.

You know he's going to get the ball on the perimeter and have the green light to shoot whenever he's open. So all the upside for his scoring is going to come from how many more shots he gets around the basket, where an increase in activity could simultaneously boost his PTs, his FG%, and the impact of his excellent FT%. The good news is Tristan Thompson is on the bench and Kyrie isn't there taking up all the oxygen out of the room. The bad news is Derrick Rose and Dwyane Wade are also guys who like to attack the basket, so they may still ask Love to largely stand around the perimeter to make room for their relatively short-ranged guards. Watch out tonight to see how much Love's role on offense changes.

New Kids on the Block, Live in Boston

While it'll certainly be fascinating to see Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward make their debuts in Boston Celtics uniforms, we kind of know they'll be quite awesome, with the main questions being how much Irving can expand his game as a passer and what kind of minutes they'll get in Brad Stevens rotation. I'm more interested in the younger players.

Reports are out there that the Celtics will be starting a rookie and a second year player on opening night, which is pretty surprising for a team that's considered one of the two or three favorites in its conference. Alongside Irving, Hayward, and center Al Horford, 2016 third overall pick Jaylen Brown and 2017 third overall pick Jayson Tatum are expected to start at shooting guard and power forward, respectively (Or is it shooting guard and small forward? Or small forward and power forward? It's so hard to tell with Boston's deep well of positionless wings).

So what to watch for out of them?

How active is Tatum? I'm not sure whether he's going to look great in his debut, or seem shaky going against elite competition. But I'd like to see how much confidence the Celtics have in him. How many shots is he going to take? How involved will he be sets that Stevens draws up? Will he seem like a real part of the offense, or just a bit player in the Kyrie and Hayward show?

As for Brown, I fully expect him to be the fifth wheel on offense. So the questions for him will be about efficiency and hustle. On the efficiency side, how good does his shot look? He'll need to produce offense from open threes and he also must improve his FT% to improve his viability in fantasy. On the hustle side, he averaged 5.9 rebounds, 0.9 steals, and 0.5 blocks per 36 minutes last year. The Celtics need rebounding -- can he be a 5-6 rebound guy as a starter? He also needs to play a key role on defense. After the departure of Avery Bradley, he'll often be tasked with covering the opponent's best guard, at least until Marcus Smart checks into the game. How well can he do in that role, and how much can he capitalize with steals given the opportunity to defend players who are handling the ball? Plus, can he be a sneaky source of blocks from the guard position? Brown's viability as a fantasy player depends on how well he can do the little things.

I'm Not a Rocketman, I'm a Rocket, Man.

Chris Paul! James Harden! Carmelo Anthony! The Houston Rockets certainly find a way to get stars on their team. And while I've shirked dwelling on the new stars on the prior two teams, it really is all about Paul and Harden for me when it comes to the Rockets.

The two main things I'll be looking at:

The pace -- Mike D'Antoni and James Harden were a match made in heaven last year for a lightning paced offense that ran teams off the floor with their frenetic pace. Chris Paul has always run slow offenses, holding the ball, surveying the floor, making crisp, well-though out passes to avoid turnovers and maximize each play. So where do the fast Rockets and slow Paul meet in the middle? How much do the Rockets slow down and hurt the overall stats of those on the team from James Harden to Trevor Ariza to Ryan Anderson? And how much does Chris Paul speed up, perhaps reducing his legendary efficiency for some more shots and enough assists alongside Harden to keep up his career averages?

The ball distribution -- How do James Harden and Chris Paul, two guys who excel at running an offense and dishing the ball, play nice and share? Does Harden go largely off-ball while Paul's on the floor? Do they take turns running it up the court? Do they see their minutes staggered so there's always one on the floor? Just how many assists Harden and Paul are able to rack up this year will go a long way toward determining their relative values as fantasy stars.

The Warriors, a Well-Oiled Machine

Of all the starting lineups on opening day, the Golden State Warriors is the one where we don't really have any questions. They're going to be awesome. Two fantasy first round picks in Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry, a second rounder in Draymond Green, and a third rounder in Klay Thompson. Also, Zaza Pachulia, who is a fantasy first round pick according to the ADP numbers I'm getting out of Tbilisi. There's not many questions I have about this group of starters, so we'll have to look at the bench.

The big question about the Warriors bench revolves around the health of veteran 6th man Andre Iguodala. The 2015 Finals MVP has typically been the first man off the bench for the Warriors dynasty, but of late he's started to break down with age. Coming into this season, he's already questionable for the opener with a bad back that's likely to bother him throughout the season. If he's a no-go tonight, it'll be key to watch who steps up for the Cavs in his place, as that player is likely to continue playing a big role throughout the season.

While the preseason hype train for the Warriors have surrounded the 2nd round pick they bought from the hapless Bulls for a bag of sea salt and vinegar potato chips, forward Jordan Bell (aka baby Draymond), it seems highly unlikely to me that a 2nd round big with no shooting range would step into the Iguodala role on the Warriors offense. If Draymond Green or David West were to go down, maybe it would be Jordan Bell time, but he's no wing.

Instead, the main guys to look out for in asserting themselves off the bench are last year's 2nd round steal, the talented Patrick McCaw (who played heavily in last year's playoffs and started several regular season games in place of Kevin Durant), Nick Young (who had a resurgent season last year as starting SG for the Lakers), and 3-and-D specialist Omri Casspi (who isn't quite as mobile or versatile as the other two, but is a long-bomb threat as a three point shooter and has the size to guard bigger if he's thrust into the Warriors small ball death lineup sans Iguodala).

