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The Model Maniac

435 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2023 American Express

Si Woo Kim struck while his irons were hot, leading the field in approach on the way to his fourth PGA Tour win at the Sony Open. His short game was not missing by any means, chipping in for birdie on the penultimate hole to end his round with two birdies which were just enough […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - the American Express (Premium)

The aim of this article is to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to play, what kind of skill sets matter most, and who are the best players in the field in those categories. Hopefully, this piece takes you straight to the lobster when searching through the buffet of golfers to […]

PREMIUM

10 Questions To Ask -PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The American Express

As the Waialae weekend comes to an end, the majority of the betting world will be licking their wounds, as Jordan Spieth, Tom Kim, Sungjae Im, and a few other very popular names missed the cut in Hawaii. Si Woo Kim played some heroic golf down the stretch, chipping in on the 17th and then […]


PGA DFS - Round 4 Showdown for 2023 Sony Open

Hayden Buckley is driving himself to victory, ranking fifth in strokes gained off the tee through three rounds. He also ranks eighth in strokes gained putting, which is an ominous sign considering he ranked 96th in SG: P entering the week. The chances of his putter behaving once again with a nervy, two-stroke lead are […]


PGA DFS Picks - Round 3 Showdown for 2023 Sony Open

Uh, *Jordan* what is going on? Yesterday we asked the same question about Tom Kim. Today Jordan Spieth started R2 in the lead and landed up missing the cut while amassing a whopping 11 DraftKings points, only 24 points less than field average. He did so as the second highest owned golfer on the slate, […]


PGA DFS Picks - Round 2 Showdown for 2023 Sony Open

Uh, Tom, what is going on? I doubt I am the only fool to have had Tom Kim in 80% of my player pool. Another reason why showdown is so awesome. Forget about week-long and focus on the guys who should have played well today, but didn't .. like Tom. The slate tomorrow is ripe […]


Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - 2023 Sony Open

Yesterday's "Back 9 Bets with guests" was titled "The Collinoscopy" and for those of you who had Collin Morikawa as an outright or DFS core piece, it must have felt like one. Collin's collapse was of epic proportions, but a lot of people in that field are simply not good enough to amount a 6-shot […]


Nick Hardy Is The New Iron Man

Nick Hardy rattled off eight-straight birdies on route to a Sunday charge up the leaderboard to finish T21 at the Mayakoba Classic. His irons have been scorching hot, as he has averaged +1.17 per round on approach in 13 rounds in the new season, gaining +0.49 strokes as his worst round. Prior to his irons […]


Matt Kuchar A Hawaii Hammer

Matt Kuchar has seven top-13s in his last nine starts at Waialae Country Club, including a win. He has also been showing reasonable form in the 2023 season with three of his four starts being top-30 finishes. Kuchar has always had fantastic short game which will be essential here as putting is one of the […]


Andrew Putnam A Great Course Fit

Andrew Putnam is one of the more accurate golfers on tour, ranking inside the top 40 in driving accuracy the last two seasons. He also notched up a T2 at the ZOZO Championship in the fall and found himself at the top of the leaderboard at the RSM classic before a shaky weekend. At an […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - Sony Open (Premium)

The aim of this article is to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to play, what kind of skillsets matter most, and who are the best players in the field in those categories. Hopefully this piece takes you straight to the lobster when searching through the buffet of golfers to throw […]

PREMIUM

FanDuel PGA DFS Lineup Picks: 2023 Sony Open

Hello RotoBaller PGA crew! It's great to be back with you guys and I appreciate you joining us here at RotoBaller for your PGA DFS research. This week we'll dig into the FanDuel PGA DFS slate for the fifth event of the season. In this article, we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2023 Sony Open (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Tom Hoge landed up being ultra-value last week, finishing T3 at $6,500 and outscoring nine of the 10 golfers who were higher owned than him. We expected Hoge to be highly owned, but he came in at roughly 20% in a 39-man field, which […]

PREMIUM

10 Questions To Ask Before The 2023 Sony Open - PGA DFS & Betting Research

The first event of the calendar year is behind us and Collin Morikawa is in absolute control heading into the back nine as I sit here typing away. So far, he has yet to make a bogey through 3.5 rounds of golf. An utter masterclass of precise ball striking and a resurgent putter that is […]


