July 19, 2025
Justin Haley has struggled quite a bit this season, as the Spire Motorsports driver currently has an average finish of 22.0 through the first 20 races of the season. Although that is better than his average result last year (23.4), it is still quite a disappointing number, as Haley hasn't shown many real flashes of speed on the track this year. Could that change this weekend at Dover? Probably not, but Justin does have an 11th-place finish to his credit at "The Monster Mile" (back in 2022). His other two Cup Series starts have ended with him in 23rd-place each time. Thanks to this weekend's starting lineup being set by the metric, the No. 7 Chevrolet will roll off the starting grid from 20th-place on Sunday. Given how he has raced this season overall, that's likely about the ceiling for Justin Haley in terms of finish as well.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: ifantasyrace
July 19, 2025
If you're looking for a low-tier driver to roll the dice on this weekend at Dover Motor Speedway, don't overlook Cole Custer. The driver of the No. 41 Ford has just five top-20 finishes in 20 races this season, but it wouldn't be surprising to see him add to that number this weekend at "The Monster Mile." In four career Cup Series starts at this track, Custer has finished between 10th and 15th each time, and in his last two races here he started way back in 30th-place when the green flag flew. For this weekend's Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400, Custer will start from back in 29th-place. With his very low salary on DraftKings ($5,100) and stellar (for his caliber) track record at Dover, you should definitely have some Cole Custer exposure in your DFS lineups this weekend.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: Driver Averages
July 19, 2025
Ty Dillon will roll off the starting grid from 21st place for this weekend's Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 thanks to the starting lineup being set by NASCAR's metric. Dillon has been one of the biggest underdog stories of the season, as the Kaulig Racing driver is now in the final four of the In-Season Tournament, going head-to-head with John Hunter Nemechek for a spot in the final two next week at Indianapolis. As far as track history goes, Dover actually hasn't been that bad of a venue for Dillon, as he has finished between 14th and 24th in five of his 11 career starts at "The Monster Mile." Another top-20 finish could be in the cards for him this weekend, which makes him a risky but interesting DFS tournament option, considering he's only $5,000 on DraftKings. He could be a sneaky cap-saving option to round out your lineup on Sunday.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: Frontstretch
July
14,
2025
Hendrick
Motorsports
driver
Chase
Elliott
finished
third
in
this
past
weekend's
race
at
Sonoma
Raceway,
the
Toyota/Save
Mart
350.
Elliott
started
the
race
from
the
13th
position,
and
during
the
first
stage,
he
quietly
worked
his
way
into
the
top
10
read more...
July
14,
2025
Chase
Briscoe
of
Joe
Gibbs
Racing
held
his
best
result
at
Sonoma
Raceway
this
weekend
during
the
Toyota/Save
Mart
350.
Briscoe
began
the
race
from
the
second
position,
and
during
the
first
stage,
he
held
a
strong
top-3
running
position
through
read more...
July
14,
2025
Joe
Gibbs
Racing
driver
Christopher
Bell
had
a
rollercoaster
of
a
performance
during
Sunday's
Toyota/Save
Mart
350
at
Sonoma
Raceway
before
scoring
a
top-five
finish.
Bell
started
10th
in
Sunday's
race
but
quickly
showcased
that
he
had
a
solid
car
during
read more...
July
14,
2025
William
Byron
had
a
mostly
consistent
and
solid
performance
during
Sunday's
Toyota/Save
Mart
350
at
Sonoma
Raceway.
Byron
began
the
race
from
third
place,
but
then
quickly
passed
Chase
Briscoe
for
second
after
just
the
third
lap
of
the
race
in
read more...
July
14,
2025
Kyle
Busch
of
Richard
Childress
Racing
fought
through
a
challenging
day
in
order
to
finish
in
the
10th
position
for
Sunday's
Toyota/Save
Mart
350
at
Sonoma
Raceway.
Busch
began
the
race
from
the
17th
position,
but
had
some
struggles
with
his
read more...
