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Hello RotoBaller PGA crew! It's great to be back with you guys and I appreciate you joining us here at RotoBaller for your PGA DFS research. This week we'll dig into the FanDuel PGA DFS slate for the fifth event of the season.
In this article, we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays available on FanDuel for the 2022 RSM Classic. While it's impossible to hit on every player, we'll touch on some different plays across all price ranges, breaking the groups down into "High", "Mid", and "Low" price options that are worth considering.
Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for FanDuel, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!
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FanDuel Strategy Nuances (PGA DFS)
Before we dive into the FanDuel plays for this week, we are going to be comparing the prices of golfers on the FD slate to that of the DraftKings slate, in order to figure out some value for the respective golfers. We get an extra $10,000 ($60,000 salary limit in FanDuel) to spend on the same six guys, so there is opportunity to build some really optimal lineups if we find the right guys. The average increase per player should be $1,666.67 ($10,000 / 6), but this week there is a golfer who only saw a $100 increase in salary and has made 5 of his last 6 cuts.
We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event including DFS lineup picks for DraftKings/FanDuel, betting advice, DFS prop picks, and course previews.
High-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays
Below is the difference in salary between the two DFS platforms
Seamus Power ($11,700)
Seamus Power has finished first and T3 in his last two starts after getting off to a rather powerless start to the season. He returns to a course where he has had success before and after the departure of Tony Finau from the field, he is now the most expensive player available. Prior to Tony's WD Seamus was looking rather under owned and that may now be exaggerated a little more, relative to those around him. His price jump is of the more reasonable ones in this range and the Irish native should fit the narrative of a cold, windy week in Sea Island.
Tom Hoge ($11,100)
Tom Hoge ranks second in my model courtesy of his stellar wedge play and incredible recent form since the season restarted. In fact, Hoge leads the field in strokes gained approach for the season and when you pair that with his exceptional baseline proximity numbers from 125-200 yards (58% of approaches), he makes all the sense in the world. With putting being the most predictive metric for success here, Hoge has also turned that part of his game around in the young season and will be looking to end the season with a win at a course he suits incredibly well.
Taylor Montgomery ($10,900)
If this course rewards the best putters in the field, it would be insane to exclude Taylor Montgomery, who has gained the fourth-most strokes putting in the field. He has also notched five top-20s in his six starts this PGA Tour season. He will be of the least popular golfers in this range as his lack of accuracy off the tee is outmatched by many of his fellow colleagues in this range. However, Montgomery finished T10 in Mexico two weeks ago, which requires exceptional accuracy off the tee. He is capable of gaining insane amounts of strokes with the flat stick, which is exactly what we want here.
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Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays
Mid-priced salary differences. Notice how much more red we see in that far right column in this range versus the high-priced range. Bare that in mind when deciding which players to play on either platform.
Matt Kuchar ($9,800)
Matt Kuchar is the perfect theoretical course fit this week and has had a few top-40 finishes in his last three appearances here. Typically, one of the best putters on tour, Kuchar has lost on the greens in the eight recorded rounds he has this season. The crazy part about Kuchar's stats so far, is through the eight rounds, he ranks third in ball striking, gaining on both approach and off the tee in his two starts so far. We try to not overreact to these kinds of small sample sizes, but when changes like these occur after a break, they can be looked at with a little more significance as he could easily have corrected one or two things in his swing in his time off. If the putter bounces back we are in business.
Andrew Putnam ($9,800)
Once again, Andrew Putnam has seen one of the biggest increases in performance early in the 2023 season. In his six starts he has finished T29, T2, T12, T30, T43, and T35 on courses where he has lost off the tee in every start. He now heads to a course where his kryptonite will become a crutch, repeatedly putting his ball safely in the fairway off the tee and setting himself up for success for the rest of the hole. Once he gets off the tee, Putnam has one of the best strokes gained profiles when grouping approach, around the green, and putting stats together. If there is a course he could win at, this is it.
Nick Hardy ($9,300)
Just a few weeks ago, we wrote that Nick Hardy has not gained less than +0.5 strokes on approach in any of his 12 rounds leading up to Mayakoba. With no strokes gained available in Mexico we are not sure how he performed on approach, but a T21 finish highlighted by a run of EIGHT consecutive birdies on Sunday is all we need to know about one of our favorite golfers in this range. Although this is a putting contest, you don't need to putt incredibly well when you can hit approaches as close as Hardy who is looking to make his sixth-straight cut this season.
Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players
Justin Lower ($8,400)
Hopefully lower can sneak under the radar this week after his worst performance of the year last week, missing the cut in Houston after four-putting on Friday. Lower has made five of six cuts this season and finished T4, T45, T8, T20 and T56 when he made the weekend. He has two top-10 finishes and provides a short-term track record boasting the ability to make cuts at $9,000 in a top-heavy field. Lower is usually rather accurate off the tee and will be looking to lean on his all-around ability this week at an event that he stands a fantastic chance to contend at if we see some of the early season form return to the fray.
S.H. Kim ($8,400)
One of the forgotten golfers in this range should come in as one of the least owned players on the slate. His only major issue is on approach, which is why he finds himself in this range. He sees one of the smallest increases in salary from DraftKings at $900 but ranks 16th off the tee and 9th in putting in his two dozen rounds he has played this season. He finished T4 at the Shriners not so long ago only gaining +1.7 total strokes on approach. He is capable of scoring well even though he is not necessarily the best iron player, which wilk keep his ownership down and our leverage on the field, up!
Robby Shelton ($8,200)
It is always nice when we only have to change the price of a player in this range, as he did something right the week before. Shelton sees a $1000 increase in salary, which is relatively low and has finished inside the top 26 in four of his seven starts this season. He missed his first cut on the number at the Mayakoba classic and struggled on the greens in Houston. He is typically really accurate off the tee and averaged a stroke on approach last week. If the putter bounces back this week we could finally have Shelton in our lineups when he plays some of his best golf.
Win Big With RotoBaller
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If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
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