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Best Monday Night Football Bets, Props, and Expert Picks - Week 11 MNF Analysis (2025)

Javonte Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Expert Monday Night Football betting predictions, best MNF prop bets, and odds analysis for Week 11. Free Monday Night Football picks and player props for tonight's game, including our top pick for an anytime touchdown.

Hello everybody, and welcome to Week 11's edition of Monday Night Football bets and props! The NFL season is now in full swing, and we here at RotoBaller could not be more thrilled to bring you some of the best content in the market. We are excited to bring betting content to all those interested in every slate in any given week.

This weekly article will focus on the Monday night slate, and I will provide several different betting angles for the games scheduled. I will typically offer at least one play on the game's total or spread, as well as at least three player or game props, including at least one anytime touchdown prop. Although this article will be published each week on Sunday evenings, you can always feel free to check out our Discord channel to see plays posted throughout the week.

This week's matchup features the Dallas Cowboys at the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nev. Each of these teams has soft spots in their defense that we can look to exploit as well. Without further delay, let's get into tonight's picks for what should be an awesome Week 11 of Monday Night Football!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Week 11 Monday Night Football Betting Odds

Dallas Cowboys @ Las Vegas Raiders

Spread: Cowboys -3.5
Total: 49.5

Tonight, we have a matchup of two teams that have struggled to rack up wins in 2025, with the 3-5-1 Dallas Cowboys traveling to Las Vegas to take on the 2-7 Las Vegas Raiders. Dallas is currently reeling after having lost three of its previous four games and has really struggled on defense, having allowed an average of over 32 points per game across those three losses.

Meanwhile, the Raiders have lost three straight games while allowing an average of nearly 24 points per game. The Raiders have actually leaned a bit on their defense this season, as the offense has struggled to find a consistent rhythm in 2025, averaging just over 15 points per game, which ranks them second-worst in the league.

 

Week 11 Monday Night Football Betting Picks

This game figures to be rather high scoring, as the current total is set to 49.5, which is the highest total on the board for Week 11. The total makes sense to me, given that the Cowboys currently rank fourth-best in the league, averaging nearly 30 points per game. That being said, their defense has been absolutely atrocious, allowing an average of nearly 31 points per game, which ranks them second-worst in the league.

That being said, the Raiders' struggles on offense are noted above, as they average the second-fewest points in the league. While the Raiders defense is the team's strong suit, that is not saying much. They have allowed an average of over 24 points per game this season, which currently has them ranked in the bottom half of the league.

The Raiders' rushing defense has been their weak link on that side of the ball, allowing over 106 rushing yards per game to their opponents. This is not a sustainable way to win football games and will be especially difficult against a Dallas offense that is capable of running the ball. On the season, Dallas averages nearly 121 rushing yards per game, which ranks it in the top half of the league.

Additionally, Dallas has an extremely potent passing offense with the likes of CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. Overall, it averages nearly 258 passing yards per game, ranking it third-best in the league. This feels like a great spot for the Cowboys to get Javonte Williams heavily involved early to control the game and then set up their high-powered passing attack.

If this ends up being the case, the Cowboys have the potential to run away with this game. Even though their defense has been putrid this season, they are facing the right opponent in a Raiders offense that has not shown the ability to score points. This could get away from the Raiders in a hurry on Monday Night Football.

The Pick: Cowboys -3.5 (-105, DraftKings)

 

Week 11 Monday Night Football Player Props

Javonte Williams OVER 17.5 rushing attempts (-118, DraftKings)

Last week, we took a shot at Saquon Barkley's rushing attempts prop, and it did not disappoint as he carried the ball 22 times. I think we could see a similar scenario in this week's matchup, where the Cowboys look to establish the run early and often against this Raiders defense. While Williams has only eclipsed this total three times in 2025, it is quite telling (similar to last week with Barkley) that the number is set here.

The Raiders have also been put in situations recently where running backs have been able to eclipse this total. Over the previous two weeks, both Travis Etienne Jr. (22) and J.K. Dobbins (18) have carried the ball more than 17 times. Additionally, in Week 7, the Chiefs' backfield of Isiah Pacheco and Brashard Smith combined for a whopping 29 carries against the Raiders defense.

Geno Smith OVER 231.5 passing yards (-111, DraftKings)

Geno Smith's passing yards fall into the narrative pretty well here if the Cowboys are able to establish the run to set up their pass and build a lead. It makes sense that the Raiders could be trailing in this game and have to throw in order to try and keep it close. This may not be such bad news, given how bad this Cowboys defense has been.

On the season, Dallas has allowed the fifth-most passing yards to the quarterback position and has allowed an average of over 271 passing yards per game. It has also allowed a total of six quarterbacks to throw for 230 or more yards this season. Smith has eclipsed this total in just three games this season, one of which was his most recent home start against the Jaguars, as he threw for 284 yards and four touchdowns.

 

Week 11 Monday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Bet

Javonte Williams ANYTIME touchdown (-185, DraftKings)

I understand this play is by no means sexy, with odds currently sitting at close to -200, but Williams has a solid shot of getting in the end zone in this matchup. That being said, one can also take a look at his first touchdown scorer prop if they want a little more excitement, which is currently set to +450.

Williams will see the bulk of the work out of the Cowboys backfield, per usual, in this contest. That has helped him account for a total of nine touchdowns this season, eight of which have come on the ground. He has also punched it into the end zone in four of the Cowboys' previous six games.

The Raiders, on the other hand, have struggled against the running back position when it comes to allowing touchdowns. On the season, they have allowed a total of nine rushing touchdowns to running backs. Only the Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans have allowed more rushing touchdowns to the running back position.

Additionally, Williams has scored two or more touchdowns in three different games this season. If you wanted to look at his odds to score multiple times in this game, I could not fault you. Those odds are currently set to +290. I personally will be dabbling in both the first touchdown and two-plus touchdown markets, and will likely add the anytime touchdown to a parlay of some sort.

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