X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Power Risers and Fallers for Week 19: Buy or Sell?

RotoBaller's Nick Mariano looks at some fantasy baseball bats for week nineteen that are hitting either extremely hot or cold in the power department.

Welcome back to this investigative piece where we examine players who have seen some notable changes in their power profiles -- for better or for worse -- in 2017.

As usual, you don’t need me to tell you that Miguel Sano and Aaron Judge are strong or that Jarrod Dyson and Billy Hamilton are toward the bottom in average exit velocity. The middle of August means two things: the end of the fantasy baseball season is starting to peek out over the horizon, and most of your league’s trade deadlines are bearing down on you.

Identifying top power risers and fallers for each week can help you swing the best deals and spot the best pickups before your competition. We'll do the hard work for you, looking at the underlying metrics that influence a hitter's power: fly-ball, pull, hard-hit rates and exit velocity. Consider buying these week 19 power risers and selling these week 19 power fallers.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Power Risers

Eugenio Suarez - (CIN, 3B):

Belting his 20th homer of the season on Thursday, Suarez has now sent four baseballs to Souvenir City in 10 August games (and seven in his last 21 contests). It’s possible that his bat proves to be one of the streakier ones in the league, as many of you likely know how he bashed five homers in both April and May before hitting only six long balls combined between June and July alongside a 62-point drop in his batting average.

With that in mind, all three of his relevant power metrics here sit above 45 percent in the last two weeks (45.5 percent fly-ball and hard-hit rates, 60 percent pull rate). These marks all sat between 30-40 percent after his red-hot April and he looks to be on that same track again in August. Maybe he just has a thing for months that begin with “A”? Now that’s sabermetrics for you, folks. In all seriousness, we’ve seen what he can do when comfortable at the dish and he looks mighty comfy right now.

Keon Broxton - (MIL, OF):

While Broxton’s homer on Thursday may make this rather obvious, there are likely still a few folks out there who are skeptical of his solid performance since being recalled on Aug. 1. After all, the guy was sent down after hitting just .067 (3-for-45) in July before being sent down. All he’s done since then is post a hard-hit rate of nearly 60 percent with a 35 percent pull rate while lifting the ball half of the time in 37 plate appearances. While we have to cede that a small sample size for a streaky hitter is dangerous to latch onto, but if you’re wondering whether this is a legitimate show or not -- it is.

Kolten Wong - (STL, 2B/OF):

Wong has done well to post a .303 average this season, and his .826 OPS is rather impressive as well thanks to a career-high 10.3 percent walk rate and 20 doubles thus far. We’re interested in the prospect of more doubles turning into homers, though, and it looks like that’s truly not far-fetched. After stroking a batted-ball over 100 mph only once in his first 16 games since the All-Star break, the 26-year-old has since done so six times in his most recent 10 games (Thursday night not included). It likely won’t cost you a thing to see where this summer spike takes him, but his current stat sheet undersells the skills currently at work.

Eduardo Nunez - (BOS, 2B/SS/3B/OF):

Nunez’s inclusion will come as no surprise to Boston fans and his fantasy owners, as the 30-year-old is batting .420 with four homers and six doubles since trading in AT&T Park for Fenway. That said, he went 5-for-10 in two games in Tampa Bay as well, so he’s just all-around locked in right now. We can’t ignore that he hit just .269 with only four homers in 50 games for San Francisco last season after ripping 12 long balls alongside a .296 average in 91 games for Minnesota. Dude just likes the AL is all, and parks that aren’t notoriously pitcher-friendly. Banter aside, his 42 percent hard-hit rate, 35 percent fly-ball rate and 53.5 percent pull rate since being traded back what you’re seeing with your eyeballs and paint him as a legitimate contributor as the home stretch approaches.

 

Power Fallers

Mookie Betts - (BOS, OF):

While Betts has notched a hit in eight of his last 10 games, he’s still hitting just .233 over that span with a poor .292 on-base percentage to boot. Worse in our eyes is the .326 slugging percentage, as only two of his 10 hits in this span have gone for extra bases (one double, one homer). While he’s still hitting plenty of fly balls (40 percent) and pulling the ball at a healthy clip (37 percent), he simply can’t square up a ball to save his life.

His 14.3 percent soft-contact rate means he’s not hitting dribblers, but his even-worse 11.4 percent hard-hit rate means he’s just in batted-ball purgatory. Still only 24 years old, Betts’ biggest weakness actually looks to be his line-drive rate plummeting from 19.3 percent in ’16 to 16 percent here. He still has the tools to be a game-breaking talent and there are plenty who will gamble on that upside, but this is looking more and more like a lost season for his suddenly inconsistent bat.

