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Best Monday Night Football Bets, Props and Expert Picks - Week 7 MNF Analysis (2025)

C.J. Stroud - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Expert Monday Night Football betting predictions, best MNF prop bets, and odds analysis for Week 7. Free Monday Night Football picks and player props for tonight's game including our top pick for an anytime touchdown.

Hello everybody, and welcome to Week 7's edition of Monday Night Football bets and props! The NFL season is now in full swing, and we here at RotoBaller could not be more thrilled to bring you some of the best content in the market. We are excited to bring betting content to all those interested in every slate in any given week.

This weekly article will focus on the Monday night slate, and I will provide several different betting angles for the games scheduled. I will typically offer at least one play on the game's total or spread, as well as at least three player or game props. Although this article will be published each week on Monday mornings, you can always feel free to check out our Discord channel to see plays posted throughout the week.

This week's matchups feature the Tampa Bay Buccaneers traveling to Detroit to take on the Lions, and the Houston Texans at the Seattle Seahawks. Both of these games should provide plenty of goodies for us to try and take advantage of. All of these teams have soft spots in their defense that we can look to exploit as well. Without further delay, let's get into tonight's picks for Week 6 of Monday Night Football!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Week 7 Monday Night Football Betting Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions

Spread: Lions -6
Total: 53.5

In our first Monday night matchup, we have two strong NFC contenders facing off with the 5-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers traveling to the 4-2 Detroit Lions. The Bucs have had some major injuries to their receiving corps, but Baker Mayfield has carried on, supplanting himself in the MVP race. Meanwhile, Detroit has thrived despite having some key injuries on the defensive side of the ball.

Houston Texans @ Seattle Seahawks

Spread: Seahawks -3
Total: 41.5

In our second game of the night, the Houston Texans, riding a two-game win streak and sitting at 2-3, will travel to Seattle to take on the 4-2 Seahawks, who have won four of their previous five games and are looking to keep the momentum rolling. Both of these teams feature stout defenses, making points a premium in this matchup.

 

Week 7 Monday Night Football Betting Picks

For tonight's pick against the total and/or spread, we are going to look out west in our late game between the Texans and Seahawks. Both of these teams have been building momentum over the previous couple of weeks and are looking to carry that forward on the backs of their defenses.

Both of these teams feature stout defenses, especially against the run. Overall, Seattle has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards to the running back position, while also allowing just 3.1 yards per carry. Meanwhile, the Texans come into this matchup allowing the fourth-fewest rushing yards to running backs, while allowing a slightly worse 3,8 yards per carry.

Additionally, Houston has been stout against the pass, allowing just 194 passing yards per game to the quarterback position. The Seahawks, on the other hand, come in allowing more than 257 passing yards per game to quarterbacks.

This suggests that Seattle will face tough sledding on the ground with Kenneth Walker III and likely struggle to move the ball through the air against a stout pass defense. Houston should also struggle on the ground, but their passing game has picked up lately, with C.J. Stroud averaging nearly 240 passing yards per game over their previous two victories.

The Texans have also played in several close games this season. Across their five games, three have been one-score games, all of which were losses. That being said, their losses came by an average of just over four points per game. This feels like a game Houston should be able to cover and possibly win on the back of their defense, and if they do get down, they should be able to move the ball against a struggling Seattle secondary to keep the game within the margin.

The Pick: Texans +3 (-110, DraftKings)

 

Week 7 Monday Night Football Player Props

C.J. Stroud OVER 226.4 passing yards (-113, DraftKings)

Based on the game write-up above, this selection should come as no surprise. Seattle has struggled mightily against opposing quarterbacks, having allowed the fifth-most passing yards while allowing an average of over 257 yards per game. They have also allowed four of the previous five quarterbacks they have faced to throw for at least 240 passing yards.

While Stroud struggled early in the season, he has rebounded nicely over the previous two weeks, as aforementioned, averaging nearly 240 passing yards per game and eclipsing this total in each of those two games. He has done this by finding his top target, Nico Collins, on 22 targets equating to 232 yards across the previous three games.

Stroud should be able to move the ball through the air against this defense and get over this number.

Cade Otton OVER 41.5 receiving yards (-113, DraftKings)

Cade Otton looks like he could be in line to be one of Baker Mayfield's top targets in this matchup against the Lions, with Mike Evans (hamstring), Chris Godwin (fibula), and Emeka Egbuka (hamstring) all currently listed on the injury report for Week 7. While all of them may not miss this week (although they could), they will certainly not be 100%.

Enter Otton, who has been superb in his own right over the previous two weeks while averaging 4.5 receptions for 66 receiving yards on 5.5 targets, and could see his role expanded once again. His window for success against this Lions' defense could also be wide open this week, as Detroit has struggled a bit versus the tight end position.

Overall, Detroit has allowed an average of nearly 53 receiving yards per game to tight ends. They have also allowed some big-time games to the position, including Mark Andrews (6/91) and Travis Kelce (6/78) in recent weeks. If Otton is one of the focal points of the passing game again this week, as he has been in the previous two weeks, there is no reason he cannot eclipse this total.

The Lions' defense also ranks inside the top 10 in terms of rushing yards allowed to the running back position, so the Bucs will be best suited to attack this defense through the air, which should mean more targets for Otton. The fact that Tampa Bay is also a six-point road dog should also help Otton's case here.

UPDATE: Otton was set to 41.5 at the time of initial writing, but has since been removed. Keep a lookout leading up to kickoff, as no direct injury has been reported for him, and he will likely come back up on the board.

 

Week 7 Monday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Bet

Sam LaPorta ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN scorer (+150, DraftKings)

We are going to continue with the tight end theme in Detroit, as LaPorta's anytime touchdown prop is currently set to +150 and makes a ton of sense in this game given the matchup. Overall, Tampa Bay has allowed four receiving touchdowns to the tight end position, which ranks third-worst in the league behind only the Bengals and the Jets.

They have also allowed those four touchdowns over the previous three weeks, which is excellent news in terms of recency.

Meanwhile, LaPorta has seen a total of five red zone targets this season, which may not seem like much, but he has also been targeted in the red zone in each of the previous two games. In addition to this stat, LaPorta has hauled in a touchdown reception in each of the last two games.

This is also a Bucs' defense that has allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards to running backs, so Detroit will likely need to move the ball through the air and use this avenue to put points on the board. LaPorta has averaged 5.5 targets per game and has yet to see fewer than four targets in any game, so he should continue to be heavily involved in this offense, especially with this matchup on tap.

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Expected to Practice Either Thursday or Friday
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