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Coming off a T48 at the API and missing the cut at TPC Sawgrass last week, Sam Burns will look to rebound at Innisbrook this week at the Valspar Championship. This is an event where the 28-year-old has thrived in past years having back-to-back victories in 2022 and 2023. From a course history perspective, he is one of the most dominant players in the field, as he sports a +2.809 total strokes gained at this course over his last 14 rounds. It has been by way of dominant approach play, with an average of +0.932 in strokes gained on approach. However, the two previous starts mentioned this season have been due to horrific iron play that will make repeat success at this championship difficult. If picking Burns is purely reliant on course history, he's a worthwhile pick; but the current state of his game is undoubtedly hard to trust. --Todd McGill - RotoBaller
Source: PGA Tour
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