X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Five Deeper Starting Pitcher Targets For 2016: American League

Harris Yudin profiles five American league starting pitchers (SP) to target late in 2016 fantasy baseball drafts.

Starting pitcher is without a doubt the deepest position in fantasy baseball, but at a certain point, it becomes a pool of mediocrity. Finding those lesser-known starters who can rise above the mediocrity is a major key to fantasy success. Each of these five pitchers can be had late in drafts, and have the potential to break out and make a solid impact on fantasy teams. Whether it's in deep mixed leagues or AL-Only leagues, these (mostly) young arms are worth some consideration.

Editor's note: Be sure to check out our fantasy baseball rankings assistant. We recently launched this handy new rankings tool - you can easily filter, sort, and export all sorts of rankings for mixed leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty formats, keeper values and more! It's all in one place, and all free.

 

Deep Sleepers: American League Starting Pitchers

Andrew Heaney, Los Angeles Angels

After a rocky first go-round in the majors, Heaney found his form in 2015, appearing in 18 games and posting a 3.49 ERA for the Angels. I wrote about Heaney almost two years ago, claiming he was a can't-miss prospect, and I maintain that mentality. He hasn't quite reached his full potential, but he has shown flashes of brilliance. Through his first seven starts in 2015, his ERA stood at 1.97, and it didn't reach the 3.00 mark until a horrid, eight-run outing in late August. If you ignore that one unfortunate evening against the Blue Jays smack in the middle of a historic offensive stretch (54 runs in five games), Heaney's 2015 ERA would have been 2.90, which would have placed him fourth in the American League.

His 6.64 strikeout rate is unappealing, but his 8.50 rate in Triple-A indicates that he could induce more swings and misses going forward to go along with his above-average walk rate. The Angels have a lot of mediocrity towards the back-end of the rotation, and Heaney should have no problem rising above the pack. If he slips to the end of a deep mixed-league draft, he could be worth grabbing.

Daniel Norris, Detroit Tigers

Following the trade that sent Norris to the Tigers and  David Price to the Blue Jays, Norris turned it up a notch. Over eight starts the rest of the way, he posted a 3.68 ERA with an incredible 4.7% walk rate (11.7% in Toronto). Opposing batters hit just .213 against him over that span, he induced more ground balls while allowing fewer line drives and fly balls, and only 24.6% of balls hit off him were hit hard. Additionally, his scarily low 59.4% LOB% should level out, and he could prevent even more runners from crossing the plate.

Norris will get to pitch in a super pitcher-friendly environment with a strong defense behind him, a robust offense providing him with runs and a solid bullpen protecting his leads. He has a rotation spot locked up as long as he is healthy, but unfortunately he is dealing with lower back tightness that could sideline him through the start of the season. If he is able to return quickly, he can provide a ton of value if he can keep up his late-season pace.

Kevin Gausman, Baltimore Orioles

Back in 2013, the Orioles were anticipating a dominant 1-2 punch of Dylan Bundy and Kevin Gausman in the near future. Yet here they are, three years later, without an ace. While Bundy hasn't even scratched the surface of the big leagues, Gausman has at least been a serviceable Major League starter over the last two years. He posted an ERA of 3.57 in 2014, but that number dropped to 4.25 in 2015. His improved strikeout rate (21.9%, up from 18.5%) and walk rate (6.2%) were nice to see, though, and he lowered his batting average against from .254 to .248.

He left roughly the same amount of runners on base (72.3%), and his 27.4% Hard% was actually lower than that of 2014. His fastball gained velocity and was very effective, and he saw improvements with his splitter. Overall, while his ERA and FIP were sub-par, his 3.80 xFIP was around the league average and his 3.68 SIERA was firmly above average. The only real negative for Gausman was his HR/FB, which jumped from a stellar 5.8% in 2014 -- the seventh best among the 149 starters with at least 100 IP -- to an ugly 13.4% in 2015. Yes, Camden Yards is considered to be a hitter-friendly ballpark, but that's a drastic change for a pitcher who otherwise made positive strides.

Gausman spent some time as a reliever last year, but should be cemented into the Orioles' rotation for 2016. If he can stay healthy and find a way to keep his fly balls from clearing the fences, the 25-year-old can be in for a major breakout season.

Kris Medlen, Kansas City Royals

Medlen is far removed from his glory days in Atlanta -- a 1.57 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP and 120 strikeouts in 138 innings as a starter/reliever hybrid in 2012 -- but he had an impressive bounce-back season in a similar role for the Royals in 2015. In 58.1 innings, he managed a 4.01 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP and 40 punch-outs. Medlen allowed 22 earned runs over eight starts, with 13 of those runs coming in two horrid outings-- understandable for a guy coming off of his second Tommy John surgery.

He's not the safest pick, given his injury history and lack of sustained success, but he still possesses the talent that made him so exciting just a few years ago. His fastball had as much velocity last year (91 mph) as it had when he came up., and he threw it for a strike 54.7% of the time. As long as he remains healthy and in the starting rotation, he holds value as a sleeper in deep leagues.

