Thunder Dan's NFL Prop Bets for Week 14: Top Player Props Betting Picks

Dan Palyo's top NFL betting picks and best bets for Week 14 of the 2022 season. His favorite NFL betting picks for NFL player props bets.

Week 14 is shaping up to be a bit of an ugly slate. We have a bunch of teams on byes and some games like Pittsburgh-Baltimore on the slate where the first team to 10 points might be the winner. But we ALWAYS have some good games, too, and nothing is going to stand in our way of betting on football games one way or the other. So let's see if we can run it back this week with a solid performance after going 7-5 on props last week, shall we?

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In this article, I'll be providing my favorite NFL betting picks for week 14 of the 2022 NFL season. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and are constantly changing. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I would strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily. I would also advise checking back later in the week as I may add bets depending on odds changing or specific props becoming available after I first post.

Thunder Dan's Best Bets: 2022 NFL Season

• Last Week's Props: 7-5
• Season-to-Date Props: 45-47

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NFL Betting Picks: Player Props for Week 14

Ryan Tannehill OVER 197.5 passing yards (-115 DK)

As much as I wanted to write up Jared Goff, his number is super high this week and there’s always a chance the Lions run the ball more or play from in front in that game.

Instead, I am going with Tannehill here, who has a very beatable number compared to his season average of 211 yards passing per game. Last week, the Titans were stonewalled by a great Philly defense, but Tannehill had crushed this number three straight weeks before that after missing a few weeks with an injury.

Of course, the Titans want to run the ball, but Jacksonville is a heavy pass-funnel defense that is solid against the run. Their pass defense is leaky, however, allowing the third-most passing yards per game to opponents and massive 307 yards per game over their last three (second-worst behind Minnesota).

Miles Sanders OVER 65.5 rushing yards (-115 DK)

Sanders averages 77 rushing yards per game and gets a great matchup here against a leaky Giants run defense that has allowed 141 yards rushing per game this season and 164 per game over their last three.

The Eagles have a major mismatch up front with their offensive line against the Giants’ defensive front seven and I expect them to exploit it. It’s a great bounce-back spot for Sanders after facing the toughest run defense in the league last week in Tennesee.

Ezekiel Elliot OVER 66.5 rushing yards (-115 DK) AND Tony Pollard OVER 67.5 rushing yards (-115 DK)

Is it really that far-fetched to think that both Cowboys’ backs go for 68+ in this matchup against Houston? They are allowing 169 rushing yards per game to opponents and the game script here sets up perfectly for the Dallas running attack as they are massive 17-point favorites.

Pollard is so explosive he only needed 12 carries last week to rack up 91 yards, while Zeke added 77 of his own on 17 carries - and that was against a much better defense in Indianapolis.

DeAndre Swift OVER 63.5 rushing + receiving yards (-125 DK)

It’s officially Swift SZN and I am here to tell you the hype is real. This year, Swift is averaging 6.4 yards per touch, but simply hasn’t been healthy and the Lions haven’t forced the issue.

But last week he had season-high 18 touches and turned those into 111 scrimmage yards. This week’s matchup is great on the ground and through the air, and I expect Detroit to continue to keep him involved. If we project him even conservatively to only have say only 12-15 touches, he still smashes this number with 75-90 yards.

DJ Moore OVER 51.5 receiving yards (-125 DK)

The Panthers are an interesting team this week as they looked good enough with Darnold under center that they cut Baker Mayfield in their bye week. Darnold hit Moore on four of six targets last week for over 100 yards and it’s quite likely he continues to see some decent volume as the Panthers should be playing from behind here against Seattle. This is such a low number for a stud like Moore, he simply needs the targets and he should get there.

Chig Okonkwo OVER 25.5 receiving yards (-120 DK)

The Titans are so depleted at the receiver position that we could see their backup TE line up as a receiver in some formations. This dude is a stud if you haven’t watched him yet, he’s incredibly athletic. He caught four balls for 68 yards last week and 3-35 against Cincy the week before. His coach says he’s earned more opportunities and I am taking him at his word.

Anytime Touchdown Scorers

Ezekiel Elliot (-145)

Joe Mixon (-140)

Dalvin Cook (-140)

3-leg parlay = (+396 DK)

I hope you find my picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!

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