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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday, May 20th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Red Sox vs. Padres
The Red Sox take on the Padres on Saturday, May 20th 2023 at PETCO Park, San Diego. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Boston Red Sox (25-20) vs. San Diego Padres (20-25)
- Date: Saturday, May 20th 2023
- Time: 10:10 ET
- Venue: PETCO Park, San Diego
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Red Sox vs. Padres
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Boston Red Sox - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Boston Red Sox travel to take on the San Diego Padres with a record of 25-20, placing them 5th in the AL East. Through 19 road contests, the Red Sox come in with a mark of 10-9.
Boston currently has an above .500 record against the runline. This mark has come while being favored 17 times in 45 games. The team has an over/under record of 30-14, with an average betting line of 9.
Starting for the Red Sox will be Chris Sale, with an overall record of 3-2. Chris Sale will be looking to bring down an ERA of 5.40. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .257 against the left-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep six times against Chris Sale, who has a WOBA allowed of .342. With a total of 12 walks, Sale has a WHIP of 1.27.
Boston enters play averaging 5.6 runs per game, placing them 3rd in the MLB. The Red Sox have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .271 ranks 2nd. The team has also been strong in the power department, having hit 57 home runs which is 10th. Throughout the season, Boston's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 2nd best OBP of .341.
San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The San Diego Padres come into this road contest vs Boston with a below .500 record (20-25). In the NL West division standings, the team ranks 4th. San Diego has had their problems at home, going just 11-14 at PETCO Park.
Despite being the favorite in 28 of their 45 games, San Diego's record against the runline is only 20-25. The team has an over/under record of 14-29, with an average betting line of 9.
The Padres will send Joe Musgrove to the mound with an overall record of 1-1. Compared to other starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 6.63. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.288). So far, Musgrove has given up five home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .386. Musgrove's WHIP of 1.63 comes along with a total of eight walks allowed.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for San Diego, as they are the 27th-ranked scoring team, averaging 3.8 runs per game. Together, the Padres offense has the 30th-ranked batting average, at .225. In terms of home runs, San Diego ranks 18th, with a total of 47 long balls. San Diego's overall OBP of .315 puts them 18th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Red Sox vs. Padres
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Boston, the Padres are the betting favorite at -130 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 56.52%. The MLB preditive model shows San Diego having a strong performance at the plate and has identified the best bet to take San Diego on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Padres Moneyline
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