Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Champ or Chump: Michael Chavis and Mike Soroka

The topic of the day is former first-round picks with the first name "Michael" currently owned in approximately 50% of fantasy leagues. In truth, the fact that both of the players discussed below fit all of those criteria is nothing more than happy circumstance, but both players deserve more fantasy attention than they're currently getting.

Michael Chavis has done nothing but rake since the Red Sox summoned him to the big club, slashing .313/.436/.625 with three homers in 39 PAs. Mike Soroka has been even more impressive as a member of the Braves rotation, compiling a 1.62 ERA that's largely supported by his 2.82 xFIP in his 16 2/3 IP. Both players appear primed for continued success, though maybe not quite to the extent we've seen thus far.

Keep in mind, our Champ / Chump conclusions are based on whether we think a player will outperform their expectations. For example, a pitcher we view as "Tier 2" can be a Champ if they're seen as a Tier 3 pitcher, or they could be a Chump if they're perceived as a Tier 1 pitcher. All ownership rates are from Yahoo! leagues unless otherwise noted. Let's take a closer look at Chavis and Soroka, shall we?

Featured Promo: Get your 2023 MLB Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our preseason Draft Kit, #1 accuracy rankings, #1 ATC projections, Team Sync platform, Live Draft Assistant, 15 in-season lineup tools, customized rankings and much more! Sign Up Now!


Michael Chavis (2B/3B, BOS)

44% Owned

Chavis was widely regarded as one of the top power-hitting prospects in the 2014 First Year Player's Draft, but he had a relatively slow ascent up the MiLB ladder. The light bulb finally went on in 2017, when he slashed .250/.310/.492 with 14 HR over just 274 PAs in his first exposure to the Double-A level. He posted the fly ball rate (45.8%) and HR/FB (15.9%) you want to see from a power bat, and even kept the strikeouts manageable (20.4% K% vs. 7.3% BB%). His .265 BABIP was on the low side, so there was even a chance that his solid campaign should have been better.

Unfortunately, Chavis earned a PED suspension for his 2017 efforts that cut his 2018 season short by 80 games. He tore Double-A pitching to shreds when he got back onto the field (.303/.388/.508 with six homers in 139 PAs), earning a brief crack at Triple-A before the season ended. His FB% cratered to 35.3%, but he still posted a 20% HR/FB. Both his strikeout (25.2 K%) and walk (9.4 BB%) spiked, but his .383 BABIP shielded his batting average from any adverse effects.

Chavis was in 2017 form to begin this season at Triple-A, slashing .250/.354/.600 with four dingers in 48 PAs before his promotion. His plate discipline metrics looked outstanding (18.8 K%, 14.6% BB%), and he got his fly ball rate back up to 43.3%. Heck, his 30.8% HR/FB even supports his current MLB mark of 30%. Both are ridiculously small sample sizes, but it helps that FanGraphs gave his raw power a 65 on the 20-80 scouting scale this season. Likewise, Baseball Savant's scouting report graded his power out at 60.

In short, Chavis's prospect pedigree and minor league history both suggest that he is an able power bat at the tender age of 23. The sample size isn't large enough yet to put too much stock in his 100.3 mph average airborne exit velocity or 20% rate of Brls/BBE, but both are outstanding. If you're looking for a legitimate power bat with multi-positional eligibility, Chavis is your guy.

That said, the under on his current .313 batting average is a safe bet. While Chavis is walking a lot (15.4 BB%, 24.2% chase rate), his 16.2 SwStr% suggests that his 25.6% strikeout rate is more likely to increase than decrease. Similarly, it's tough to run a .368 BABIP with a strong fly ball bent (45.5 FB%) and a microscopic 9.1 LD%, especially since his MiLB resume supports both metrics to an extent.

Still, Chavis figures to walk enough to post a worthy OBP to compliment his power production. He also hit fifth on Wednesday afternoon, the most recent game at writing. The biggest risk with Chavis is that he loses playing time to a veteran, but Dustin Pedroia looks cooked. Even if Pedroia makes a miraculous comeback, Chavis is good enough to replace the disappointing Rafael Devers at third or the yawn platoon of Mitch Moreland and Steve Pierce at first base. He'll play, and he'll play well.

