X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

MLB Hitter Cheat Sheet (5/2/16): Daily Fantasy Baseball Value Picks

You don't need an expert to tell you to play Jose Bautista tonight against A.J. Griffin in the game with the highest implied team total. It is much more difficult, however, to sift through the cheap DFS options for the right value plays that can help you fit in the studs you want and put your lineup over the top.

That is the purpose of this article -- to provide you with the best value hitters available each day.

Today I'll be bringing you seven value hitters for MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball on FanDuel and DraftKings for May 2nd, 2016. Let's get started!

 

DFS Hitters - Lineup Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings

1. Lucas Duda, 1B, New York Mets Notebook

FanDuel Price: $3,400; DraftKings Price: $4,000

Duda's opponent on the mound, Mike Foltynewicz, posted a 4.30 SIERA last season and struggles to retire left-handed hitters.

88 of Duda's 105 career home runs have come against right-handers, which is no surprise when you look at the underlying numbers. Duda has elevated his career hard-hit rate against righties to 38.8 percent and his fly-ball rate to 48 percent. He's also significantly lowered his strikeout rate and raised his walk rate against righties.

He is an excellent way to punt first base, while also avoiding the high ownership that will accompany some of the more expensive options.

 

2. Mitch Moreland, 1B/OF, Texas Rangers

FanDuel Price: $3,300, DraftKings Price: $3,500

I definitely prefer Moreland on FanDuel, where he is outfield eligible, but he'll likely have much lower ownership on DraftKings.

The Rangers draw one of the best matchups on the board, as their opponent is R.A. Dickey, who posted a 4.76 SIERA.

Moreland crushed right-handed pitching last season, elevating his slugging percentage from .387 against lefties to .528 against righties, his ISO from .142 to .234, his wOBA from .297 to .372, his hard-hit rate from 34.5 percent to 36.7 percent, and his fly-ball rate from 31.9 percent to 35.9 percent. He also cut down on his strikeout rate from 24 percent to 20.7 percent.

The Rangers have one of the highest implied team totals on the board today, and Moreland should be a big part of that. He makes for an excellent tournament option tonight, especially if you're paying up at pitcher or for the elite outfielders.

 

3. Nomar Mazara, OF, Texas Rangers

FanDuel Price: $3,200, DraftKings Price: $2,900

Mazara should also feast on Dickey in this matchup, and he will get to face him often, hitting second.

In his short career, Mazara has hit much better against right-handers, elevating his hard-hit rate from 12.5 percent to 27 percent. Obviously, those numbers came in a small sample size, but they aren't too surprising considering he is a lefty.

He also has a 6.5 percent strikeout rate and a 13 percent walk rate against righties, as opposed to a 35.7 percent strikeout rate and 3.6 percent walk rate against lefties. Again, these are obviously small sample sizes. The extremity of the splits are certainly telling that he hits righties quite a bit better at this point in his career.

 

4. Matt Duffy, 3B, San Francisco Giants

FanDuel Price: $2,700, DraftKings Price: $4,000

Duffy and the Giants are one of the sneakiest stacks of the day in a matchup with lefty Brandon Finnegan​. Finnegan has solid stuff, but struggles with control sometimes, which isn't good news against a patient Giants lineup. 

Finnegan has allowed a higher hard-hit rate and fly-ball rate to right-handed batters, and Duffy has posted higher marks in both categories against lefties. He has also struck out less often and walked more against lefties.

This game is also being played at Great American Ballpark, which has the 13th-highest Park Factor over the past three years, as well as the fifth-highest HR-Park Factor. Duffy should be able to be productive hitting out of the two-hole against Finnegan tonight.

 

5. Matt Adams, 1B, St. Louis Cardinals

FanDuel Price: $2,300, DraftKings Price: $3,000

Be sure to check that Adams is in the lineup, but after sitting out Sunday's contest, it's likely that Adams gets the start tonight.

Adams has been getting more playing time recently, and has played well -- hitting safely in his last three games, including a two-for-four game with a homer and three RBI against Washington on Friday.

The Cardinals are facing right-hander Jeremy Hellickson​, who posted a 4.14 SIERA last season and struggled against left-handed batters.

Adams is about as extreme of a platoon hitter as there is -- hitting much better against right-handed pitching. If he is in the starting lineup tonight, he'll likely hit in the middle of the order and be an excellent value at near-minimum price.

