March 23, 2025
Although Austin Cindric had a reputation of fading to mid-pack in most of the races where he qualified well, that definitely seems to have stopped in 2025 as he has seemed to have a lot more staying power up front. In last week's race at Las Vegas, he overcame a loose wheel after winning Stage 1 to finish 6th. Such a recovery was not typical of him in previous seasons and the Team Penske cars seem faster on a race-by-race level than they have the past couple years. Given the fact that he qualified 8th at Homestead, Cindric will still probably lose positions in the race but he has been leading enough including at Las Vegas that there is a distinct possibility he might accumulate some leader and/or fastest lap points in this race, but he likely needs to lead to have any DFS value.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 23, 2025
Despite Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s reputation as a superspeedway driver, Homestead has arguably been his worst superspeedway. At all tracks where Stenhouse has failed to ever earn a top-10 finish in the NASCAR Cup Series, he has made more starts at Homestead than any other despite some solid qualifying runs. He might have some DFS value, as his average finish of 21.6 is better than his 27th-place starting position, suggesting he may gain a few positions on place differential. He's also rather cheap at $6,700, but even though he's still technically in the playoffs right now, he's also declined from his peak and it seems like right now the best he can do on a track like this is barely finishing in the top 20 and not leading at all, which won't give him enough points to be a leading DFS option.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 23, 2025
John Hunter Nemechek qualified seventh for Sunday's Homestead race, which is actually his best-ever as a full-time driver since his fifth-place finish at Charlotte in 2020 came with metric qualifying, and his fourth-place starting position in 2022 also came at Homestead while he was filling in for the injured Kurt Busch. It would be an inspiring story if Nemechek were to win at the track where his namesake uncle had died, but although Legacy Motor Club definitely looks a little faster this year than they have in the past, Nemechek's starting position seems unsustainable, just as it did in 2022, when he finished 27th. He has never finished better than 19th or led a lap at the track, although he was briefly very fast in 2022. In all likelihood, Nemechek will finish much worse than he starts, which should make him one of the worst DFS options.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 23, 2025
Cole Custer was something of a Homestead master in the NASCAR Xfinity Series with a win in 2017, two poles, and three second-place finishes, but his Cup Series performances at the track have left little to be desired as he has finished between 22nd and 24th in all three of his previous starts there for Stewart-Haas Racing. Now at the rebranded Haas Factory Team, his cars have been arguably even slower as aside from briefly fighting for the lead at the end of the Daytona 500, he's been a complete non-factor. Unlike his fellow 2020 rookies Christopher Bell and Tyler Reddick, it doesn't seem like Custer's Xfinity Series success has really translated at the Cup level, especially with the Next Gen chassis. His past history at the Cup level suggests he won't finish any better than he started, so he isn't very valuable for DFS play.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 23, 2025
J.J. Yeley makes his second start of the 2025 season for the NY Racing Team on Sunday at Homestead, but don't expect him to be any sort of contender. Not only did Yeley qualify in 37th and last place for the race, he was so slow that pole-sitter Alex Bowman and 35th-place qualifier Shane van Gisbergen were closer in speed than SVG was to Yeley. Yeley's only hope of gaining positions is if a lot of drivers having DNFs and he does not, but that's not particularly likely at a track like Homestead, where there don't tend to be many crashes. Since he is unlikely to gain more than a handful of places, Yeley has very little value for DFS lineups for this race despite qualifying last.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 23, 2025
Christopher Bell of Joe Gibbs Racing will start 16th for this week's Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway. This will be the lowest starting position of Bell's Cup career at Homestead since his first race at the site in 2020. In five starts at Homestead, Bell has five top-20 finishes, with four of them being 11th or better. With five races completed so far this season, Bell has three wins and four finishes with positive Place Differential. In practice, Bell ranked 21st in overall lap averages but displayed top-10 speeds in the five through 20 consecutive lap average categories. Considering his equipment, upside, and how Homestead is one of his better tracks, fantasy players should use Bell in all DFS formats as one of the better all-around picks of the week.
--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
March 23, 2025
Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron will start fifth for this week's race at Homestead-Miami Speedway. This will be the fourth time in his Cup career that Byron will start a race at Homestead inside the top 10. In seven starts at the Miami track, Byron has one win and four top-10 finishes, which he all earned in his last five races at the site. Through five races so far this season, Byron is the season's points leader with one win and four top-10 finishes. In practice, Byron ranked third in overall lap averages while displaying top-10 speeds in all other categories. The No. 24 Chevrolet driver should continue to be one of the most consistent and best drivers of the season with a strong top-5 performance at Homestead based on track history and practice speeds.
--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
March 23, 2025
Bubba Wallace of 23XI Racing will start ninth for this week's race at Homestead-Miami Speedway, the Straight Talk Wireless 400. This will mark the third consecutive Homestead race where Wallace will start inside the top 10. In six previous starts at the Miami track, Wallace has one top-10 finish and obtained positive Place Differential twice. With five races completed so far this season, Wallace has two top-20 finishes, but also led in three different Cup events. In practice for Sunday's race, Wallace ranked first in overall lap averages as well as 10 and 15 consecutive lap averages. As one of the fastest drivers in practice with low upside from his starting position, Wallace should be considered for all tournament lineups as someone who can compete for a top-5 finish.