Verdict: Champ (based on sub-50% ownership rate)

Mike Soroka (SP, ATL)

54% Owned

Soroka will be 21 years old for the vast majority of this season, making his performance thus far (and the fact that he logged 25 2/3 IP at the MLB level last year) all the more impressive. He should stay in the majors for the rest of the season simply because he has nothing left to prove on the farm.

Soroka first cracked the High Minors in 2017, working 153 2/3 innings of 2.75 ERA, 3.28 xFIP ball at Double-A. His 19.9 K% doesn't jump off of the page, but he didn't walk anybody (5.4 BB%) and limited damage on contact (.275 BABIP, 6.8% HR/FB). This was in keeping with his Baseball Savant scouting report, which states that Soroka effectively pitches to contact rather than try to strike everybody out.

Soroka graduated to Triple-A in 2018, posting a 2.00 ERA and 2.21 xFIP over 27 IP. His K% surged to 29.8% while his walks held steady (5.8 BB%), suggesting an arm that's getting better even as his quality of competition improves. He also flashed the contract suppression skills from his Double-A tenure (.299 BABIP, 0% HR/FB), inspiring the Braves to try him in the Show.

Soroka only struck out 18.6% of the hitters who faced him in his MLB debut, but he limited walks (6.2 BB%) en route to holding his own (3.51 ERA, 3.63 xFIP in 25 2/3 IP) as a 20-year old. Sadly, elbow inflammation put him on the DL in mid-May and he never managed to pitch again in 2018.

Thus far, Soroka has spent 2019 making up for lost time. He's striking out the world (29.6 K%) with only a marginal increase in BB% (8.5%), mirroring the progress he seemed to be making at Triple-A. Unlike most highly-touted prospects, Soroka doesn't have stuff that wows you. However, Baseball Savant grades his command as a 60 on the 20-80 scale, and his fastball, slider, and change all rate above average to plus.

Soroka's sinker is the most-used pitch in his arsenal (39.5% used), and what it lacks in strikeout potential (5.9 SwStr%, 49.5 Zone%) it makes up for in ground ball rate (78.9%). Thanks in large part to this pitch, Soroka's xStats (.196 xBA, .234 xSLG) are even better than his actual numbers (.210 BA, .242 SLG).

Soroka can also get Ks when he wants to. His fastball is usually in the 92-93 mph range, but he can dial it up to 96 when needed. It has a strong spin rate (2,349 RPM) and very strong 12% SwStr% on the campaign so far. Soroka's preferred secondary offering is his slide piece (11.7 SwStr%, 39 Zone%, 36.2% chase rate), but his change looks like it could be his biggest weapon (26.9 SwStr%, 38.5 Zone%, 31.3% chase) despite only being thrown 9.4% of the time.

In short, Soroka's K% is likely to decline not because he lacks physical ability, but because he prefers to induce weak contact and pile up outs (and innings) in an era where that's increasingly hard to find. The Braves are a perfectly respectable club, so his supporting cast should generate his fair share of Ws. Honestly, this kid's ownership rate should be pushing 100%, not 55.

Verdict: Champ (based on 54% ownership rate)