Byron Buxton - (MIN, OF):

We’ve got to give it up for Buxton for producing a three-hit, two-RBI night just as I begin to write about him here. He had begun to make some noise in July -- batting .387 with a homer and three steals across 10 games -- before landing on the disabled list right after the All-Star break ended. Since then, he’s now 9-for-31 (.290), which is good but has seen his usual pull rate of over 50 percent come out of the gates at 33.3 percent in August. His hard-hit rate was at 39.1 percent in July but it now sits at 28.6 percent. His fly-ball rate is a monthly-low 22.2 percent as well. While I will readily admit that he could have just needed to shake off some rust, he has seen that rolling average-exit velocity graph that enamored many absorb a sharp drop.

Russell Martin - (TOR, C/3B):

Most of Martin’s 2017 campaign has been a disappointing one, but the veteran has actually hit .261 with three homers over his last 14 games. While that’s not lighting the world on fire, it isn’t bad by any means -- especially this year with the bar of “top-12 catcher” being rather low. But Martin’s recent performance has an ugly 21.9 percent hard-hit rate, 22.6 percent fly-ball rate and 37.5 percent pull rate underneath it. Pulling the ball alone isn’t going to do much for you if it isn’t lifted over the fielders and not leaving the bat with any authority.

Ryan Braun - (MIL, OF):

Braun is experiencing a slip in power at just the wrong time for most fantasy owners to feel like they can get enough when they flip him, but it might be worth exploring all the same. Despite playing in only 62 games thus far, the 33-year-old has been productive when able to suit up with a .244 ISO -- his highest mark since 2012 (.276). The bright side and easiest selling point would be Braun’s logging multiple hits in five straight games now and is hitting .383 over his last two weeks despite going homerless in that window.

This can be explained by a poor 29.4 percent fly-ball rate and 23.5 percent pull rate. He’s spraying the ball well and his hard-hit rate of 38.2 percent and 32.4 percent line-drive rate validate the batting average, but his fly-ball rate alone has tumbled 20 percent compared to July. A guy with his track record likely won’t just forget how to hit big flies, but those who have solid average and hurting for power should consider offering up Braun on the trade block.

 

More Risers and Fallers




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mitchell Marner

Establishes Vegas Record Sunday
Mats Zuccarello

Logs Two Assists in Overtime Victory
Lucas Raymond

Leads Red Wings to Victory at MSG
Quinn Hughes

Delivers Four Assists in Sunday's Win
Conor Garland

Limited to Handful of Minutes Sunday
Ryan Hartman

Suffers Lower-Body Injury
Adrian Kempe

Agrees to $85 Million Extension With Kings
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated
Islam Makhachev

Claims UFC Welterweight Belt
Zhang Weili

Gets Outclassed
Valentina Shevchenko

Wins Unanimous Decision At UFC 322
Sean Brady

Suffered First-Round TKO Loss
Michael Morales

Remains Unbeaten
Leon Edwards

Suffers Second-Round Knockout Loss
Leon Edwards

Carlos Prates Becomes The First Man To Knock Out Leon Edwards
Beneil Dariush

Suffers Brutal First-Round Knockout Loss
Beneil Dariush

Benoit Saint Denis Knocks Out Beneil Dariush In 16 Seconds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Clears 100-Yard Mark Again in Loss to Rams
Jahmyr Gibbs

Leads Lions in Receiving in Week 11 Loss
Christian Watson

Breaks Out With First Two Touchdowns of the Year
Josh Naylor

Mariners Finalizing Five-Year Contract
Derrick Henry

Breaks Two-Game Scoreless Streak in Week 11
George Kittle

Hauls in Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 11 Win
Drake London

Knee Injury "Not Thought to be Overly Serious"
Aaron Rodgers

May Have "Slight Break" in Left Wrist, Likely Out for Week 12
Jacoby Brissett

Sets Completion Record in Loss to 49ers
Trey McBride

Extends Touchdown Streak in Busy Outing Against 49ers
Michael Wilson

Peppered With Targets Amid Teammate's Absence
Christian McCaffrey

Scores Three Touchdowns in Divisional Win
Michael Penix Jr.

Aggravates Knee Injury, Could Miss More Time
Dillon Gabriel

to Remain the Starter if Healthy
Travis Etienne Jr.

Scores Two Touchdowns in Run-Heavy Blowout
P.J. Washington

Active Against the Trail Blazers
Anthony Davis

Won't Play on Sunday Night
Kenneth Gainwell

Catches Two Touchdown Passes in Elevated Role
Zion Williamson

Remains Sidelined on Sunday
Bijan Robinson

Scores Twice in Overtime Loss to Panthers
Jrue Holiday

Won't Play Sunday
Dillon Gabriel

Ruled Out With a Concussion Against Ravens
Kristaps Porzingis

to Miss Another Game on Sunday
Bam Adebayo

Not Ready to Return Monday
Josh Jacobs

Not Believed to Have Season-Ending Knee Injury
Jalen Brunson

Unavailable Monday
OG Anunoby

to Sit Out at Least Two Weeks
Bilal Coulibaly

Back in Action Sunday
Tetairoa McMillan

Sets New Career-Highs in Overtime Win
Scott Mayfield

Available Sunday
Stephon Castle

Won't Return on Sunday Night
Sean Tucker

Scores Three Times in Lead-Back Role
Josh Allen

Scores Six Touchdowns in Thrilling Victory
NYI

Max Shabanov Returns From 12-Game Absence Sunday
Derrick Jones Jr.

