Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (7/28/19): MLB DFS Lineups

Welcome to Saturday baseball on DraftKings! We have plenty to look forward to on DraftKings, with some huge contests starting at 1:05 Eastern. The big dog is the $68 Sunday Eephus, where someone will bring home a $100K top prize. We also have an $850 qualifier to the World Baseball Championship, where just two of 67 participants will walk away with a live final appearance. No matter your desired price point, DK has a huge tournament designed for you. Just make sure to get in there and get your entry before they fill up.

We have 10 games on the main slate, so there's plenty to love at every position. At pitcher, there are four or five guys worth playing in cash games with another five or six worth consideration in tournaments. As for hitting, we're already looking at five teams with an implied total over five runs. It'll be a fun day, so let's dive in and make some sense of this slate.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 7/28/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @VarneyDFS.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Draft Kit, premium rankings, projections, player outlooks, top prospects, dynasty rankings, 15 in-season lineup tools, and over 200 days of expert DFS research. Sign Up Now!


DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Robbie Ray - ARI @ MIA - $10,800

Trevor Bauer is certainly worth considering, but Robbie Ray is cheaper and in an even better match-up. The Marlins rank 28th in baseball against lefties with a .282 wOBA and 22% strikeout rate. They also hold the leagues lowest .122 ISO. As for Robbie Ray, he’s struck out 11.85 batters per nine innings this season and has held both sides of the plate to a sub .325 wOBA. His only real issue is home runs, but he won’t have to worry much about that going from Chase Field to spacious Marlins Park. Ray is a safe bet in this match-up and naturally has all of the tournament upside you could desire.

Alex Wood - CIN vs. COL - $8,100

This is his first start since coming back from a long-term injury, so we would usually take a wait and see approach. However, Wood has started four games in AAA and got up to 85 pitches in his last start. He struck out 27% and walked just 7% in those starts. He now gets a match-up with the Colorado Rockies, who rank 27th in wOBA outside of Coors Field. They’re worse against lefties (.282 wOBA, 25% K rate)and hit for far below average power on road. Cincy is obviously still a great ballpark for hitting, but two or three runs won't do much damage to Wood as he typically strikes out 6-9 batters. Wood is going to be relatively ignored and his upside is huge if his pitches are rolling. Even in 85-90 pitches. Without much cheap pitching to like, I have a hard time staying away from Wood.


DraftKings DFS Infielders

1B - Paul Goldschmidt - STL vs. HOU (Miley) - $4,400

I have no idea what’s recently gotten into Paul Goldschmidt, but he’s homered in six straight games and has been plastering the ball all night long every night. He’ll take the plate tonight vs The left-handed Wade Miley. We know Goldy prefers lefties, and he’s smoked them for a .391 wOBA on the season. As for Miley, he’s pitched far over his head and has given up a 4.52 xFIP. He's pitched through some decent games, but every peripherals points to luck and pending regression. Goldy is still affordable on DraftKings for whatever reason and he makes for the top play at 1B in all formats. Let's see if he can make it seven in a row.

2B - Jeff McNeil - NYM vs. PIT (Archer) - $4,300

Jeff McNeil is eligible at 2B, which we will look to take advantage of. On the season, McNeil ranks top 20 in BAA, HR, RBI, and R. He’s one of the best pure hitting rookies we’ve seen in quite a long time and his swing is going nowhere. He’s hit .340 with three home runs over his last 10 combined with a .427 wOBA. Chris Archer is a strikeout pitcher that allows a ton of home runs and at least three or four runs every game. McNeil is the best Mets bat on the board and being eligible at second base is huge.

3B - Miguel Sano - MIN @ CWS (Covey) - $5,200

Sano is expensive on DK< but it will hopefully keep the masses off of him. Dylan Covey is an absolutely terrible pitcher and he just got done getting knocked around by the Miami Marlins. On the year, Covey has allowed a 5.58 xFIP and is striking out just 5.85 batters per nine innings. He has been worse against lefties, but a 4.71 xFIP and 1.5 HR/9 is nothing to brag about. Sano has held a .340 wOBA against righties on the season and has hit 10 of his 17 home runs against them. Covey is absolutely pitiful and the Twins should get him out of the game early.

SS - Paul DeJong - STL vs. HOU (Miley) - $4,400

We've already touched on the Cardinals, but it's hard to stay away from this club right now. They are punishing the ball and now draw a match-up with a lackluster lefty that has gotten extremely lucky this year. The second half for Wade Miley will be a rude wakening and I expect the Cardinals to start it. DeJong himself has sported a .324 wOBA on the season with 7 extra base-hits in just 69 plate appearances. The Cardinals are expected to put up 4.5 runs by Vegas and DeJong should be involved. He's affordable with a ton of upside in both formats.