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Jake Cronenworth14 mins ago

Padres Agree To Extension
Anthony Davis15 mins ago

Battles Through Injury For A Big Double-Double
Nolan Jones22 mins ago

Homers Twice For Albuquerque
Jonathan Toews23 mins ago

Returns To Action Saturday
Tyler Toffoli33 mins ago

Nets Two Goals Against Vancouver
Clayton Keller42 mins ago

Keeps Point Streak Going Friday
Jason Robertson54 mins ago

Sets New Stars Scoring Record
Adam Fox1 hour ago

Continues Hot Spell With A Goal
Casey Mittelstadt1 hour ago

Hands Out Two Assists
Steven Kwan3 hours ago

Plates Five In Win Over Seattle
Tee Higgins10 hours ago

Not Concerned About Contract Situation
Jeff Skinner10 hours ago

Scores Game-Winning Goal In Overtime
Devon Levi10 hours ago

Earns Victory In NHL Debut
A.J. Puk12 hours ago

Picks Up Save For Marlins Friday
Rhys Hoskins12 hours ago

Undergoes Successful Knee Surgery
Nick Solak12 hours ago

Mariners Acquire Nick Solak From Reds
Justin Verlander13 hours ago

Does Some Light Throwing
Luis Urías13 hours ago

Luis Urias Reportedly Heading To Injured List
Joey Wiemer13 hours ago

Reportedly Will Be Called Up
Anthony Rendon13 hours ago

Being Investigated By MLB
Willson Contreras14 hours ago

Receives Good News On Friday
Seattle Seahawks15 hours ago

Ryan Neal Becomes Free Agent
Pharaoh Brown15 hours ago

Joins Colts
Darrynton Evans15 hours ago

To Meet With Colts
Laquon Treadwell15 hours ago

Working Out For Cowboys
Zach Collins15 hours ago

Out Against Golden State
De'Andre Hunter15 hours ago

Out With A Knee Injury On Friday
Oscar Gonzalez15 hours ago

Starting On Friday
Obi Toppin16 hours ago

Will Start Against The Cavs
Jarrett Allen16 hours ago

Downgraded To Out On Friday
Nelson Cruz16 hours ago

Batting Cleanup On Friday
Mike Moustakas16 hours ago

Remains Out Again
Michael Brantley16 hours ago

Takes Batting Practice
Andrew Vaughn16 hours ago

Sitting On Friday
Gavin Sheets18 hours ago

Oscar Colas Starting On Friday
Paul Sewald18 hours ago

Picks Up Win On Opening Day
Garrett Whitlock18 hours ago

Making Rehab Start Friday
Josh Rojas18 hours ago

Hitting Leadoff Against Dodgers
Corey Julks18 hours ago

Making MLB Debut Against White Sox
Portland Trail Blazers19 hours ago

LaMarcus Aldridge Officially Retires From The NBA
Jamal Murray19 hours ago

Considered Questionable Against Phoenix
Nikola Jokic19 hours ago

Could Miss His Second Consecutive Game
Kenyon Martin19 hours ago

Jr. Uncertain To Play Against Detroit
Tobias Harris19 hours ago

Could Miss Friday's Game Against Toronto
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander19 hours ago

Upgraded To Questionable On Friday
Al Horford19 hours ago

Uncertain To Suit Up On Friday
Jaylen Brown19 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable With Lower-Back Pain
Jayson Tatum19 hours ago

Listed As Questionable Against Utah
Kelly Olynyk19 hours ago

Is Available Against Boston On Friday
De'Andre Hunter19 hours ago

Downgraded To Out On Friday
Trayveon Williams22 hours ago

Bengals Have High Hopes For Trayveon Williams
Joe Burrow22 hours ago

Bengals Begin Extension Discussions With Joe Burrow
Mac Jones22 hours ago

Bill Belichick Still Non-Committal On Mac Jones
Sammy Blais23 hours ago

Extends Point Streak To Six Games
Cam Talbot24 hours ago

Makes A Winning Return
Matthew Beniers24 hours ago

Logs Two Points Against Anaheim
Stuart Skinner24 hours ago

Grabs A 43-Save Shutout
Tristan Jarry24 hours ago

Records His Second Shutout
Matthew Tkachuk24 hours ago

Rolls To Four Points Versus Montreal
T.J. Oshie1 day ago

Exits With An Upper-Body Injury
Mikey Anderson1 day ago

Injured On First Shift Thursday
CJ McCollum1 day ago

Drops 23 Points In Easy Win Over Denver
Jamal Murray1 day ago

Salvages Solid Performance In Loss
Brandon Ingram1 day ago

Secures A Triple-Double Against Denver
Jaylen Brown1 day ago

Collects Another 30-Point Game
Jayson Tatum1 day ago

Drops 40 Points In Blowout Win
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Allows One Goal In Overtime Victory
David Pastrnak1 day ago

