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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - Wells Fargo Championship

The PGA RotoBaller staff digs into their One and Done selections for the Wells Fargo Championship. Here are some under-the-radar plays and picks for this week's event.

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for the fourth season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Andrew Putters, Owen Vrabel, Matt Miller and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course which highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

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One and Done Selections - Wells Fargo Championship

 

Joe Nicely - Russell Henley

Alternate - Max Homa

Well…maybe I was crazy for not simply firing up Jon Rahm last week in Mexico against a KFT-level field. Regret has me seriously contemplating using Rory McIlroy this week in a similar spot. However, I guess I’m just stubborn, as I want to stick to my preseason plan of making every effort to use the correct players at the correct times, instead of letting emotion dictate my decisions.

As a result, I’ll keep McIlroy in my hip pocket and send out Russell Henley this week for the Wells Fargo. It’s a little concerning that Henley’s most recent start was also his worst of the season, but digging into the stats tells me that an ice-cold putter was the main culprit that led to his missed cut at Harbour Town. I have little concern about putting this week at TPC Potomac, a layout that is a true ball-striker’s paradise. Russ fits that bill, as his T2G numbers over the last 24 months are downright elite.

Yearly Earnings - $5,285,898
Yearly Cuts Made - 12/15

 

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Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!

 

Spencer Aguiar - Russell Henley

Alternate - Doug Ghim

It was a nice $500,000+ effort from Tony Finau last week in Mexico, and it still resulted in a negative week in profit/loss since multiple participants in this contest had Jon Rahm.

My player pool is marginally thinner than I would like for this event, as I am down suitable options like Matthew Fitzpatrick and Corey Conners, but I am going to go with my next safest play on the board in Russell Henley, who I believe has more upside than meets the eye.

Henley ranks third in this field for ball-striking, and while I tend to prefer his potential at courses with short iron proximity, his accuracy off the tee makes him a safer option than most because of his inclination to avoid playing bogey-golf.

Yearly Earnings - $6,150,985
Yearly Cuts Made - 14/15

 

Matt Miller - Max Homa

Alternate -

We're back! After hitting Jon Rahm last week I feel like I have taken myself off of life support in the annual One and Done contest. This week I am going to take a chance on Max Homa.
TPC Potomac hasn't been seen in the PGA Tour rotation since 2018 so it is tough to gauge exactly how it is going to play. What we do know is that it is a par 70 playing under 7200 yards. Homa ranks 10th in the field in strokes gained total on courses under 7200 yards in the last 24 rounds. He also ranks inside the top-20 in both strokes gained off the tee and on approach in his last 24 rounds, two stat categories I am weighing heavily this week.
Outside of his statistical profile, Homa has developed into a dependable player on the PGA Tour. He has seven top-25 finishes in 13 starts this year and has missed just two cuts (none since January). He has also won three times since 2019, making him one of the better options in terms of win equity on the top half of this week's board.

Yearly Earnings - $2,938,314
Yearly Cuts Made - 12/15

 

Owen Vrabel - Max Homa

Alternate - 


Yearly Earnings - $5,512,976
Yearly Cuts Made - 13/15

 

Josh Bennett - Tyrrell Hatton

Alternate - Cameron Young

Riding a heater now after last week, looking to make it back-to-back winners to chase down these other sharps in here. I’ve been waiting for an event at what appears to be a difficult course with a bit of a depleted field to throw Hatton into the mix, this week feels like the perfect week. He’s going to be flying a bit under the radar this week, but it’s hard to tell why for me. He’s been playing really well recently, he’s just been a bit off with the driver. I’m not sure that will matter too much this week other than a couple of holes, and the rest of his game has been in plenty good shape to win this particular event. Plus, he seems to step up to the occasion when the courses get difficult and that’s going to be key this week especially if the rough gets long or any kind of wind/weather pops up. I think this is a perfect time for Tyrrell to add another victory to his tally and grab me two wins in a row in this contest.

Yearly Earnings - $4,413,481
Yearly Cuts Made - 12/15

 

Andrew Putters - Webb Simpson

Alternate - Tony Finau

TPC Potomac is not a regular stop on the tour, however, we do have some data to pull from this course.  I’ve got Webb Simpson popping in several places this week. He mainly is trending up in short-term Ball Striking, short-term SG/SG, and Fairways Gained. He also does well on fast bentgrass greens. Tony, on the other hand, is looking to break out very soon and be back at the top of leaderboards week in and week out, as he has done in the past. Looking for Webb to contend for a victory week.

Yearly Earnings - $2,873,286
Yearly Cuts Made - 10/15

 

Running Totals

Follow along here on the OAD Spreadsheet!

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