X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

NFL DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings - Dolphins vs Bengals TNF Showdown

Tee Higgins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Welcome back, RotoBallers! It's so nice that football is back, and we're back at it again with some Week 4 Thursday Night Football DFS lineups. After a run-heavy, relatively boring TNF matchup last week in Cleveland, we should see more of a fun, pass-heavy matchup this week as the 3-0 Miami Dolphins head up to Cincinnati to take on the 1-2 reigning AFC Champion Cincinnati Bengals. 

We've been pretty successful so far with these showdown slates and hopefully, that trend continues from last year into this year. Most of us started our fantasy journeys with football, so it's always nice when it comes around and it's always a shame for it to come to an end. Thanks to the advanced analytics of today, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's make some coin this season gang, and let's get right to it.

I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Dolphins vs. Bengals NFL DFS showdown slate on September 29th. These NFL DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel. If you have any questions, you can follow me on Twitter @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts at any time you'd like!

Featured Promo: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off and win big in 2022. Exclusive access to our Premium articles, 15 lineup tools, new Team Sync platform, Lineup Optimizer, Premium DFS tools and cheat sheets, and much more! Sign Up Now!

 

MVP/Captain Plays

Tua Tagovailoa - QB, $14,100 (DK), $15,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 925 passing yards, eight touchdowns, two interceptions.
  • 2022 Offensive Pass DVOA: 53.5% (3rd), per Football Outsiders.
  • 2021 Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: -14.5% (8th), per Football Outsiders.

I'll start off the slate here with Tua Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa deserves a ton of credit just for getting the Dolphins to 3-0, with impressive wins over the Ravens and Bills in back-to-back weeks. I'm still not 100% on the Tua train, but I can't deny what he's done through the first three weeks. He has ample weapons at his disposal and the Dolphins' offense projects to a 17.38% passing DVOA, a respectable projection. I expect fireworks in this one, and as long as Tua plays I believe he's a viable 1.5x option on both sites.

Tee Higgins - WR, $12,300 (DK), $11,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 19 targets, 13 receptions, 191 receiving yards, one touchdown.
  • Individual Matchup (vs Nik Needham): 9% targets per route, 70% catch rate, 0.22 fantasy points per route, per PFF.

While a lot of folks will look at Ja'Marr Chase in this spot, rightfully so, he is the most expensive player on the DraftKings slate. Tee Higgins has arguably looked as impressive as Chase, not only in this season but dating back to the beginning of last season. While he only has one receiving touchdown on the season, it very well could have been two following his remarkable catch against the Jets on Sunday. It's worth noting that the Bengals have a projected WR1 (Chase) DVOA of -21.87% in this one, and a projected WR2 (Higgins) DVOA of -0.52%. I'll certainly have shares of both, but I lean towards Higgins as well as Tyler Boyd in this specific matchup.

Other Captains/MVPs: Tyreek Hill, Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon, Jaylen Waddle, Tyler Boyd

 

Want more NFL DFS tools and content? Our NFL Premium package includes our DFS Cheat Sheets, Research Station, Lineup Optimizer, access to our Premium Slack Chatrooms where members can chat with our NFL analysts, and so much more. Check out this big win from RotoBaller's RealTalkRaph using our Premium tools - join in on the winning!

 

DFS Flex Plays

Joe Burrow - QB, $9,600 (DK), $15,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 812 passing yards, six touchdowns, four interceptions.
  • 2022 Offensive Pass DVOA: -9.2% (26th), per Football Outsiders.
  • 2021 Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: 34.2% (29th), per Football Outsiders.

Throwing Higgins the ball will be quarterback Joe Burrow. After a disappointing 0-2 start to the season, the Bengals bounced back on Sunday and easily took care of the Jets behind Burrow's 275 passing yards and three touchdowns. Similar to Tua, Burrow has a plethora of weapons at his disposal and should be able to pick apart the Dolphins secondary that ranks bottom five in defensive pass DVOA through the first three weeks.