Scores Game-Winning Goal
Baltimore Ravens2 days ago

Ravens Have Been Active In Receiver Market
Baker Mayfield2 days ago

Kyle Trask To Compete In Training Camp
Courtland Sutton2 days ago

Broncos Could Still Trade Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

To Stay With Cardinals?
Odell Beckham Jr.2 days ago

Jets The Most Likely Landing Spot For Odell Beckham Jr.
Carolina Panthers2 days ago

Panthers Not Settled On One QB For No. 1 Pick
Lamar Jackson2 days ago

Not Seeking Fully Guaranteed Deal
Nathan Peterman2 days ago

Re-Signs With Bears
Ryan Lindgren2 days ago

A Game-Time Decision Against New Jersey
Seth Jones2 days ago

Expects To Play Thursday
David Savard2 days ago

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Dre Miller2 days ago

Kendre Miller Ahead Of Schedule
Buffalo Bills2 days ago

Bills Re-Sign Jordan Phillips
Las Vegas Raiders2 days ago

Alex Bars Returns To Raiders On One-Year Deal
Dallas Cowboys2 days ago

Johnathan Hankins Re-Signs With Cowboys
NFL2 days ago

Wanya Morris Getting Close To 100%
Brendon Todd3 days ago

Has Success At TPC San Antonio
Ben Martin3 days ago

Has Value At TPC San Antonio
Nick Taylor3 days ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Option At Valero
Taylor Pendrith3 days ago

A Sleeper Option At TPC San Antonio
Chris Kirk3 days ago

A Good Option At The Valero Texas Open
Matt Kuchar3 days ago

Loves Playing TPC San Antonio
Will Gordon3 days ago

Offers A Wild-Card Option At Valero
Cam Davis3 days ago

Can Keep His Current Form At TPC San Antonio
Mark Hubbard4 days ago

A Low-Risk Value Option At Valero
Tyler Duncan4 days ago

Start Tyler Duncan At TPC San Antonio
Emiliano Grillo4 days ago

Not Recommended At Valero
Patrick Rodgers4 days ago

Don't Give Patrick Rodgers A Shot At Valero
Adam Schenk4 days ago

Wants To Keep Momentum Rolling At Valero
Ryan Moore4 days ago

Cannot Get Past The Cut Lately
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

Could Warm Things Up At Valero
Si Woo Kim4 days ago

A Possible Contender At Valero
Taylor Montgomery4 days ago

Attempting To Find Weekend Consistency
Corey Conners4 days ago

Trying To Recreate A Little Magic
Thomas Detry4 days ago

Continues To Impress In Rookie Season
Aaron Rai4 days ago

Brings Positive Momentum To Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia4 days ago

Looks To Stay Hot In Texas
Todd Gilliland5 days ago

Impressive At COTA
Ty Gibbs5 days ago

Finds His Footing At COTA
Chris Buescher5 days ago

Continues To Shine On Road Courses
NASCAR5 days ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Finishes Seventh
Austin Cindric5 days ago

Has A Solid Day
Marlon Vera5 days ago

Has Four-Fight Winning Streak Snapped
Cory Sandhagen5 days ago

Dominates Striking Department
Yana Santos5 days ago

Dominated In Decision Loss
Holly Holm5 days ago

Dominates In Co-Main Event
Austin Lingo5 days ago

Suffers Submission Loss
Nate Landwehr5 days ago

Shines With Second-Round Submission Win
Andrea Lee5 days ago

Suffers Defeat In Close Matchup Saturday
Maycee Barber5 days ago

Takes Close Matchup On Saturday
Chidi Njokuani5 days ago

Takes Close Loss In Split-Decision Showing
Albert Duraev5 days ago

Holds Off Opponent In Tight Split Decision
William Byron5 days ago

Rounds Out Top Five At COTA
Ross Chastain5 days ago

Caught Up To Fourth At COTA On Sunday
Alex Bowman5 days ago

Brings Home Third Place Finish At COTA
Kyle Busch5 days ago

Scrambles Up To Second At Austin
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Dominates And Wins At COTA