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Hard to believe we are at Week 11 already and some Thanksgiving food and football are just 8 days away as well. This week the Jacksonville Jaguars, Miami Dolphins, Seattle Seahawks, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers all have a bye in Week 11. However, zero teams will be on their bye in Week 12. Unfortunately, the Chiefs-Chargers game will not be a part of the Sunday slate for DFS as it will be featured on Sunday Night Football. With JuJu Smith-Schuster likely sidelined from a concussion, Chiefs pass catchers would have been a great dart throw for DFS.
Last week wasn't as solid as picking values was concerned, but some gems were found. Remember, you don't need a player in this article to be the RB1 or WR1 on the week, the main thing is just to find value in the market so we can use our funds to spend elsewhere. The goal is to receive the highest output (fantasy points) for the lowest input (player DFS salary). Some of whom were suggested in the previous week's article: Trevor Lawrence (QB8), Jeff Wilson Jr. (RB6), Rondale Moore (WR18), and Zay Jones (WR30).
This article will run every week throughout the regular season. It won't include the obvious choices but instead players who appear to be undervalued in current DFS formats. If you didn't catch my Week 1 article that included some DFS tips and tricks, it can be found here. As the values currently sit, players will qualify as a value in DFS for this article if they are a quarterback in the 5k range, running backs who are 6k or less, wide receivers at 5.5k and under, and 4k or less for tight ends based on DraftKings salaries. When it comes to tournaments, stacking our quarterback with one of their pass catchers is a must and we should be looking for players with higher guaranteed floors (and consistency) to get us over the 50/50 hump in cash games. No matter which one you decide to play this week, here are some bargain players with potential in Week 11. Now let's get to those picks already!
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Quarterback NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Daniel Jones, NYG at DET| DK: $5,700, FD: $7,800
While they have won two straight, playing a quarterback in fantasy against the Detroit Lions has usually been a winning proposition this season as they are giving up the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks on the season at 23.7 per game. While Jones has been inconsistent at times this year he has the kind of upside that we want in a one-week format.
Jones is having the best rushing season of his career as he's rushed 69 times for 387 yards and 3 TDs which gives him a weekly rushing floor of roughly 6.3 fantasy points per game! While Jones has just 2 games on the season of 200+ passing yards, that all could change on Sunday against a very talented Detroit offense where the Giants may need to keep scoring to keep up.
Brian Daboll has done a fantastic job in year one as the Giants currently sit at 7-2. While some of it is from their schedule, no one can argue that he's helped turn the Giants around, especially on offense. Danny Dimes doesn't have a No. 1 or even established No. 2 WR to throw to right now and rookie tight end Daniel Bellinger has also been sidelined. Nonetheless, the matchup is great for Jones this week if you'd prefer to spend up elsewhere instead.
Marcus Mariota, ATL vs CHI | DK: $5,500, FD: $7,200
This might sound crazy, but on a points-per-game basis, Mariota is the QB14 on the season and the QB11 overall. While he hasn't been great for much of the season in real life, for fantasy purposes since he's been able to rush for 347 yards and 3 TDs on the season. Like Daniel Jones above, Mariota has a weekly rushing floor of 5.3 fantasy points per game! Having this kind of upside on the ground is a big advantage for quarterbacks in fantasy.
The Falcons also get the Chicago Bears whose defense has been less than stellar after Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith was traded before the deadline. Over their last 3 games, the Bears' defense has surrendered 49, 35, and 31 points and we shouldn't expect that to get much better for Chicago's defense this week as they play the Atlanta Falcons.
Mariota has had 4 finishes inside the Top 10 for fantasy this season and we should expect Atlanta's offense to move the ball quite easily on Sunday in what could potentially be a high-scoring game. If you want to consolidate your resources elsewhere and take the dips on Jones and Mariota this week it makes a lot of sense given their rushing upside and favorable matchups this week.
Running Back NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Cordarelle Patterson, CHI at ATL | DK: $6,200, FD: $6,700
After a rough outing in his first week back since returning from injured reserve, Patterson rushed just 5 times for 18 yards while catching 1 pass for 2 yards in a 25-15 loss to the Carolina Panthers on Thursday Night Football. While it was a disappointing performance, we should expect a healthy dose of C-Patt in this one as Falcons head coach Arthur Smith remains determined to establish the run and pound the rock even while trailing.
The Chicago Bears are also giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs on the season 24.5 per game. Their defense has been less than stellar after some players were sent away before the trade deadline and it feels like this could be a revenge game of sorts for Patterson against his old team.
