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Rebound Candidates For The Second Half

Ok, we are at the All-Star break so the free time requires writers to compose articles where we make declarations that are actually educated guesses that we just word in such a way as to make them sound like we are certain.

I am going to divide my rebound candidates into two categories. The first is the Cubs and the other will come from the other 29 teams. This may sound familiar as it was also the two categories of teams according to some experts as the 2016 regular season wound down.

The Cubs threesome will sound obvious but I have heard too much doubt so I will address them.

 

Rebound Candidates for The Second Half

The Cubs

Kyle Schwarber: Writer law requires me to fill space reciting the horrible 2017 numbers to set the tone. .178 Batting Average, 29 runs batted in, only 17 singles in 236 at-bats. Many owners have either dropped him or curse his name regularly when they log into their team. Two things give hope and lead to a belief that he will bat better than .178 in the second half. The first is that his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is .200 which is significantly below league average which leaves plenty of room for improvement. The other is the eye test as during the four games after his return before the break, he was showing signs of an improved approach. One of the signs was that he was hitting the ball to the opposite field, which is a positive sign to show he is staying on the ball during its path to the plate rather than pulling off. He is unlikely to hit .300 in the second half but if he can simply hit a respectable .250-.265, his power and place in the Cubs offense (as a group, their lineup likely belong in the rebound category) should lead to numbers that will fit nicely into the catcher spot in many fantasy leagues.

Jon Lester: Lester has a 5-6 record with a 4.25 ERA. That is more losses than he had in the 2016 regular season. Now, it would be easy to pin it on the loss of his personal catcher David Ross but Lester is a veteran and Willson Contreras has shown his worth in the first half, especially in using his arm to combat the running game that can dog Lester. A closer look at the underlying numbers shows that multiple factors have worked against him. Home runs have hurt him as both his HR/9 and HR/FB % are noticeably higher than his career rates. He also needs to work on reducing the walks as his BB/9 is higher than it has been during his previous three strong seasons. The chances for improved run support also exists if you believe that the Cubs offense should rebound in the second half. Some of his wounds have been self-inflicted but it is reasonable to consider that an All-Star can get back to the form he has shown in his dominating starts both in the past and at times during the 2017 season.

Jake Arrieta: Arrieta is 8-7 with a 4.35 ERA. Teams that he has handled easily in the previous three seasons have touched him up during a rocky first half. Primarily his struggles trace back to issues with locating his specialty pitch which is a hybrid between a slider and a cutter. When the pitch is right, it causes batters fits and makes his fastball and curveball harder to sit on. He is throwing the pitch half as often as he was in 2014-15. The opponent's BABIP is also significantly higher than the three previous seasons. If that slider/cutter snaps back into its old form, there is plenty of reason to hope for a half of baseball similar to the second half of 2015 or the first half of 2016.

Not The Cubs

Carlos Gonzalez: CarGo is batting .221 with six home runs and 22 runs batted in. I almost skipped him as too obvious until I ran across an article advocating the Rockies calling up a minor leaguer to take his place. In 2015, he hit 40 HRs with 97 RBIs. In 2016, he hit .298 with 100 RBIs. His BABIP is 82 points lower this season compared to 2016. Oh, and one last point that might interest you, he still plays his home games at Coors Field.

Johnny CuetoJohnny Cueto is 6-7 with an ERA of 4.51 this season. The Giants have been really bad this season so this is not so much about expecting a great winning streak in the second half. However, his ERA is significantly higher than the standards he had set in his great 2014 and 2016 seasons. Even if 2015 is used instead, his ERA is still more than a full run higher in 2017. His main problem is that he is allowing a higher percentage of fly balls with those fly balls going for HRs at a much higher rate than in those past three seasons. He also is walking batters at a higher rate. This is the shakiest of the five predictions but he was a combined 38-14 with ERAs in the 2's in those 2014 and 2016 seasons so he has the talent to turn it around.