Blake Snell, Tampa Bay Rays

Snell has never thrown a pitch in the big leagues, but has an incredible minor league track record. He followed up a strong 2014 campaign (3.20 ERA in 115.1 IP between High-A and Single--A) with a historical 2015 stat line. His 1.41 ERA led all minor league pitchers, and was the lowest minor league ERA in a decade. The Rays' No. 1 prospect has improved his command throughout his time in the minors, lowering his walk rate from 16.3% in 2013 to 10.2% in 2015. He also added a spectacular 31.3% strikeout rate last year.

In the event of an injury or trade, the Major League-ready Snell would have the opportunity to jump into the Rays' rotation, and given his talent, his first stint in the majors could be permanent. In dynasty or keeper leagues, as well as deep AL-Only leagues, Snell is worth consideration as a sleeper.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kris Bubic

Throws Seven Scoreless Innings
Bobby Witt Jr.

Posts Four-Hit Game
Jayden Higgins

Inks Rookie Deal
Ashton Jeanty

Secures Rookie Deal With Las Vegas
Colston Loveland

Chicago Signs First-Round Pick Colston Loveland
Stephen Curry

Unsure When He Can Return From Injury
De'Andre Hunter

Iffy For Friday
Evan Mobley

May Miss Another Game
Darius Garland

Questionable For Game 3
Adin Hill

Looks To Return To Winning Ways Thursday
Johnathan Kovacevic

Won't Be Ready For Training Camp Following Surgery
Anthony Stolarz

Not Traveling With Maple Leafs For Game 3
Logan Stanley

Could Return To Action Friday
Josh Morrissey

Will Be A Game-Time Decision Friday
Alex Pietrangelo

A Game-Time Decision Thursday
Pavel Dorofeyev

Won't Play In Game 2
Hunter Greene

Diagnosed With Grade 1 Groin Strain
Victor Dimukeje

Dealing With Torn Pec
Quinn Ewers

Inks Rookie Deal With Dolphins
Nic Scourton

Panthers Expect Nic Scourton, Princely Umanmielen To Make Immediate Impact
Dax Milne

Dax Milne Let Go By Panthers
Cade Horton

Joining MLB Roster This Weekend
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates Fire Derek Shelton
Tay Martin

Kyron Johnson Waived By Titans
Joe Bachie

Colts Sign Joe Bachie
Jonathon Brooks

Placed On PUP List, Out For 2025
Jadeveon Clowney

Panthers Release Jadeveon Clowney
Jordan Matthews

Panthers Release Jordan Matthews
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Held In Check Wednesday
Chet Holmgren

Logs Double-Double In Game 2 Win
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads Thunder To Blowout Win
Derrick White

Close To Another Double-Double In Game 2
Jaylen Brown

Struggles In Second Half Wednesday Night
Josh Hart

Leads All Scorers With 23 Points In Game 2 Against Celtics
Mikal Bridges

Makes Late Impact Again
Eetu Luostarinen

Stretches Point Streak To Four Games
Morgan Rielly

Registers Two Assists In Wednesday's Win
Max Pacioretty

Extends Multi-Point Streak To Three Games
Travis Etienne Jr.

Jaguars Not Very High On Travis Etienne Jr.
Bhayshul Tuten

Could Make Impact In First Season
Mitchell Marner

Hits Game-Winner Wednesday Night
Arian Smith

Jets Expected To Use Arian Smith Early
Mark Scheifele

Returns With A Goal Wednesday
Jalen Ramsey

Rams Involved In Jalen Ramsey Trade Talks
Jake Oettinger

Collects Victory With 29 Saves
James Cook

Bills GM Expects James Cook To Be Ready
Mikko Rantanen

Nets Another Hat Trick Wednesday
Max Fried

Keeps Rolling With Seven Strong Innings On Wednesday
Framber Valdez

Shuts Down Brewers On Wednesday
Sonny Gray

Tosses Gem Against Pirates
Joe Ryan

Scratched From Thursday's Start With Illness
TJ Friedl

Blasts Two Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu

Launches Two Home Runs
Cam Skattebo

Giants Plan To Use Cam Skattebo As Rusher And Receiver
Dylan Cease

Dealing With Forearm Cramp
Karl-Anthony Towns

Turns It Around In Game 2
Jalen Brunson

Leads The Knicks To Another Win
Kristaps Porzingis

Logs Only 14 Minutes In Game 2
Jayson Tatum

Has Another Rough Shooting Night
Pat Bryant

Broncos Sign Rookie Third-Rounder Pat Bryant
Dylan Cease

Makes Early Exit On Wednesday
J.J. McCarthy

Kevin O'Connell Non-Committal On Potential Competition For J.J. McCarthy
J.T. Realmuto