Patterson has 2 games this season of 120+ yards rushing and can be a force as a pass catcher, although that isn't something we have seen as much of this season with how little the Falcons have been passing. C-Patt is averaging 5.3 yards per rush and has run for 402 yards and 5 TDs in just 6 games. He feels like a bargain price this week given his upside, consistent usage, and what is a great matchup.
Devin Singletary, BUF vs CLE | DK: $5,800, FD: $6,400
One of the best defenses you can play a running back against for fantasy this season is none other than the Cleveland Browns, who are giving up the second-most fantasy points to running backs this season at 27.6 per game. The Browns-Bills game was recently moved to Detroit after potentially six feet of snow fell in Buffalo over the last day or so, which likely makes things a little better for scoring. Bills quarterback Josh Allen also has an ailing elbow and they might be inclined to feature Singletary and the other RBs this week.
Many were expecting more of a running back by a committee from Buffalo this season, but so far that hasn't happened. In Buffalo's last four games, Singletary has played 86, 75, 74, and 72 percent of the team's offensive snaps. While he found the end zone on the ground twice last week, Singletary has just 2 rushing TDs overall while adding 394 yards on the ground. He's been better as a receiver than he's been previously in his career with 28 receptions for 207 yards and a TD.
Singletary is a free agent after the conclusion of the season and it remains to be seen if he will be brought back. Nonetheless, this week is an absolute must-win for Buffalo if they want to keep their AFC East title hopes alive and it may come on the shoulders of Singletary with Allen still recovering from injury. The Bills are favored by more than a touchdown in this one and should have no problem running all over the Cleveland defense. This feels like a slam dunk kind of game for Singletary after Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. ran all over the Browns in their previous game. As a personal fan of the Cleveland Browns, this season has been a painful one.
Brian Robinson, WAS at HOU | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,600
Since returning from injury in Week 5, Robinson has been one of the fiercest running backs in the NFL and runs with sheer determination. While J.D. McKissic is currently sidelined the Washington backfield is now back to a two-man show with Robinson and Antonio Gibson. On Monday Night Football in an upset win over the Philadelphia Eagles, Robinson rushed 26 times for 86 yards and a TD.
This week the Commanders get the Houston Texans who are giving up THE MOST fantasy points to running backs on the season at 30.2 points per game! It feels like a great week to stay in the flames with Robinson at such a discounted price in what has been a surprisingly good Washington offense this season. At 5-5, they are also in the thick of the NFC Wildcard race, a job well done by Ron Rivera and his staff in lieu of all the distractions with the ownership saga ongoing.
It's hard to see Robinson not finding the end zone this week in what is such a great matchup for fantasy purposes. Surprisingly the Texans' defense is the fifth-best against quarterbacks as well as wide receivers for fantasy this season and it's mostly because opposing teams know they can just run all over the Houston defense and don't have to get cute with the game plan. For this reason alone Robinson feels like such a smash play as an RB2 or Flex on the Sunday Slate for your lineups.
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Wide Receiver NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Darnell Mooney, CHI at ATL | DK: $5,400, FD: $6,000
Darnell Mooney has re-emerged as the top target for the Chicago Bears who have figured out their offense after a dreadful first month. In the last 5 games, Mooney has seen a total of 35 targets. Last week Mooney didn't have a great game but he caught all 4 of his targets for 57 yards. The Atlanta Falcons' defense is giving up the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers on the season at 36.2 per game! This feels like another one that may be high-scoring and Bears quarterback Justin Fields has been playing fantastically of late. Offensive coordinator Luke Getsy deserves a lot of credit.
Mooney has some competition for targets in Cole Kmet and Chase Claypool, who was recently acquired in a trade, but the Bears recently lost running back Khalil Herbert who went to Injured Reserve for 4 games. Could this mean less rushing attempts for the Bears going forward without Herbert, who has looked great so far this year? It's possible.
This feels like a great matchup for pieces on the Bears' offense, but Justin Fields no longer qualifies for this article as he's gone from the low-5k range on DraftKings to one of the most expensive quarterbacks in DFS in just a matter of weeks! Since we can't get a piece of Fields it feels good to get a piece of the action on the Bears and go with Mooney this week.
Devin Duvernay, BAL vs CAR | DK: $5,000, FD: $5,800
Tight End Mark Andrews will be a game-time decision and the Baltimore Ravens are already without Rashod Bateman for the rest of the season. With running back J.K. Dobbins also sidelined the Ravens will have no choice but to take to the air on Sunday. For this reason, Duvernay could easily be the top target on the Baltimore offense against the Carolina Panthers.