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Quinten Post

Set to Suit Up Versus Philadelphia
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Will Play on Thursday Night
Joel Embiid

Back on Thursday Night
Al Horford

Available on Thursday
Jonathan Kuminga

Cleared for Action on Thursday Night
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Out of Action Thursday
Terance Mann

Available Versus Utah
Kirill Marchenko

Returns From Four-Game Absence
De'Anthony Melton

to be Capped at 20 Minutes on Thursday
Carter Verhaeghe

Ready to Return Thursday
Scott Wedgewood

Skips Thursday's Game
Paolo Banchero

Upgraded to Questionable for Friday Night
Danila Yurov

Misses Second Straight Game
CFB

Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Unavailable Thursday
CFB

Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
Dereck Lively II

to Seek "Multiple Opinions" on Right Foot Treatment
David Pastrnak

Still Out Thursday
Ryan McDonagh

Lightning Sign Ryan McDonagh to Three-Year Extension
Trayce Jackson-Davis

Set to Suit Up Thursday
Ja Morant

Considered Day-to-Day
Tee Higgins

Ready to Return After Full Practice?
Jimmy Butler III

Sidelined Thursday
Jayden Daniels

Practices in Full on Thursday
Jaylen Brown

Ruled Out Thursday Against the Wizards
Lamar Jackson

Expected to Play Against Steelers
Quentin Grimes

Is Ready to Return on Thursday
Deshaun Watson

Not Expected to Play This Year
Paul George

Will Not Play Against the Warriors
Joel Embiid

Upgraded to Questionable for Thursday
CFB

Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
Justin Herbert

Chargers "Really Optimistic" That Justin Herbert Will Play on Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Will Not Play Thursday
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
Noa Essengue

Out for the Season
Mike Evans

has "Real Chance" to Return in Week 14
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected To Miss 2-4 Weeks
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Realistic Expectation is for Amon-Ra St. Brown to Return Next Week
Jalen Carter

Won't Play in Week 14 After Having Shoulder Surgeries
Justin Herbert

Expected to Practice Either Thursday or Friday
Mike Evans

Practicing Again Thursday
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Questionable With Rib Contusion
Marcus Smart

Sidelined Thursday Against Raptors
CFB

Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Karel Vejmelka

Records Impressive Shutout
JJ Peterka

Rocks Ducks With Four-Point Effort
Cole Caufield

Extends Point Streak With Power-Play Assist
Matvei Michkov

Delivers Two Assists Wednesday
Jake Oettinger

Grabs Fourth Consecutive Victory With Shutout
Ryan Leonard

Tallies Four Points in Wednesday's Win
Cam York

Exits Win Early
Kyren Williams

Expected to Play in Week 14
Davante Adams

Expected to Play Despite Missing Wednesday's Practice
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Woody Marks

Texans Say Woody Marks Will be Fine
Rasmus Ristolainen

to Miss at Least One More Week
Drew Doughty

Logs Full Practice Wednesday
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Jeff Skinner

Remains Sidelined Wednesday
Petr Mrazek

Out 2-3 Weeks
Tyler Seguin

Likely Done for the Season
Neal Pionk

Returns to Jets Lineup
J.J. McCarthy

Practices in Full, on Track to Return in Week 14
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Mark Andrews

Agrees to Three-Year Extension With Ravens
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
Kyle Schwarber

Reds Serious About Adding Kyle Schwarber in Free Agency?
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Officially Questionable for Thursday Night
Omarion Hampton

"on Track and Looking Good" for Week 14
CFB

Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
Joey Bosa

Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
Bryce Young

Panthers Expected to Pick Up Bryce Young's Fifth-Year Option
Deshaun Watson

Browns Opening Practice Window for Deshaun Watson
CFB

Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Collin Klein Expected to be Top Target for Kansas State if Head-Coach Job Opens
CFB

Chris Klieman Considering Stepping Down at Kansas State
Alexander Wennberg

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles

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