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Free NFL betting picks, odds, predictions for the Falcons vs. Panthers in Week 1 (2023). Our best bets and top NFL picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 10th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Panthers @ Falcons
The Panthers take on the Falcons on Sunday, September 10th at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Carolina Panthers (0-0) vs. Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 10th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Panthers @ Falcons
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Carolina Panthers - NFL Betting Analysis
Even though they finished in second place in the NFC-South, the Panthers couldn't sneak into the playoffs as a Wild Card and missed the playoffs. Carolina's overall record was 7-10 and 4-2 in the division. At home, the Panthers put together a mark of 5-4 while going 2-6 on the road.
The Panthers will be looking forward to the regular season debut of rookie Bryce Young. Carolina drafted Young in the 1st round out of Alabama. Also on the roster is Andy Dalton, who played for the Saints last season. Last season, Dalton played in 14 in games and finished with 2871 passing yards. His overall passer rating for the season was 95.2 which was 17th among QB's. Looking back to the Panthers' 2022 season, they finished 19th in scoring at 20.4 points per game. Carolina was 10th in rushing yards, with an average of 130.0 yards per contest. In terms of overall yardage, the Panthers were 28th (306.2) and finished with a red-zone conversion rate of 26.1%, which was 12th in the NFL.
The Panthers' defense is coming off a season in which they were 16th in points allowed and gave up an average of 350.2 yards per game (22nd). When looking at how they got after the quarterback, Carolina was 13th while also finishing 17th in quarterback hits while hitting the QB on 14.6% of their dropbacks.
Last season, the Panthers were 5-4 vs. the spread at home and 4-4 on the road. Overall, they were favored in four of their 17 games, going 0-4 straight-up and 0-4 ATS. As the underdog, they were 9-4 vs. the spread. Carolina wrapped up the season with an over/under record of 8-9.
Atlanta Falcons - NFL Betting Analysis
The Falcons head into the season looking to take a step forward, as they finished in last place in the NFC-South and 13th in the NFC. Atlanta's overall record was 7-10, including going 1-7 on the road and 6-3 at home. In divisional games, the Falcons went 2-4.
Atlanta starting quarterback Desmond Ridder will taking over for Marcus Mariota who led the Falcons in passing yards last season (2219) and is now on the Eagles. Last season, Ridder played in four games and finished with 708 yards on a completion percentage of 63.5%. The Falcons finished last season ranked 23rd in yards per game on an average of 21.5 points per game (15th). In the passing game, Atlanta ranked 29th in passing attempts and 31st in passing yards. Their ground game saw the Falcons average 159.9 yards per contest (2nd).
When looking at how the Falcons' defense performed on 3rd down last season, they were 29th in the NFL with opponents converting 45.9% of their 3rd down attempts. Atlanta finished the season 12th in turnovers and allowed an average of 22.7, putting them 20th in the NFL.
Atlanta's over/under record last season wrapped up at 7-10 with their games averaging 44.2 points per contest. When looking at how they finished vs. the spread, they were 9-8 with an average scoring margin of -1.2 point per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Panthers vs. Falcons
Last year, the Falcons and Panthers split their head-to-head matchups, with each team going 1-1. Against the spread, the Panthers went 2-0 while the over/under record in these games was 1-1 on an average of 55.5 points per game. In these head-to-head matchups, the Panthers' offense averaged 405.5 yards per game compared to the Falcons at 348.5.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Carolina has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- Through their last five home contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 14 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Atlanta posted an overall record of 0-5 while going 1-4 ATS.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Falcons have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.
- As the betting favorite, the Panthers have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Carolina posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Panthers +3
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 39.5
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