July 14, 2025
It looked for most of Sunday's race at Sonoma that Ryan Preece was actually going to upset In-Season Tournament favorite Tyler Reddick to advance to the semifinal against Ty Gibbs, which was very shocking as Preece spent much of Stage 3 inside the top 10, while Reddick was outside of it, even though he is a vastly better road racer and driver in general. Much like his Mexico City run, he showed uncharacteristic mediocrity for much of the race, but a decision to pit for fresh rubber when a caution came out for a loose tire bunched up the field, and Reddick passed Preece on a restart as Preece ran into the back of Noah Gragson and slightly damaged his car. At that point, he blasted through the field to finish sixth, making him the only driver to finish in the top 10 in all three Challenge races, but he's tending to run worse than his finishes, so don't be surprised if Gibbs upsets him at Dover.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
July
14,
2025
In
an
odd
coincidence,
all
three
NASCAR
Cup
Series
drivers
named
Tyler
advanced
to
the
final
four
of
NASCAR's
In-Season
Challenge
tournament
bracket.
While
Tyler
Reddick
is
not
really
a
surprise,
both
Ty
Dillon
and
Ty
Gibbs
definitely
were
as
Dillon
read more...
July
14,
2025
Kyle
Larson
had
a
curiously
mediocre
run
at
Sonoma,
a
track
where
he
had
earned
impressive
wins
twice
before
in
2021
and
2024
as
well
as
four
consecutive
poles
from
2017-2022.
Larson
wasn't
remotely
in
contention,
spending
most
of
the
race
read more...
July 14, 2025
As usual for the Legacy Motor Club drivers on road courses, neither John Hunter Nemechek nor Erik Jones ran very well at Sonoma on Sunday. But also as usual, Nemechek had more road-course speed than Jones, who was at times battling the slowest cars like Katherine Legge's. That allowed Nemechek to beat Jones to advance to the semifinal of the In-Season Challenge bracket, where he will face Ty Dillon at Dover. Since Nemechek is 22nd in points and Dillon is 31st, he is more likely to advance, but the fact that both drivers were so low in points is really a reflection of how the tournament has a terrible format that rewards mediocrity rather than performance, especially by starting the tournament on a drafting track. Even if Nemechek wins the bracket, it won't be that significant of an accomplishment.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
July 14, 2025
Improbably, Ty Dillon advanced to the semifinal of NASCAR's In-Season Challenge after bumping his opponent Alex Bowman out of the way despite Bowman outrunning Dillon for nearly the entire race. Although his 17th-place finishing position was the best of his career at Sonoma, he still didn't actually run very well as his average running position was 24th, and his average running position at Chicago of 25th was even worse. Really, all this proves is how single-race finishing results have little to do with how drivers are actually running. Despite the fact that he was actually a top ten points scorer at Sonoma because he scored points in both stages, he still only ranks 31st in the championship nearly 100 points behind his teammate A.J. Allmendinger, and it's unlikely he will beat John Hunter Nemechek to make the final of the tournament.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
July 13, 2025
For a second race weekend in a row, Shane van Gisbergen is the heavy favorite to win the NASCAR Cup Series race. Last week at the Chicago Street Course, Michael McDowell looked like he could contend with SVG, but once McDowell had his mechanical issues, van Gisbergen went on to put on a dominating effort en route to his second win of the season. Now SVG is on the pole for Sunday's Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma and is the heavy favorite to win his third race of the year. Can he get it done, though? SVG himself wasn't entirely confident after practice, saying it was a "bit of a worry" and that the No. 88 Chevrolet isn't very good--especially on the long runs. Of course, he said a similar comment after practice at Mexico City and went on to obliterate the field there. SVG should still be considered the most likely to win and dominate the race at Sonoma this weekend.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: Jeff Gluck
July 13, 2025
If you just look at finishing position, you'd think Tyler Reddick is pretty bad at Sonoma. His results in four career starts at this track are 19th, 35th, 33rd, and eighth. For one of the elite road course racers in the series, that's pretty bad. But finishing position doesn't tell the whole story. In two of those races, Reddick was running fourth before mechanical issues redetailed his day, and in terms of speed in the Next Gen era, he ranks seventh-best over those three races at Sonoma. This weekend, Reddick qualified eighth for the Toyota/Save Mart 350 and should be a solid top 10, if not top five contender. In practice on Saturday, the No. 45 Toyota ranked sixth-fastest in 10-lap average. As far as DFS goes, there are better options out there than Reddick, who is a bit pricy at $10,300 and with limited Place Differential upside, but you should still have some exposure if you're mass entering.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: Jayski
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