--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
March 23, 2025
Kyle Busch will start 22nd for this week's Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway after qualifying. This will be the lowest starting position of the season for the No. 8 Chevrolet driver after five races. In 20 starts at Homestead, Busch has 14 top-20 finishes, including nine of the past 10 Cup events at the site. In five races completed this year, Busch has three top-10 finishes while gaining positive Place Differential twice. In practice, Busch ranked 27th in overall lap averages while not showing much speed at all in all other categories. Busch's track history at Homestead makes him worth consideration for all DFS formats, especially with his below-average starting position providing upside. However, Busch works best as a pivot play, considering his practice speeds this week.
--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
March
23,
2025
Ty
Gibbs
will
start
13th
for
this
week's
Homestead-Miami
Speedway
Cup
Series
race,
the
Straight
Talk
Wireless
400.
This
starting
position
ties
the
best
of
the
season
so
far
for
Gibbs
after
five
races.
In
three
starts
at
Homestead
in
the
read more...
March 23, 2025
Brad Keselowski of RFK Racing earned a starting position of 32nd after qualifying for Sunday's Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway. Keselowski was the lowest-qualifying driver of the three RFK entries for this week's race. In 17 starts at Homestead, Keselowski has 13 top-20 finishes with seven inside the top 10. After five races so far this season, Keselowski has two top-20 finishes, but they were both scored in the last three Cup races, and he captured positive Place Differential three times. In practice, Keselowski ranked 12th in overall lap averages and displayed top-20 speeds in the 15-30 consecutive lap average categories. Based on his massive upside from his starting position, equipment, and overall track history at Homestead, expect Keselowski to move through the field into the top 20, making him one of the best overall DFS picks of the week.
--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
March 23, 2025
RFK Racing's Chris Buescher will start 11th for this week's race at Homestead-Miami Speedway. Buescher was the only one of the three RFK entries to qualify inside the top 15 for Sunday's race at the Miami track. In nine races at Homestead, Buescher has five top-20 finishes without a single top-10. The No. 17 Ford driver also has five finishes with positive Place Differential collected as well. Through five races so far this season, Buescher has four finishes of 13th or better with positive PD earned twice. In practice for this week's race, Buescher ranked 13th in overall lap averages while only ranking among the top 10 fastest in 30 consecutive lap averages. Considering his salary ($7,900) on DraftKings, low upside, and practice speeds, Buescher is best utilized as a contrarian option for tournament lineups who presents some risk due to his Homestead track history.
--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
March 23, 2025
Noah Gragson of Front Row Motorsports will start third for the Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway. This is Gragson's best starting position of his Cup career at Homestead. In two previous starts at the Miami track, Gragson's best finish is 19th, and he has yet to score a finish with positive Place Differential in the Cup Series at the site. In the Xfinity Series at Homestead, however, Gragson is a previous winner with four top-5 finishes in five starts. In the 2025 Cup season so far, Gragson has one top-10 finish and three finishes with positive PD scored in the first five races. In practice for Sunday's race, Gragson ranked 26th in overall lap averages but displayed top-10 speeds in all other categories. Gragson is best recommended for tournament lineups this week due to his low upside from his starting position, as his practice speeds do indicate that he will likely maintain a top-10 finish.
--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
March 23, 2025
Erik Jones of Legacy Motor Club will start 28th for this week's race at Homestead-Miami Speedway, the Straight Talk Wireless 400. This starting position will be tied for the lowest of his Cup career at Homestead, along with his October 2024 appearance at the Miami track. In eight Homestead races, Jones has two top-20 finishes and obtained positive Place Differential three times, including his last two Cup events at the site. Through five races so far in 2025, Jones has had two top-20 finishes and only collected positive PD once. In practice for this week's race, Jones ranked eighth in overall lap averages while displaying top-20 speeds in the five through 15 consecutive lap average categories. The starting position for Jones provides plenty of potential upside and for his cheap salary ($6,100 on DraftKings), he is worth consideration as a driver who will compete for a top-20 finish.
--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
March 23, 2025
Carson Hocevar will start 15th for Sunday's Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway. The second-year Cup driver is the top qualifier of the three Spire Motorsports entries for this week's race. In his only previous start at Homestead, Hocevar collected positive Place Differential and finished ninth. In five races completed so far this year, Hocevar has two finishes of 13th or better but also two DNFs. In practice for Sunday's race, Hocevar ranked fifth in overall lap averages and displayed top-10 speeds in all other categories. Based on his equipment and practice speeds, Hocevar may be a sleeper to score a top-10 finish, making him a favorable and underrated DFS option for his salary ($7,500) for all formats.
--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
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