Whether Iguodala plays or not, watch to see who gets the most minutes, especially in lineups that include the starters (and not just the bench crew). That will give some indication of who the Warriors would trust to play the biggest role if they had to live without the aching Iguodala for any long stretches.

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Maxx Crosby

Trending Toward Playing Against Broncos
Chris Olave

Set to Play Vs. Bucs
LaMelo Ball

Won't Suit Up Against Denver
Immanuel Quickley

Questionable for Sunday Afternoon
Deshaun Watson

Expected to Stay With Browns Next Year
Klay Thompson

Downgraded Versus Houston
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Out Again on Saturday Evening
Tyler Herro

Will Miss Another Game on Saturday
Jimmy Butler III

Out Again on Saturday Night
Draymond Green

Ruled Out Versus Cleveland
Jose A. Ferrer

Mariners Acquire Jose A. Ferrer from the Nationals
Mason Marchment

Expected to Return Saturday
Danila Yurov

Returns From Two-Game Absence Saturday
Jesperi Kotkaniemi

Available Saturday
Harry Ford

Traded to the Nationals
Shane Pinto

to Miss Two Weeks
David Pastrnak

Misses Fifth Consecutive Game Saturday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Remains Out Saturday
Nikita Kucherov

Out on Saturday
Jayden Reed

Activated Off Injured Reserve, Will Play in Week 14
Omarion Hampton

Activated From IR, Faces Uncertain Workload Monday Night
Cody Bellinger

Drawing Interest From the Phillies
MacKenzie Gore

Will the Nationals Trade MacKenzie Gore?
Justin Herbert

Officially Listed as Questionable for Monday Night Football
Justin Herbert

Chargers "Expecting" Justin Herbert to Play in Week 14
Yves Missi

Trending Toward Game-Time Decision
Khris Middleton

Questionable With Knee Soreness Against Hawks
Noah Clowney

On Track To Suit Up Against Pelicans
De'Anthony Melton

Questionable With Knee Management
Draymond Green

Questionable With Mid-Foot Sprain
Jimmy Butler III

Day-To-Day As Warriors Prepare For Cleveland
Mikko Rantanen

Picks Up Three Points Against Sharks
Kyle Connor

Scores in Fourth Consecutive Game
Beckett Sennecke

Notches Two Points in Friday's Win
Ryan Leonard

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Friday
Carter Hart

Day-to-Day With Lower-Body Injury
Brayden Point

Questionable for Saturday
Victor Hedman

Expected to Return Saturday
Byron Buxton

Twins Not Planning to Trade Joe Ryan, Byron Buxton
Patrick Williams

Dalen Terry Available Versus Pacers
Coby White

Returns With Minutes Restriction Friday
Ayo Dosunmu

Out Friday Against Pacers
Zach Collins

Available for Season Debut Friday
Robert Williams III

Donovan Clingan Out, Robert Williams III in for Portland Friday
Evan Mobley

Ready to Play Friday
Kristaps Porzingis

Coming Off the Bench Friday
Spencer Jones

Available Against Hawks
Ozzy Wiesblatt

to Miss 8-10 Weeks With Upper-Body Injury
Pierre-Olivier Joseph

Out With Illness Friday
Evander Kane

Doubtful for Friday
Conor Garland

Back From Two-Game Absence Friday
Thomas Harley

Could Be an Option Next Week
Mikael Granlund

Returning From 10-Game Absence Friday
John Carlson

Misses Second Consecutive Game Friday
Rome Odunze

has Fractured Foot, Labeled Week-to-Week
Sauce Gardner

Ruled Out for Sunday
Petr Yan

Looks To Reclaim Bantamweight Belt
Merab Dvalishvili

Set For His Fourth Title Defense
Joshua Van

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Aaron Jones Sr.

Cleared to Play in Week 14
Chris Olave

Listed as Questionable for Week 14
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fifth Title Defense At UFC 323
Tatsuro Taira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Alvin Kamara

Ruled Out for Sunday
Brandon Moreno

Searches For His Third Win In A Row
Rome Odunze

Ruled Out for Week 14
Payton Talbott

A Favorite At UFC 323
Henry Cejudo

Set For His Retirement Fight
Drake London

Ruled Out vs Seattle
Jan Blachowicz

Set To Open Up UFC 323 Main Card
Lamar Jackson

Will Play on Sunday
Bogdan Guskov

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
CFB

Emmett Johnson Leaving Nebraska for 2026 NFL Draft
Dalton Kincaid

to be Questionable for Week 14
Tee Higgins

Clears Concussion Protocol, is a Full-Go for Sunday
CFB

Jam Miller Unlikely to Play in SEC Title Game
CFB

Penn State Expected to Hire Matt Campbell from Iowa State
Mike Evans

Not Quite Ready to Return This Week
Jayden Daniels

Will Start Against Vikings
Lamar Jackson

Returns to Practice, on Track to Play on Sunday
Kyler Murray

Won't Return This Year, Cardinals Non-Committal on his Future
CFB

Arkansas Targeting Ron Roberts for Defensive Coordinator Job
Jhostynxon Garcia

Pirates Acquire Jhostynxon Garcia From Red Sox
Cody Bellinger

Yankees Pushing Hard to Re-Sign Cody Bellinger
CFB

Penn State Eyeing Iowa State Coach Matt Campbell For Coaching Vacancy
Alex Bregman

Cubs Have Renewed Interest in Alex Bregman
CFB

Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
CFB

Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
CFB

Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
Kyle Schwarber

Reds Serious About Adding Kyle Schwarber in Free Agency?
CFB

Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
CFB

Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Collin Klein Expected to be Top Target for Kansas State if Head-Coach Job Opens
CFB

Chris Klieman Considering Stepping Down at Kansas State
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job

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