DraftKings DFS Outfielders

OF - Max Kepler - MIN @ CWS (Covey) - $5,300

This is one of the easiest plays on the slate. On the year, Dylan Covey has allowed a 6.84 xFIP and a .415 wOBA to left-handed bats. Ir doesn't get much worse than that until you get sent directly to the minors. He faces off with a Twins team tonight that has some real monsters vs righties. Kepler has hit 21 of his 27 home runs against them, while sporting a .387 wOBA and striking out just 15% of the time. Covey doesn't have much of a shot here unless Kepler hits it hard into a glove. The Twins are going to put up runs and it's safe to say Kepler will be involved. Nelson Cruz is in play as well if you can afford a full Twins stack.

OF - Jordan Luplow - CLE @ KC (Duffy) - $4,000

Jordan Luplow is a pure platoon hitter, though he will often stay in the game one a righty comes in through the bullpen. However, he's insane vs lefties. On the season, a .437 wOBA surrounded by a .365 ISO and 43% hard contact rate. We haven't touched on the Indians just yet, but Danny Duffy has been weak by any measure this year. He's striking out a solid eight batters per nine, but also allowing a 5+ xFIP and 13 home runs in less than 100 innings of work. The Indians are a high-upside stack tonight and Luplow alone is a great play in any format.

MLB DFS News and Injury Alerts

More Recent Articles


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Adrian Houser

In life, there seem to be two kinds of people, the flashy and the boring. “Flashy” people like high-end materialistic things such as nice clothing or an expensive car. "Boring” people prefer the simpler things in life like spending time with their loved ones. This seems to be true when it comes to fantasy baseball,... Read More

Taking Out the Trash: Pitchers Who Should Junk Their Worst Pitch

Pitch mix changes can make or break a player’s season. That obviously goes for fantasy value as well as real-life. We've already seen how throwing an effective pitch more often could make a huge improvement a la Patrick Corbin. Sometimes pitchers just need to eliminate a pitch to see their numbers improve. Consider the following: Mitch... Read More

ADP Showdown – Trevor Story vs. Trea Turner

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More

Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitcher Statcast

Statcast metrics such as Barrels and Brls/BBE are great ways to evaluate a batter's performance, so it is only natural to assume that the metrics would be predictive for pitchers as well. As much as batters want to hit a Barrel every time, pitchers want to avoid them at all costs. Yet there is evidence... Read More

Bases Loaded Podcast - All Things Fantasy Baseball w/ Nick Pollack (@PitcherList)

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is  joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) and they discuss all things fantasy baseball! Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune... Read More

Finding Combo-Player Values Using Z-Scores and ATC Projections

Towards the end of last season, I asked the question – “Draft Speed or Pound the Power?” Loaded in this seemingly simple query are two contradictory approaches – one for power and one for speed. Power Approach 1: Home run totals are dramatically up in baseball these days. Therefore, there are many power bats available... Read More

ADP Showdown - Whit Merrifield vs Austin Meadows

Spring training is officially underway, which means baseball season is upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already begun dealing with tough draft position decisions. The outfield position is deep as always, but... Read More

2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Third Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More

2020 Dynasty Leagues: Players to Sell (Premium Content)

As draft day approaches in dynasty leagues, the window to sell-high on a big name has never been better. The first days of spring training are a chance to cash in on players who may have hit their peak value before the 2020 season begins. Bartering is a matter of risk vs reward. You hate... Read More

Bases Loaded Podcast: Early Round Values

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is joined by Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) and Zach Braff (@BraffZ) and they discuss early round values. They go through and highlight a few players that are going inside the top 150 in ADP that offer a great chance to return profit. Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast... Read More

Second Year Pitcher Preview: Fantasy Baseball 2020 ADP Analysis

Host Anthony Aniano of RotoBaller Radio discuss the 2020 fantasy baseball season and keeps you updated with all the latest news and analysis Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, every weekday afternoon from 1-2 PM ET, Saturday nights from 9-11 PM ET... Read More

Relief Pitchers to Target for Holds

Hold on... there are fantasy leagues that reward middle relievers, not just starters and closers? Yes, there are, and leagues that reward holds are one of the fastest-growing segments of fantasy baseball as real baseball continues to diminish the role of the starter in favor of building deep bullpens with multiple relievers that throw 95+... Read More

2020 Second Base Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Points leagues may seem like a slight variation from traditional 5x5 category scoring leagues but you must approach draft day with a different strategy if you wish to truly compete. Rankings themselves are a different beast altogether, as category specialists like Mallex Smith and Dee Gordon (stolen bases), Kyle Schwarber and Franmil Reyes (home runs),... Read More

ADP Showdown – Matt Olson vs Paul Goldschmidt

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More

2020 Second Base Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues

As the season draws near, we realize more and more that it's draft season. There is a large portion of fantasy baseball busy with mock drafts, rankings, sleepers, and more mock drafts. The Dynasty community, on the other hand, is looking to continue their dominance, rebuild, or in a worst-case scenario, stick their hands up... Read More