 

Full Season MLB & DFS Premium Pass

Get a Premium Pass for the entire MLB season - including the playoffs - for only $29.99. That's Premium access to over 10 tools, and over 20 valuable resources, for one incredible price. Here's a taste of what you get:

  • DFS lineup picks and cheat sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings - seven days a week
  • Three expert lineups: FanDuel, DraftKings, and Stack of the Day - seven days a week
  • Top DFS value plays, avoids and injury updates - seven days a week
  • Lineup tools: daily premium hitter and pitcher matchup ratings

 
All of this for just $29.99... it's simply the best deal around. No other site offers this type of deal. What are you waiting for?

 

Live Expert Q&A Chats - Every Weekday @ 1 PM and 6 PM EST (DFS)

Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-55" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyle Burroughs

Placed on Injured Reserve
NHL

Egor Afanasyev to Start Season on Injured Reserve
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Suffers Third-Round Knockout Loss
Mattias Janmark

to Miss 1-2 Weeks
Jake Walman

Suffers Setback
Alex Vlasic

Traveling With Blackhawks
Youssef Zalal

Gets First-Round Submission Win
Josh Emmett

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Abus Magomedov

Gets Submitted
Joe Pyfer

Gets Second-Round Submission Win
DeVonta Smith

Breaks Free for 114 Yards in Week 5 Loss
Calvin Ridley

Explosive in Week 5 After Rough Start to Season
David Montgomery

Gets Involved in Trickery, Totals Two Touchdowns Against Cincy
Stefon Diggs

Gets Big Revenge in Primetime Win Over Bills
Theo Johnson

on the Rise, Scores Two More Touchdowns in Week 5 Loss
Ryan Flournoy

Leads Cowboys in Receiving -- Worth a Waiver-Wire Pickup?
Jake Ferguson

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 5
Rashid Shaheed

Rides 87-Yard Touchdown to Breakout Week 5
Jaylen Waddle

Records Season-High in Targets, Catches, and Receiving Yards
Rachaad White

Finds the End Zone Twice in Week 5
AJ Barner

Records Two Touchdown Catches in Week 5
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Dominates Buccaneers Defense in Week 5
Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Breaks Out With Monster Week 5 Performance
Sam Darnold

Throws for Four Touchdowns as Seahawks Fall Short
Jonathan Kuminga

Golden State Expected to Put Jonathan Kuminga on the Trade Block Once Eligible
Ja'Marr Chase

Finally Gets Back on Track as Rapport With QB Grows
Emeka Egbuka

Continues Incredible Rookie Season With Best Game Yet
Omarion Hampton

Seen Wearing a Walking Boot After Week 5 Loss
Xavier Worthy

Expected to Play Despite Being Questionable
Omarion Hampton

Injures Ankle in Week 5 Loss
Xavier Worthy

Questionable to Play on Monday Night
Dak Prescott

Delivers Another Unblemished Four-Touchdown Game
Alex Laferriere

Questionable for Opening Night
Jonathan Toews

Practices on Sunday
Oskar Sundqvist

Injured at Sunday's Practice
Jonathan Drouin

Returns to Practice Sunday
Cole Perfetti

Out Week-to-Week With Ankle Injury
CHI

Matt Grzelcyk Inks One-Year Deal With Blackhawks
Ryan Ellis

Sharks Acquire Ryan Ellis From Flyers
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Back at Practice
Ryan Preece

Is A Favorable DFS Option for the Charlotte Roval
Zane Smith

Might Be Worth Playing In DFS Lineups for the Charlotte Roval
Cole Custer

Is Cole Custer Playable In DFS Lineups for the Charlotte Roval?
Kyle Larson

Will Likely Go for the Win Over Stage Points
Ryan Blaney

Might Look Past Charlotte Roval to Focus on Last Two Playoff Rounds
Denny Hamlin

Could Focus on Stage Points to Clinch Round of 8 Spot
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Unlikely to Make the Round of 8
Austin Cindric