Won't Return on Sunday
Samuel Honzek

Out Week-to-Week
Kirby Dach

Sidelined for 4-6 Weeks
Kristaps Porzingis

Questionable for Sunday's Meeting with Phoenix
Thatcher Demko

Considered Week-to-Week
Filip Hronek

Good to Go Sunday
Quinn Hughes

Back in Action Sunday
CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Carnell Tate Not Dealing With Long-Term Injuries
Grayson Allen

Sidelined With Quad Contusion
Viktor Arvidsson

Injured in Saturday's Win
Jonathan Kuminga

Knee Issue Keeps Him Out of Weekend Action
Nick Foligno

Ruled Out for Four Weeks
Bilal Coulibaly

Questionable With Calf Issue Against Nets
Samuel Honzek

Hurt in Collision With Teammate
Precious Achiuwa

Questionable With Illness For Sunday
Drew Doughty

Exits With Lower-Body Injury
P.J. Washington

Expected Back From Shoulder Issue Sunday
Charlie McAvoy

Sustains Upper-Body Injury Against Canadiens
Tre Jones

Uncertain for Sunday With Minutes Set to Tighten
Thomas Harley

Out Week-to-Week
CFB

Virginia Tech Close To Naming James Franklin As Head Coach
Coby White

Could Make Season Debut Sunday
Josh Giddey

Set to Return Sunday
Zion Williamson

Tagged as Questionable for Sunday
Jeff Skinner

Placed on Injured Reserve
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful vs. Arkansas On Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Blue Jays Interested in Signing Edwin Diaz?
Jacob deGrom

Named AL Comeback Player of the Year
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Wins NL Comeback Player of the Year Award
Aroldis Chapman

Named AL Reliever of the Year
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Named NL Reliever of the Year
Justin Thomas

Will Miss Start Of 2026 After Undergoing Back Surgery
Islam Makhachev

Set For UFC 322 Main Event
Jack Della Maddalena

Set For His First Title Defense
Zhang Weili

Can Become The New Women's Flyweight Champion
Valentina Shevchenko

Set For UFC 322 Co-Main Event
Michael Morales

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Mario Craver a Game-Time Decision for Week 12
Sean Brady

Set For Title Eliminator Bout
Carlos Prates

A Favorite At UFC 322
Leon Edwards

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Set To Open Up UFC 322 Main Card
Beneil Dariush

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
CFB

Virginia's Chandler Morris Trending Toward Facing Duke on Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Says There's a "50-50" Chance he Returns to Mets
Shohei Ohtani

Wins his Fourth MVP Award
Aaron Judge

Wins AL MVP Award Again
Raisel Iglesias

Dodgers Interested in Signing Raisel Iglesias
Pete Alonso

Orioles Could be in the Mix to Sign Pete Alonso
Félix Bautista

Felix Bautista Could Return in Second Half in 2026
Kodai Senga

Attracting Trade Interest, Will the Mets Move him?
Yordan Alvarez

Expected to be Ready for Spring Training
Byron Buxton

Could Waive his No-Trade Clause
Paul Skenes

the Unanimous NL Cy Young Winner
Tarik Skubal

Wins AL Cy Young for Second Straight Year
CFB

Still No Update on Jermod McCoy's Return Timeline
Sami Valimaki

Riding Momentum Into Bermuda
Matthieu Pavon

Struggling Through a Rough Season
Taylor Montgomery

Hopes to Get Back on Track at Port Royal
Ben Martin

a Risky Play at Bermuda Championship
Mark Hubbard

Primed for a Bounce-Back Week in Bermuda
Lee Hodges

Searching for a Spark in Bermuda
Stephen Vogt

Wins Back-to-Back AL Manager of the Year Honors
Milwaukee Brewers

Pat Murphy Named NL Manager of the Year Again
Patrick Fishburn

Looking to Bounce Back in Bermuda
Eric Cole

Carrying Momentum into Bermuda
Tommy Edman

to Have Ankle Surgery Next Week
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks Unlikely to Trade Ketel Marte
Sahith Theegala

Finishes Tied for 27th at Bank of Utah Championship
Sam Stevens

Finishes Tied for 36th at Baycurrent Classic
Patrick Rodgers

Finishes Tied For Sixth at World Wide Technology Championship
Luke List

Finishes 75th at World Wide Technology Championship
Ben Kohles

Finishes Tied for 63rd at World Wide Technology Championship
PGA

Nico Echavarria Finishes Tied for 14th at World Wide Technology Championship
Luke Clanton

Finishes Tied for 46th at World Wide Technology Championship
Blades Brown

Finishes Tied for 18th at Korn Ferry Tour Championship

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP