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Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings Analysis - Laghezza vs. Mariano Rankings Comparisons

Kyler Murray - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Week 5 fantasy football rankings analysis for 2025. John compares his custom fantasy football rankings and projections to identify players he's higher or lower than consensus.

Thank goodness it's Friday. Not only is football and a lovely ten-hour date with my couch fast approaching, it’s also time for another round of RotoBaller’s Week 5 Rankings: Clash Of The Titans! Like I always say, you want to be the best? You have to beat the best — so all season long, I'll be putting my own custom work up against our own living legend, Nick Mariano. Last week, nailing a pair of quarterback calls (Justin Fields, QB5; Daniel Jones, QB 27) boosted my early confidence through the roof, only to come crashing down in a pile of flames. Score one for the goat, Mr. M.

Sure, we have our dust-ups in these little skirmishes. Mariano and I are like family. And just like real family, we don't always agree — but healthy disagreement sharpens both sides. Generating custom player projections lands me personally in a bubble at times. Since so much work goes into forming those opinions; they can become overly rigid, but not anymore...

Every single week, I'll conduct a comparative analysis by scraping resident expert Nick Mariano's on-site consensus projections and pitting them against my own for any major differences. Enjoy our little fantasy clash, and feel free to let me know what you think on social media @JohnLaghezza.

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Week 5 Ranking Disputes: Quarterback

I'm Higher Than Consensus On Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals (vs TEN)

I got some good news and some bad news. Let's start off positive for once. Kyler Murray's shown a sustained level of accuracy (66.9% completion, 9.2% off-target) with quick-release tendencies (2.63 average throw time) and a strong willingness to take off with the ball (9.5% scramble rate, 35.0 rushing yards/game). All of these traits boost fantasy floor projections, creating Murray's incredibly steady QB15 pace — he's yet to score below 14 or above 18 fantasy points this season.

Put me down for K1's first breakout game of 2025 against who else but the lowly Titans. Not to contradict myself too publicly as I've come around on the TEN offense a little, but that's another story for a different day. Brian Callahan and the Titan's defensive woes become more obvious each week, starting with schematics.

Tennessee's currently bottom-3 in stacked box (40.0%), blitz (10.4%), and sack per pressure rates (9.1%). Kyler's always been significantly better working to his wideouts with time to operate, so I'm expecting a nice combo of deep shots and ground gains to finally land Murray in the weekly QB1 conversation.

I'm Lower On Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles (vs DEN) 

Never easy expecting anything less than the best from Jalen Hurts, who just hung an overall QB1 finish on the ledger like ten days ago. Also, Denver's usually stout defense struggled in back-to-back narrow losses against quality teams in Weeks 2-3. We don't generally expect consecutive +300-yard passing games allowed from this Broncos' secondary. With that, DEN's underpinning defensive metrics still stand strong enough to go to bat for, especially given the talent, track record and quality coaching.

Again, it's not to say Hurts will faceplant here, as much as foreseeing a dogfight and preview to a potential Super Bowl showdown. Hurts also did just close outside the top-24 range versus the Chiefs, who play a similarly aggressive style up front. Denver's going to send the house early and often — their league-leading blitz, pressure, hit, and sack rates make every play pivotal. I'm leaning into the low 43.5-point Vegas total with bits of regression baked in on both sides.

 

Week 5 Ranking Disputes: Running Back

I'm Higher Than Consensus On Rico Dowdle, Carolina Panthers (vs. MIA)

Next man up replacements don't always work but this one's just screaming breakout. According to Panthers' beat writer Joe Persons, Chuba Hubbard (calf) is out, considered week-to-week, though the team doesn't plan to place him on IR. Carolina signed Rico Dowdle to a one-year $2.75M contract this offseason for precisely this reason. Viewed by the organization as essentially a lateral move from Hubbard, the two running backs compare nearly identically in terms of age, size, skillset, and general archetype. I expect almost nothing to change in approach, great news for Dowdle this weekend.

Rico Dowdle also displayed the critical ability to handle a significant workload, eclipsing 20 touches five times in just seven games down the stretch for the Cowboys last year. He's shown chops in the passing attack and already commanded more goal-to-go carries than Hubbard — so backfield TD equity should be secure. To be fair, the rushing efficiency's lacked but could easily get compensated for by matching

up against Miami's bottom-5 run-stopping unit.

I'm Lower On Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders (vs MIN)

Good luck finding another human on Earth more excited  than I was for Ashton Jeanty's Week 4 explosion (21-138-1; 2-17-2). After a month of stats entirely too terrible for such a phenomenal player, we finally got the promised RB1 overall finish. So what's with all the doom-and-glooming? All those lovely fantasy points came in spite of the offensive line — 123 of Jeanty's 138 rushing yards came after contact. Not great.

As if things weren't bad enough for Las Vegas down in the trenches as is, the Raiders just sent OL Kolton Miller, their best blocker by a mile to the IR with a high ankle sprain. Not only did the vast majority of Jeanty's production occur to the left behind Miller, there's no viable replacement coming to the rescue. How long can we expect RB1 output behind the league's worst protection? Short answer, you can't. Sell high before kickoff.

 

Week 5 Ranking Disputes: Wide Receiver

I'm Higher Than Consensus On Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins (at CAR)

Besides San Francisco, who's currently starting guys from the rec center, few teams vacated more year-over-year target share at this point than Miami. Now Tyreek Hill's on the shelf for good, and the Dolphins will need to run the passing offense through Jaylen Waddle. The utilization bump should push Waddle from roughly WR30 into the top-10 with room to blow up against a beatable Panthers' defensive unit.

Two fun stats before we go. In the lone game Jaylen Waddle's played without Tyreek Hill, he not only went (8-142-1), but earned a remarkable 80% of the team's air yards that game. Wow. Then, I noticed lots of buzz surrounding Malik Washington — yet it was actually Nick Westbrook-Ikhine who played twice the snaps and six times the routes in 2-WR sets. Food for thought.

I'm Lower On Darius Slayton, New York Giants (at NO)

Obviously there's a mad dash anytime a Malik Nabers-esque route share opens up. Most instantly ordained Wan'Dale Robinson the heir apparent in New York's passing offense, with Darius Slayton behind him. I'll sign off on the first part but not the second. For starters, the Giants' pass rate plummeted to 43% without Nabers, at a mind-blowingly short 1.2 air yards per attempt. That's off the charts.

Think about the type of vertical routes Slayton runs, the time they take to mature, and how those would be the very ones sacrificed in a military academy style offense — not to mention a career-long lack of target earning abilities. Don't look now, it was actually tight end Theo Johnson pushing up as Jaxson Dart's second option. After Nabers exited, Big Blue's fourth-round sophomore earned twice as many targets as Slayton on fewer routes, including one high-value red zone look for a TD. Bold call... give me Johnson over Slayton straight up as a desperation flex this weekend.

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Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ja Morant

Ruled Out on Tuesday
James Harden

in Danger of Missing Second Straight Game
Joel Embiid

Considered Questionable for Wednesday's Matchup
Gabe Vincent

Ruled Out Tuesday, Expected to Return Wednesday
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Herbert Jones

Returns to Action Tuesday
Dean Wade

Back in Action Versus Pacers
Jaylon Tyson

Set to Suit Up on Tuesday
Anthony Edwards

Available Versus Heat
Victor Wembanyama

Returns to Spurs Lineup With Minutes Restriction
Jarrett Allen

Active on Tuesday
Keegan Murray

Expected to Miss at Least Three Weeks
Mason Marchment

Out Tuesday
Sean Monahan

Available Tuesday
Jason Zucker

Set to Return From 11-Game Absence
Matvei Michkov

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Tyler Herro

Active Tuesday
Matthew Schaefer

Cleared for Action Tuesday
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Out for Tuesday's Tilt
Adam Fox

Landing Back on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Jalen Suggs

Sidelined Again Tuesday
Seth Jarvis

Back for Hurricanes Tuesday
Jarrett Allen

Upgraded To Probable Tuesday
Anthony Edwards

Added To Injury Report Tuesday
Victor Wembanyama

a Game-Time Decision For Tuesday Night
Ja Morant

Grizzlies Likely Without Ja Morant, Cedric Coward on Tuesday
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
CFB

Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri
Jake McCabe

to Sit Out One Week
Hampus Lindholm

to Miss Time
Christian Dvorak

Flyers Sign Christian Dvorak to Five-Year Extension
Igor Shesterkin

Exits With Lower-Body Injury Monday
Joel Armia

Hurt in Monday's Win
Anze Kopitar

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Monday
Tyler Herro

Questionable to Face Timberwolves
Ja Morant

Tagged as Questionable for Tuesday
Jalen Suggs

Considered Doubtful Tuesday
Matthew Schaefer

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Jamie Benn

to Miss at Least Two Games
Seth Jones

Out Week-to-Week
Zach Bogosian

Unavailable Monday Night
Trevor Moore

Remains Out Monday
Aliaksei Protas

a Game-Time Call Versus Ducks
Tom Wilson

Won't Play Monday
CFB

Ty Simpson Undecided on 2026 Plans
CFB

Quarterback AJ Hill Following Ryan Silverfield to Arkansas
Atlanta Falcons

Falcons Have Requested an Interview With Klint Kubiak
Deshaun Watson

Browns Expect Deshaun Watson to be on the Team Next Year
Wan'Dale Robinson

Dealing With Fractured Ribs
Cam Skattebo

Hopes to be Back by Training Camp
Cameron Ward

Won't Need Surgery on his Shoulder
Davante Adams

Rams Expect Davante Adams to Return in Wild-Card Round
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Fire Head Coach Jonathan Gannon
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Fire Head Coach Pete Carroll
Malik Nabers

Unsure if He Will Be Ready for Week 1 of 2026 Season
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Will Return to Ole Miss If Granted Sixth Year of Eligibility
Cincinnati Bengals

Zac Taylor Will Return as Bengals Head Coach in 2026
New York Giants

Giants Expected to Show Interest in Former Browns Head Coach Kevin Stefanski
Daniel Jones

Colts, Daniel Jones Appear to Have "Mutual Interest" in a 2026 Reunion
John Klingberg

to Sit Out at Least Three More Games
Cleveland Browns

Browns Fire Kevin Stefanski After Another Losing Season
Zay Flowers

Goes Off for 138 Yards, Two Touchdowns in Loss
Bo Bichette

Phillies Have Interest in Bo Bichette
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Dominates in Week 18 Win
Cameron Ward

Believed to Have Grade 3 AC Joint Sprain in Right Shoulder
Colston Loveland

Leads Bears in Targets, Receptions, Receiving Yards in Week 18
Kansas City Royals

Matt Quatraro Signs Three-Year Extension With Royals
CFB

Transfer QB Billy Edwards Commits to North Carolina
CFB

Sam Leavitt Visiting Texas Tech on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Expected To Visit Florida State
Kyle Tucker

Blue Jays "Remain the Favorite" to Sign Kyle Tucker
CFB

Joey Aguilar Undergoes Surgery to Remove Tumor on Friday
CFB

Texas the "Team to Beat" for Transfer Running Back Isaac Brown
CFB

Rocco Becht to Follow Matt Campbell to Penn State?
CFB

Texas Targeting Cam Coleman in Transfer Portal
CFB

Former Texas Running Back CJ Baxter Visiting Kentucky
CFB

Beau Pribula Visiting Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech
Bo Bichette

Yankees Showing Interest in Bo Bichette
Houston Astros

Astros Sign Tatsuya Imai to Three-Year Deal

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