Exits Early On Wednesday With Foot Injury
Johnathan Hankins

Seahawks Re-Sign Johnathan Hankins
Juan Soto

Smacks Two Homers
Hunter Greene

Leaves Wednesday's Outing With Groin Injury
Kris Bryant

To Have Surgery On His Back
Rob Dillingham

Remains Out For Game 2 Against Warriors
Al Horford

Starts Game 2 Against Knicks
Giancarlo Stanton

Could Return In Late May
Sam Hauser

Out For Game 2 Against Knicks
Kristaps Porzingis

Available Wednesday
Stephen Curry

Ruled Out For At Least One Week
Mark Jankowski

To Be A Game-Time Call Thursday
Connor Hellebuyck

Puts Home Win Streak To Test Wednesday
William Contreras

Expected To Return On Friday
Miro Heiskanen

Continues To Sit Wednesday
Anthony Stolarz

Won't Play In Game 2
Mackie Samoskevich

Rejoins Panthers Lineup Wednesday
Aaron Ekblad

Set To Return Wednesday
Clayton Kershaw

Might Need Just One More Rehab Start
Teoscar Hernández

Dodgers Hopeful Teoscar Hernandez Will Return In Two Weeks
Will Zalatoris

Looking To Find Consistency Heading Into Philadelphia
Justin Rose

In Solid Form Ahead Of Truist Championship
Russell Henley

Looks To Keep Building Momentum At Truist Championship
Brian Harman

In Great Form Heading Into Philadelphia
Corey Conners

Red-Hot Heading Into Truist Championship
Daniel Berger

In Great Form Ahead Of Truist Championship
Sahith Theegala

Struggles Continue Ahead Of Truist Championship
Xander Schauffele

Eyeing Strong Finish At Truist Championship
Jaccob Slavin

Extends Point Streak With Overtime Winner
Collin Morikawa

Poised To Rebound At The Truist Championship
Tony Finau

Trying To Find Form In Philadelphia
Justin Thomas

Looking To Keep Winning Ways Going Art Truist Championship
Maverick McNealy

In Great Form Ahead Of Truist Championship
Michael Kim

Looking To Recapture Elite Form In Philadelphia
Rory McIlroy

The Headlining Favorite At Truist Championship
Ty Jerome

Struggles As Starter Tuesday
Tommy Fleetwood

Eyeing First Victory At Truist Championship
Patrick Cantlay

Looking To Stay Hot In Philadelphia
Andrew Novak

Looking To Keep Hot Stretch Of Play Going In Philadelphia
Shane Lowry

Still Having An Amazing Season Ahead Of Truist Championship
Stephan Jaeger

Trying For Top-10 Result In Philadelphia
Aaron Rai

Heads To Philadelphia Playing Well
Lucas Glover

Hot And Cold Heading To Truist Championship
Deiveson Figueiredo

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Cory Sandhagen

Gets Back In The Win Column
Reinier de Ridder

Extends His Win Streak To Four
Bo Nickal

Suffers His First Loss At UFC Des Moines
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Suffers TKO Loss At UFC Des Moines
Daniel Rodriguez

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Marcos

Undefeated No More
Montel Jackson

Extends His Win Streak
Serhiy Sidey

Gets Decision Win At UFC Des Moines
Jeremy Stephens

Unsuccessful In His UFC Return
Mason Jones

Wins Decision At UFC Des Moines
Joey Logano

Steals The Victory At Texas On Sunday
Kyle Larson

Strong Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish At Texas
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

. Quietly Obtains A New Career-Best Finish At Texas
Josh Berry

Spins His Way To A Poor Result At Texas
Ross Chastain

Picks Up Second-Place Finish
Carson Hocevar

Bad Pit Strategy And Late-Race Crash Spoil Carson Hocevar's Top-10 Run
Erik Jones

Improbably Finishes Fifth Despite Speeding Penalty
Michael McDowell

Despite Crashing Out At Texas, Michael McDowell Surprisingly Fights For The Win
John Hunter Nemechek

Brilliant Pit Strategy Lifts John Hunter Nemechek To Eighth Place
Ryan Blaney

Frustrated After Fumbling Away Potential Win At Texas
Brad Keselowski

Woeful Season Continues With Wreck At Texas
Kyle Larson

Has One Of The Best Cars In The Field At Texas
William Byron

Will Be Tough To Beat At Texas
Chase Elliott

A Slam-Dunk DFS Pick At Texas
Austin Cindric

Could Austin Cindric Legitimately Contend At Texas This Weekend?
Ryan Blaney

Is Worth Rostering For Texas DFS Lineups On Sunday
Joey Logano

Struggling To Find Speed At Texas
Tyler Reddick

Should Be Highly Considered For DFS At Texas This Week
Daniel Suarez

Has Been One Of The Best At Texas In Next Gen Car
Denny Hamlin

Might Have Another Quality Texas Start This Week
AJ Allmendinger

Has Shown Speed At Texas This Weekend
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF