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Best Early Bets for the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix

Lock in these major value bet in now while you can for the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway.

The NASCAR Cup Series season will conclude this weekend at Phoenix Raceway, as the Cup Series Championship Race is set to take place at Phoenix Raceway at 3:00 pm ET. There are four drivers remaining in the Playoffs--Kyle Larson, William Byron, Christopher Bell, and Ryan Blaney--and the driver that finishes the highest of those four will be crowned the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Champion.

Ever since NASCAR introduced its Playoffs format, one thing has happened on a regular basis with the finale race: the final four remaining drivers are typically the fastest. Part of the reasoning for this is that other drivers in the field go on "vacation mode" early, as they don't want to interfere with the guys fighting for the prestigious Championship.

Sportsbooks have taken notice of this as well, and that's why we are seeing some absolutely ridiculous betting lines for top-three, top-five, and top-10 finishes. However, many sportsbooks have simultaneously lengthened odds for the other drivers in the field, and this has created plenty of value betting lines.

 

The Early Bets To Make For Phoenix

We're going to focus on the top 10 betting lines early on in the week, as that is where the most value is right now--and there's plenty of it. Below are some of the top 10 bets that I have already personally made, in order of which ones I like the most.

Kevin Harvick Top 10 (-135) on Tipico - This line opened at -130 on Bet365, which I immediately took and placed one of my largest bets of the season. It has since moved to -150 on there, and that's still a good line to hit, but it's sitting at -135 on Tipico if you have access to that book. Harvick has finished inside the top 10 in every single Phoenix race for the last 10 years. That's 20 races. He's also shown top-five speed at most shorter, flat tracks this season.

Chase Elliott Top 10 (+240) on Bet365 - Chase missed the first Phoenix race this season due to his leg injury, but two of his teammates (Kyle Larson and William Byron) dominated the race while another one of his teammates (Alex Bowman) got his first top-10 finish at Phoenix in seven years. Elliott himself has been one of the best drivers here at Phoenix over the last four years, and has nine top-three Stage finishes in the last 14 Stages.

Chase Briscoe Top 10 (+240) on Bet365 - Briscoe has had an awful season, but he's a very good flat track racer--as evidenced by his top-five finish at Martinsville last weekend. Here at Phoenix, he's finished inside the top 10 in all three races with the NextGen car, and even won the first race here back in 2022.

Aric Almirola Top 10 (+550) on Bet365 - Aric Almirola will be walking away from the NASCAR Cup Series after this weekend's race, so it would only be fitting to see him go out with a good result. Short, flat tracks are where Almirola excels the most, and he had legitimate top-five speed at New Hampshire this year before running into issues. His last two results here at Phoenix have been duds but, before that, Almirola finished 13th or better in nine of the previous 10 races at this track.

Michael McDowell Top 10 (+2500) on BetFred - This longshot is definitely worth a sprinkle. Michael McDowell is not good at Phoenix--it's actually one of his worst tracks on the schedule--but he finished a career-best 13th here earlier this season and has results of 6th, 9th, and 13th at Richmond, Gateway, and New Hampshire this year, which are other short, flat tracks.

 

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks


More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Austin Cindric

Had Arguably Best Run of Season at Richmond
Ryan Blaney

Contended for First Richmond Win but Came Up Short
Alex Bowman

Finished Second but Lost Ground in Playoffs
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Sets Personal Laps Led Record at Richmond
Chris Buescher

Falls Out of Playoffs After Miserable Richmond Run
Coby White

Bulls Not Interested in Trading Coby White
Dereck Lively II

Expected to be Ready for Camp
Brian Robinson Jr.

