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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Divisional Round games scheduled on January 22nd 2022. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
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Bengals @ Titans: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Ja'Marr Chase more than 18.5 fantasy points and A.J. Brown more than 16.5 fantasy points
Ja'Marr Chase could be in line for a monster day in this game. He went over this fantasy total in three of his previous four full games played while averaging over 26 fantasy points per game over that span. This matchup is a great one as the Titans ranked second-worst in the league by allowing an average of 41 fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Chase has made a name for himself by scoring 13 receiving touchdowns this season and that could certainly come into play here as the Titans allowed a total of 20 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers on the season, which ranked fifth-worst in the league.
A.J. Brown should have a solid game as well. The Bengals allowed the 10th-fewest rushing yards per game to running backs this season, but allowed an average of nearly 36 fantasy points per game to wide receivers. We are a bit uncertain how Derrick Henry will perform in this game, but with that being said, Brown will still be a key part of this offense. He saw an average of nine targets per game over the final three games while scoring in two of those three games and going over this total in those same two games.
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49ers @ Packers: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Elijah Mitchell more than 14.5 fantasy points and Aaron Jones more than 13.5 fantasy points
The 49ers are a running team and they put this on display last Sunday when they ran the ball 38 times for 169 yards. Mitchell carried the ball 27 times for 96 yards and a touchdown. He should see similar volume in this one as he has averaged over 24 carries over his previous six games played. While the Packers have been strong against the run, they have allowed over 20 fantasy points per game to the position while also allowing 14 total touchdowns. Mitchell has gone over this threshold in four of his previous five games, and with a large expected volume, he cannot be faded in this game.
Aaron Jones is a bit riskier due to A.J. Dillon lurking in the backfield. The Niners allowed over 21 fantasy points per game to running backs in 2021 while allowing a total of 15 touchdowns to the position. One area they did struggle a bit was against pass-catching running backs. They allowed a total of 88 receptions to the position, which ranked in the bottom half of the league. This is an area where Jones could flourish (especially in a PPR format) as he hauled in 52 receptions on the season, which ranked seventh-best among all running backs.
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49ers @ Packers: Touchdown Dance Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Elijah Mitchell , Deebo Samuel, and Davante Adams to combine for more than 1.5 touchdowns
As aforementioned, the Packers allowed a total of 14 touchdowns to the running back position. Mitchell's volume has been undeniable and he should carry the load again in this one. He has punched the ball into the end zone in nine of his previous six games, including a score in last Sunday's Wild Card game at Dallas.
Deebo has been scoring at an incredible rate as he now has a ridiculous nine touchdowns in his previous eight games. He is a dual-threat that has managed to score on the ground (seven in the last eight games) and through the air (two in the last eight games). Look for the Niners to get him involved inside the Red Zone similar to the way they did last week (and every other week for that matter) and get him into the end zone again.
Adams has scored a total of 11 receiving touchdowns on the season, which ranked fifth-best among wide receivers. He has also scored six touchdowns in his previous five games and put up multiple touchdowns in two of those five games. This should be a great spot for him to find the end zone as the Niners have allowed a total of 17 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers on the season. They have also allowed the 11th-most red zone touches to the position by allowing a total of 29.
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