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Dawn's NFL DFS sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel and Week 11 (2023). Her value picks and lineup sleepers for building winning daily fantasy football lineups.
We're on to week 11, RotoBallers, and we're here to guide you through the eleventh week of the season and find sneaky sleeper values to help you take down your favorite contest. If you're playing cash games, you don't have to have the top QB or RB of the week. But in Guaranteed Prize Pool's (GPP's)? The best way to go is to focus on players with the highest potential upside for their DFS price.
This article will run every week throughout the regular season. It won't include the obvious choices but instead players who appear to be undervalued in current DFS formats. As the values currently sit, players will qualify as a value in DFS (based on DraftKings salaries) for this article if they are a quarterback in the 5k range, running backs who are 6k or less, wide receivers at 5.5k and under, and 4k or less for tight ends. When it comes to tournaments, stacking our quarterback with one of their pass catchers is a must.
It's crucial to prioritize players with higher guaranteed floors and consistency to increase our chances of winning cash games. No matter which game you choose, these picks will come in handy. So, without further ado, let's dive in!
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Quarterback NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Brock Purdy, SF vs TB | DK: $5,800, FD: $7,500
Purdy bounced back nicely last week, completing 19 passes in 26 attempts for 296 yards with 3 touchdowns versus the Jaguars. He got back Trent Williams and Deebo Samuel, two integral pieces of the Niner's offense, and looked like the Purday of "old." Will we see him again at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers? Survey says... Yes!
Tampa Bay is good at stopping teams in the red zone, but Purdy has too many weapons, and the Bucs can't stop every weapon on the Niners. Look for Purdy to have another successful outing against Baker Mayfield and the Bucs this Sunday.
Geno Smith, SEA vs. LAR | DK: $5,900 FD: $6,900
It's Deja Vu' all over again as I add Smith to this list for the upcoming Sunday slate. Coming in at low ownership with a projected team-high of over 23 points and playing at home in Seattle, he deserves to be on this list.
This season, Los Angeles has allowed two quarterbacks to exceed 300 passing yards in a game and five quarterbacks to score at least one touchdown against them. Moreover, two quarterbacks have achieved two or more passing touchdowns in a game against the Rams. This game has the potential to become a shootout, giving Smith a great opportunity to meet and exceed his value.
Running Back NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Brian Robinson Jr., WAS vs NYG | DK: $5,800, FD: $7,200
In last week's heartbreaking loss to the Seahawks, Robinson, Jr. achieved season highs, with six receptions for 119 receiving yards and a touchdown. Additionally, he made eight rushing attempts for a total of 38 yards. In his second NFL season, Robinson has rushed for 485 yards and five touchdowns on 121 attempts and caught 20 receptions for 256 yards and three touchdowns.
The Giants have thrown in the towel for the season, and while they'll get up for a division rival, this should be a game where Robinson, Jr., rolls over the Giants and finally gets his win over New York.
James Conner, ARI @ HOU | DK: $5,700, FD: $6,800
With Kyler Murray back, the first thing in most of our minds is how many touches he will take away from Conner. The good news is Conner is a threat to score a touchdown every time he touches the ball. He is a good runner and receiver, and he has the ability to make big plays after the catch. If he can break one big play this weekend, it could be the difference in the game. At $5,700, he's a great value and worth the risk of having a running quarterback.
Devin Singletary, HOU vs ARI | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,500
Singletary had a monster week against the Bengals last week, rushing for 150 yards on 30 carries, with a touchdown in their 30-27 win. Singletary's rushing attempts per game for the 2023 season: ahead by 9–16 points: 13, ahead by 1–8 points: 25, behind by 9–16 points: 24.
The over/under for this game is currently 48.5, and if things stay tight, we could see Singletary's rushing attempts go up, making him a high-value running back for this weekend's slate.
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— Scott (@scottd923) September 25, 2023
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Calvin Ridley, JAX vs TEN | DK: $5,400, FD: $6,500
Ridley has let his fantasy managers down this season, but this weekend, he is up against the Tennessee Titans' lousy pass defense. It's been a challenging year for Ridley, but the good news is he's got a great matchup up this weekend against the Titans. Since Tennesee is tough against the run, it's likely that the Jags will throw more often, benefitting Ridley.
At $5,400 on DraftKings and most likely low-owned due to his recently low fantasy numbers, Ridley is a sneaky value play at wide receiver this weekend.
Marquise Brown, ARI @ HOU | DK: $5,400, FD: $6,600
Brown has been inconsistent this season, but at $5,400, he is still a value wide receiver, especially with Kyler Murray back behind center. For the season, he has 43 catches for 468 yards and scored four touchdowns in 10 games, all but one without Murray. He has 54 catches for 593 yards and has scored three touchdowns in nine games with Kyler Murray.
Getting Murray back allows Brown to make big plays against a Houston team that allows 263.44 opponent passing yards per game this season, along with one passing touchdown allowed per game.
Brandin Cooks, DAL vs CAR | DK: $4,700, FD: $5,900
Brandin Cooks finally broke out last week, catching nine out of 10 targets for 173 yards and a touchdown. Since Week nine, Cooks is one of only four wide receivers with a 30-fantasy-point game, along with CeeDee Lamb, Keenan Allen, and Amon-Ra St. Brown. He had 32.3 fantasy points against the New York Giants in Week 10, catching nine passes for 173 yards and one touchdown.
Going up against the Panthers won't be the same as going up against the Giants, but I get the feeling that Dallas finally noticed that Brandin Cooks can, well, cook, and I'll be expecting more balls to go his way going forward.
Tight End NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
David Njoku, CLE vs PIT | DK: $3,900, FD: $5,900
Njoku has led tight ends over the last four weeks with 11 red zone targets, and while he has never scored more than four touchdowns in a season, those numbers will have to start to jump soon, especially with a new, young quarterback at the helm.
Newbie QBs tend to use tight ends as security blankets (heck, veteran QBs tend to use their tight ends as security blankets!), and I expect Dorian Thompson-Robinson to throw plenty of balls Njoku's way against Pittsburgh this weekend.
Logan Thomas, WAS vs NYG | DK: $3,700, FD: $5,300
Thomas has 38 catches for 351 yards this season and has scored three touchdowns in nine games. The Giants have allowed just two touchdowns to tight ends this season, and Thomas has become a favorite target of Sam Howell.
Thomas is second only to Terry McLaurin in receptions this season, with 38, and is tied with Robinson Jr. and Jahan Dotson for the most touchdowns with three apiece. At $3,700, he's a great value and will be looking to make a big impact at home against New York.
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