PGA Round 4 Live Bets and DFS Showdown Picks for DraftKings: 2023 Sentry TOC

For those of you who have been loyally supporting Breaking $100, my very first article for RotoBaller, thank you! Your support has been rewarded with a slew of additional articles heading your way each week. This article is going to take a look at showdown slates, round matchups, and potential outright/T20 adds after each completed […]


PGA Round 3 Live Bets and DFS Showdown Picks for DraftKings: 2023 Sentry TOC

This article is going to take a look at showdown slates, round matchups, and potential outright/T20 adds after each completed round. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and more often than not […]


PGA Round 2 Live Bets and DFS Showdown Picks for DraftKings: 2023 Sentry TOC

This article is going to take a look at showdown slates, round matchups, and potential outright/T20 adds after each completed round. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and more often than not […]


PGA Stat Buffet - 2023 Tournament of Champions

The aim of this article is to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to play, what kind of skillsets matter most, and who are the best players in the field in those categories. Hopefully this piece takes you straight to the lobster when searching through the buffet of golfers to throw […]

PREMIUM

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions

The year is 2023, the Tournament of Champions is a few hours away, the world's very best are all mostly in the field, and all seems right with the world. Set those goals high, but attainable, and let us have ourselves a year filled with success, happiness and winners! We ended the RSM Classic with […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2023 Tournament of Champions (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Happy New Years! 2023 is going to be a fantastic year and we kick start the year with a 39-man field in Hawaii. With such a limited field it is going to be imperative we find some sort of value and as a result, […]

PREMIUM

Xander Schauffele Withdraws From Wednesday Pro-Am

Xander Schauffele has withdrawn from the Wednesday Pro-Am taking place in Hawaii prior to the start of the Tournament of Champions on Thursday. There is speculation as to the extent of the injury/illness that prompted the withdrawal. This is definitely a concern, as he is one the most popular bets to win the event and […]


Mackenzie Hughes A Kapalua Dark Horse

As the third best putter in the field and the sixth best on Bermuda grass, Mackenzie Hughes will be returning to Kapalua for the third time. However, he does so with almost 10 yards of extra distance added to his game since his last visit. The additional distance is part of the reason he won […]


Tom Hoge A Misprice

Ranked 17th for this weekend, Tom Hoge is a flat-out misprice at $6,500. After missing the majority of his cuts in the 2022 season, he rattled off a T12, T4, T9 and a T13 before missing his final two cuts of the fall swing. His approach play has been stellar, and he should find himself […]


PGA Round 3 Showdown - RSM Classic

This article is going to take a look at showdown slates after each completed round. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. Please note that although I have power rankings in the below screenshot, they are derived from basic […]


Tom Hoge Eyeing Victory At RSM Classic

Tom Hoge has been on fire with his irons and putter in the 2023 season. In fact, Hoge leads the field in strokes gained approach for the season and when you pair that with his exceptional baseline proximity numbers from 125-200 yards (60% of approach shots), he makes all the sense in the world. With […]


Russell Knox Knocking His Irons Close

Russell Knox has made the cut in six of his seven starts and now has three top-30s and six made cuts in his seven starts this season. He provides ball striking consistency which will be particularly important at a venue with this many penalty areas looming off the tee. His +5.4 strokes gained on approach […]


Lee Hodges A Cheap Ball-Striker

Lee Hodges has a tough time around the greens, which is significantly nullified here with greens-in-regulation percentages ranking towards the top of the PGA Tour schedule. Hodges ranks 33rd in good drives gained and has exceptional proximity numbers from 125-200 yards, which is where roughly 60% of approach shots will come from this week. Hodges […]


Nick Hardy Has Approach Play Ironed Out

Nick Hardy may go a little under owned this week despite having some of the best irons on tour. He has the best strokes gained approach numbers on tour out of any golfers who have played more than 20 rounds this season, while ranking eighth overall on the season. He has also gained the 26th […]


DFS Value Plays - RSM Classic

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Welcome back RotoBallers, and thanks for joining me for the 2022 RSM Classic where we will check out my favorite DraftKings DFS value plays for this week's PGA tournament. After going 9 of 10 at the Mayakoba Classic, we managed to sneak through 4 […]

PREMIUM

FanDuel PGA DFS Lineup Picks: 2022 RSM Classic

Hello RotoBaller PGA crew! It's great to be back with you guys and I appreciate you joining us here at RotoBaller for your PGA DFS research. This week we'll dig into the FanDuel PGA DFS slate for the fifth event of the season. In this article, we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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