Carolina has been struggling in recent weeks although they were victorious last week on TNF against the Falcons. Duvernay remains the top deep threat on the Ravens' offense right now and hopefully more chemistry developed between Duvernay and Lamar Jackson during the team's bye week in Week 10. With the Ravens likely expected to win it makes sense why they may hold off on bringing back Andrews for another week.
Duvernay has 3 TDs on the season but hasn't found the end zone since Week 3. It feels like he is overdue for some positive TD regression and this feels like the week in which he could do it. Carolina ranks in the top 10 in most fantasy points given up to wide receivers on the season at 28.9 per game and with Lamar Jackson's lack of weapons in the passing game, it feels inevitable that Duvernay might just get loose in this one.
Parris Campbell, IND vs PHI | DK: $4,300, FD: $6,000
It's incredible what quarterback changes can do for a player's fantasy value. Just like Terry McLaurin reaching new heights with Taylor Heinicke in Washington, the same is true with Parris Campbell now that the Colts have switched back to Matt Ryan. In Campbell's last 3 games with Ryan he's seen 32 targets and has found the end zone three times. While the matchup will be a tough one against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, Campbell could still eat for fantasy purposes.
If Ryan is under duress all afternoon, which he just might be, then the short area targets near the line of scrimmage are inevitably going to go to Campbell. If there is no time to throw then it's hard to see Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce being as big of a factor in the game is that they are more downfield threats. The Colts will also need Jonathan Taylor to do his thing on Sunday if they want to stay in the game as well.
Even though the matchup is tough, I am staying in the flames with Campbell this week. The former second-round pick in 2019 is finally healthy after 3 disappointing injury-plagued seasons to start his NFL career. Campbell is a good player and now that he is healthy is starting to show us all what he is capable of at just 25 years of age.
Tight End NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Dalton Schultz, DAL at MIN | DK: $4,300, FD: $5,900
A player who feels easily the most undervalued player in DFS this week, Schultz gets a great matchup against the Minnesota Vikings who are giving up the ninth-most fantasy points to Tight Ends this season in what also feels like could be a high-scoring affair between the two teams on Sunday. Now that Schultz is back healthy he has looked great playing with Dak Prescott again who recently got healthy for football purposes as well.
In his last 3 games since being back, Schultz has seen a total of 20 targets and is looking like a solid No. 2 option in the Cowboys' passing game. Last season when healthy, Schultz had 78 receptions for 808 yards and 8 TDs. While he has been injured for a large part of the 2022 season, it's easy to forget just how capable he is as a player, especially in what has mostly been a down year overall for tight ends.
At just $4,200 on DraftKings, Schultz feels like an absolute smash. The Vikings have won a lot of close games this season featuring a mostly bend-but-don't-break type of defense. With a lot of matchups outdoors this week facing serious weather conditions, we can feel good about some of the players in this one knowing that neither team should have a tough time being able to move the ball up and down the field in a dome.
Greg Dulcich, DEN at LV | DK: $3,800, FD: $5,500
I'd like to apologize for Dulcich's dud for fantasy last week, but it's time to still give him another shot against a struggling Las Vegas Raiders defense who are giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to Tight Ends this season at 12.2 fantasy points per game. Wide receiver Jerry Jeudy has been sidelined by a brutal ankle injury in Week 10, but the team doesn't think it is anything serious. Nonetheless, there is a chance Jeudy doesn't suit up in this one.
A player who has looked anything like a rookie in his limited playing time so far in 2022, the man with arguably the greatest short shorts, hair, and mustache has put on an absolute clinic when he's been on the field. After missing the first month of the season due to injury, Dulcich has seen 21 targets with 13 receptions for 193 yards and a TD in the three games he's played. A tight end averaging close to 15.0 yards per reception at such a discounted price is a must-start for fantasy purposes.
Dulcich is an athletic tight end who can stretch the field, but he moves like a seasoned veteran in how he can get open. He already has two receptions for 38 and 39 yards in his limited time and is one of the few tight ends in the NFL who can get vertical in his routes. We know that Russell Wilson loves to throw to his tight end and Dulcich now emerging could be a big boost for the struggling Broncos' offense. Time to give Greg D. another shot!
Thank you for reading my weekly article. Please send me a message on Twitter if you have any more DFS or Start/Sit questions. Best of luck this week!
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