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Welcome to our daily NBA DFS picks and recommendations for the playoffs! The intensity and stakes are high as we navigate through the postseason, and I'm here to provide the insights and recommendations you need to gain a competitive edge and maximize your winnings. Each day, I'll share my top picks and analyze critical factors impacting player performance and game outcomes, such as injuries, player matchups, and team strategies. It's important to note that value plays tend to shrink in the playoffs, so we'll focus on finding high-value, consistent players with solid matchups. Get ready for the excitement and intensity of NBA playoff DFS, grab your coffee, and let's dominate the competition together.
Here are my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for FanDuel and DraftKings on 5/7/23. Keep an eye on RotoBaller’s NBA injury news and also our full NBA injury report today to stay up to date before lineups are locked.
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DraftKings and FanDuel Guards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks
Jamal Murray, vs. PHX (DK: $7,900)
Murray is underpriced, plain and simple. He needs 39.5 DK points to hit 5x value tonight, and he has exceeded that number in six of his last eight games. He has more games over 50 DK points (four) than games he has failed to reach 5x value (two) in that stretch. He and Jokic have some great chemistry going, and I don't see Paul, Booker, Durant, Ayton, and company suddenly turning things around and slowing this star pairing down.
James Harden, vs. BOS (FD: $8,500, DK: $8,600)
The sites are trying to bait us into picking Harden at these comically-low prices, and I'm taking that bait. The Beard needs 43 DK points to hit 5x value tonight; he averaged 48.4 DK points per game during the regular season and has been over that number twice in his last four games (48.5, 61.25 DK points). He had 42 DK points last game, with him shooting an egregious 3-for-14 from the field. The Sixers need a win to save their season here, so we can count on Harden and Embiid to do everything they can to come out with the dub today.
Also consider (in order): Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Derrick White, Marcus Smart, Malcolm Brogdon
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DraftKings and FanDuel Forwards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks
Aaron Gordon, vs. PHX (FD: $5,600, DK: $6,200)
Playing Gordon is a little difficult because he hasn't done much, and fellow forward Michael Porter Jr. is cheaper and is coming off a huge Game 3 performance. However, Gordon is playing many minutes (39 minutes per game vs. PHX) and will be a player we want to have if he can put his whole game together. He has seemed to alternate between shooting poorly and not contributing outside of scoring, but once he does figure it out, he will be a piece we need to have. I'm banking on that tonight as the Nuggets look to take a convincing 3-1 series lead.
Al Horford, vs. PHI (DK: $6,500) DraftKings only
The 36-year-old ageless vet has come alive recently, and his price is still low enough that we can use him as a value piece on today's slate. He put up 30 and 43.5 DK points to cap off the series with the Hawks, and he's averaging 29 DK points per game so far in the Eastern Conference semifinals. We should have a competitive game as the Celtics are 2.5-point favorites on the road, so Horford should get his full complement of minutes and have a great shot at hitting 5x value.
Also consider (in order): Josh Okogie (DK), Michael Porter Jr., Kevin Durant, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown
DraftKings and FanDuel Centers - NBA DFS Lineup Picks
Nikola Jokic, vs. PHX (FD: $12,200, DK: $10,900)
I've done it all year, and it has worked out for me more often than not: play Nikola Jokic when he is on an NBA DFS slate. The two-time (probably should've been three-time) MVP has compiled totals of 71.75, 80.25, 73.5, and 80.75 over his last five games. No one in the entire NBA is coming close to putting up those numbers over a five-game stretch. No one. The Suns don't have an answer to stopping him, at least not yet. Keep riding the train.
Also consider (in order): Deandre Ayton, Joel Embiid, Robert Williams
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