Commanders "Shopping" Brian Robinson Jr.
John Metchie III

Houston Texans Trade John Metchie III to Eagles
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Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Listening to Trade Offers for Trey Hendrickson
Marcelo Mayer

to Have Season-Ending Wrist Surgery
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Called Up From Triple-A Norfolk
J.K. Dobbins

Expected to Win Starting RB Job?
Quentin Johnston

Suffers Concussion in Preseason Loss
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Plays Well on Saturday Night
Marcus Semien

Avoids Serious Injury
Kyle Stowers

Heads to Injured List With Left-Side Strain
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Placed on Injured List With Blood Clot in Shoulder
Terry McLaurin

Commanders Optimistic Terry McLaurin Deal Can Get Done Soon
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De’Von Achane Dealing With Lower-Body Injury
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Luka Doncic Likely Avoids Serious Injury
Josh Hader

Unlikely to Return During Regular Season
Denny Hamlin

the Heavy Favorite to Win at Richmond
Christopher Bell

Has Been Great at Richmond
Kyle Stowers

Out Saturday With Left-Side Tightness
Tyrese Haliburton

No Longer Using a Scooter, Crutches
Ryan Blaney

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Joey Logano

Will Start Last at Richmond After Practice Trouble
Chase Elliott

Lack of Top-Line Speed Hurts his DFS Potential
Kyle Larson

Recent String of Crashes Make Him a Big Risk at Richmond
William Byron

Probably Slightly Too Inconsistent at Richmond to Start for DFS
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on Pole at Richmond as Playoff Deadline Looms Closer
Brad Keselowski

Probably the Best RFK Racing DFS Option at Richmond
Chase Briscoe

Still Figuring Out Richmond
Chris Buescher

a Solid Choice for DFS Play, but Teammates Look Faster
Ty Gibbs

is Mediocre at a Track Where his Grandfather's Team Won 19 Times
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Shane Van Gisbergen

Not Enough Attrition at Richmond for Shane Van Gisbergen to Be Viable
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Looking for Another Solid Richmond Race
Jhoan Duran

Feels "100%"
Marcus Semien

Out on Saturday, Going for X-Rays on his Wrist
George Springer

Activated and Starting on Saturday
Dylan Beavers

Called Up by Orioles
Terry McLaurin

Commanders Activate Terry McLaurin From PUP List
Jhoan Duran

Takes Comebacker Off Foot, X-Rays Negative
Rashee Rice

NFL Could Reach Settlement Before Hearing
Matt Chapman

Goes to Injured List
George Springer

Likely Returning on Saturday
Max Muncy

Lands on 10-Day Injured List
Joe Mixon

Not a Lock to be Ready For Week 1
Rashee Rice

Receives Clearance to Travel to Brazil for Week 1
Haywood Highsmith

Dealt to Brooklyn on Friday
Amir Coffey

Signs One-Year Deal With Bucks
Jacob Misiorowski

Activated and Starting on Friday
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Ronald Acuna Jr. Back From the Injured List
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Dricus Du Plessis

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Lerone Murphy

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Caleb Desnoyers Expected to Miss 12 Weeks After Wrist Procedure
Tyson Foerster

on Track to Be Healthy for Season Opener
NHL

Olivier Rodrigue Signs KHL Deal
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Emil Bemstrom to Join Swiss Team
Payton Pritchard

Reportedly Moving Into Starting Lineup
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Expected to Return Friday
Michael King

Heading to 15-Day Injured List
Quinshon Judkins

Won't Face Formal Charges
Sam LaPorta

To "Miss a Little Bit of Time"
Rashee Rice

Disciplinary Hearing Scheduled For Late September
Chris Godwin

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Kevin Durant

Rockets Not Interested in Keeping Kevin Durant with Max Extension
NBA

Isaiah Mobley Joins Turkish Team
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Cole Swider Links Up with EuroLeague Powerhouse
Ethan Thompson

Joins Heat for Training Camp
Los Angeles Clippers

Clippers Add Jason Preston for Training Camp
Stefon Diggs

Unsure About Availability for Week 1
Justin Jefferson

Won't Practice This Week, Will be Re-Evaluated Next Week
Akshay Bhatia

a High-Upside Play at BMW Championship
Robert MacIntyre

a Safe Play at BMW Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im a Risky Play at BMW Championship
Xander Schauffele

Chases Big Week at BMW Championship
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Anfernee Simons

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James Cook

Bills Agree on Four-Year Extension
Cole Anthony

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Jesse Edwards Moves to Australia
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Bradley Beal

Feeling Rejuvenated in Los Angeles
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Luka Doncic Looking "Incredible"
PIT

Chad Ruhwedel Retires From NHL
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Jack Johnson Signs Tryout Deal with Wild
Ryker Evans

Kraken Extend Ryker Evans with Two-Year Deal
Rondale Moore

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