Very Unlikely to Advance to Round of 8
Alex Bowman

Reliably Consistent at Charlotte Roval
Daniel Suarez

Unlikely to Run Well at Charlotte
Carson Hocevar

Will Likely Earn a Lot of Place-Differential Points at Charlotte
Brad Keselowski

Probably Won't be Viable for DFS
Ty Dillon

Earns Best Qualifying Result at Charlotte Roval
Jackson Chourio

Exits With Hamstring Injury in Game 1 of NLDS
Jayson Tatum

to Return in March?
Justin Faulk

Misses Preseason Finale
Kirill Marchenko

Cleared for Saturday's Action
Macklin Celebrini

Makes Preseason Debut Saturday
Kaiden Guhle

Available Saturday
Noah Dobson

Rejoins Canadiens Lineup Saturday
Samuel Girard

Ready for Game Action
Filip Gustavsson

Wild Sign Filip Gustavsson to Five-Year Extension
Max Scherzer

Left Off Blue Jays ALDS Roster
Bo Bichette

Officially Out for ALDS
Cole Perfetti

Evaluated for Lower-Body Injury
Michael Kesselring

to be Re-Evaluated Next Week
Texas Rangers

Rangers Hire Skip Schumaker as New Manager
Trevor Megill

Ready for NLDS
Will Smith

Will be Available to Catch in NLDS
Clayton Kershaw

to Pitch Out of Bullpen in NLDS Against Phillies
Lawrence Butler

Undergoes Knee Surgery on Friday
Brandon Woodruff

Will Not Pitch in NLDS
Devin Booker

Likely Playing on Friday
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Won't Play This Weekend
Josh Giddey

Returns to Full Practice
Matas Buzelis

has Team Optioned Accepted
Alex Pereira

Can Become Two-Time Light-Heavyweight Champion
Magomed Ankalaev

Set For His First Title Defense
Cory Sandhagen

An Underdog At UFC 320
Merab Dvalishvili

Set For His Third Title Defense
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Returns At UFC 320
Jiří Procházka

Jiri Prochazka Returns At UFC 320
Youssef Zalal

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Josh Emmett

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Joe Pyfer

Looks To Earn Top 15 Ranking
Abus Magomedov

Set To Open Up UFC 320 Main Card
Cam Schlittler

Dazzles in 12-Strikeout Performance, Yankees Advance to ALDS
CFB

Quintrevion Wisner Expected Back vs. Florida
CFB

Emmett Mosley Probable for Longhorns vs. Florida
Giannis Antetokounmpo

to Join the Bucks in Miami
Jaden Ivey

Fully Recovered From Fractured Fibula
OG Anunoby

Was Inactive for the Knicks' Preseason Opener
Joel Embiid

Adem Bona Starts in Place of Joel Embiid on Thursday
Dominick Barlow

Grabs 10 Boards in Abu Dhabi
Miles McBride

Leads the Knicks to an Exhibition Win in Abu Dhabi
VJ Edgecombe

Drops 14 Points in Thursday's Exhibition
Josh Hart

Injured in Exhibition
Shane McClanahan

Expected to be "Fully Ready" for Spring Training
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to be Ready for ALDS
Coby White

Does Some Shooting During Wednesday's Practice
Patrick Williams

Hurts Ankle at Practice
Mark Williams

to Sit Out Preseason Opener
Noah Clowney

Healthy and Bigger Ahead of New Season
Gabe Vincent

Logs Full Practice
LeBron James

Does Individual Work at Practice
Bryce Eldridge

to Undergo Wrist Surgery
Atlanta Braves

Brian Snitker Will Not Return as Braves Manager
Luke List

Looking to Win Again at Sanderson Farms Championship
Tom Kim

Could Be in For Long Week in Mississippi
Max Homa

Are Things Beginning to Turn Around For Max Homa Ahead of Sanderson Farms?
Nicolai Hojgaard

an Interesting Play at Sanderson Farms
Davis Thompson

Looks to Keep Momentum Going in Mississippi
Nick Dunlap

Hoping to Turn Woes Around at Sanderson Farms Championship
PGA

Matti Schmid a Volatile Option at Sanderson Farms
Thorbjorn Olesen

a Solid Play at Sanderson Farms
Stephan Jaeger

a High-Upside Play in Mississippi
Hayden Buckley

Trying to Find Form at Sanderson Farms
Ben Martin

Struggling Mightily with Golf Game
Jacob Bridgeman

Leaning on his Putter at Sanderson Farms
Lanto Griffin

Heating Up for Sanderson Farms Championship
Quade Cummins

Trying to Make Cut at Sanderson Farms
Carson Young

Aims to Rebound from Procore Championship
Matt Kuchar

Still a Golfer to Watch This Week
Doug Ghim

Trending Up for Sanderson Farms Championship
Eric Cole

May Struggle at Sanderson Farms Championship
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Ready for Sanderson Farms Championship
Mackenzie Hughes

Eyes Another Strong Week at Sanderson Farms
Andrew Putnam

a Solid Value Play in Mississippi
Tarik Skubal

Shines in Postseason Debut, Tigers Take Game 1 Over Guardians
CFB

Behren Morton To Start Against Houston Saturday