Tyreek Hill - WR, $10,800 (DK), $14,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 29 targets, 21 receptions, 317 receiving yards, two touchdowns.
  • Individual Matchup (vs Chidobe Awuzie): 21% targets per route, 41% catch rate, 0.16 fantasy points per route, per PFF.

There are a lot of expensive players on tonight's slate, and I believe that it'll be important to mix and match carefully. In lineups where I'm running either Tua or Higgins in the 1.5x spots, I really like Tyreek Hill in the flex. The narrative this week has been Tyreek Hill getting "revenge" on Bengals CB Eli Apple. While PFF currently has Hill seeing the most snaps against Chidobe Awuzie, they do have him lining up for 13 snaps against Apple. Tua came out and said that if there's a one-on-one matchup between the two, he'll be getting Tyreek the ball. I'll run with this narrative and confidently back Hill to have a bounce-back week.

Other Flex Options: Ja'Marr Chase, Tyler Boyd, Joe Mixon, Chase Edmonds, Samaje Perine, Jaylen Waddle

 

DFS Value Plays

Raheem Mostert - RB, $4,400 (DK), $8,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 24 attempts, 78 rushing yards, six targets, four receptions, 44 receiving yards
  • 2022 Offensive Rush DVOA: -3.3% (15th), per Football Outsiders.
  • 2021 Opposing Rush DVOA: -17.6% (9th), per Football Outsiders.

I'll mostly be fading the run game in this one as I believe both teams will be taking shots back and forth with their elite wide receiver cores. I will, however, be taking a look at Raheem Mostert as a value play. While Mostert hasn't seen any goal line work (within the 5yd line), he is playing about 50% of the snaps and has a higher attempt% and red zone attempt% than "RB1" Chase Edmonds. He's too cheap to not give a look on this slate, and I imagine he'll be one of the chalkier plays in his price tier.

Evan McPherson - K, $3,600 (DK), $9,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 7/9 field goals made/attempted, 3/4 extra points made/attempted

I'll finish the slate off with a kicker, of course, Evan McPherson. Kickers always have a solid floor on these showdown slates and with most of the players we want to target pretty expensive, we'll have to come up with value somewhere. McPherson has been reliable, getting three field goal attempts in each game through the first three weeks. He's also knocked down a 50+ yard attempt in two of the three games, including a 59-yarder back in Week 1. I feel like McPherson has a path to be optimal regardless of how the game script plays out, and is cheap enough, especially on DraftKings, to be worth a look.

Other Value Plays: Hayden Hurst, Jason Sanders, Cedrick Wilson

Enjoy your night and good luck everyone! 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Kirill Kaprizov2 hours ago

Extends Point Streak In Loss
Alex Ovechkin2 hours ago

Scores Twice In Victory
Joe Jiménez2 hours ago

Braves Acquire Joe Jimenez From Tigers
Xander Bogaerts3 hours ago

Padres Agree With Xander Bogaerts On 11-Year Deal
Tage Thompson3 hours ago

Scores Five Goals In Dominant Victory
Tyler Herro4 hours ago

Probable For Meeting With The Clippers
Buddy Hield4 hours ago

Scores 26 Points In Loss
Tyrese Haliburton4 hours ago

Plays Well In Return From Injury
Giannis Antetokounmpo4 hours ago

Has Game-High 35 Points In Win
Kevin Durant5 hours ago

Nearly Misses A Triple-Double On Wednesday
Kyrie Irving5 hours ago

Scores 33 Points On Wednesday
Julius Randle5 hours ago

Dominant In Win Over Hawks
Romeo Langford7 hours ago

Probable For Thursday
Dansby Swanson7 hours ago

Four Teams Showing Serious Interest In Dansby Swanson
Andrew Wiggins7 hours ago

To Miss Next Two Games
Dejounte Murray7 hours ago

Won't Return On Wednesday
Chris Paul7 hours ago

Returns On Wednesday
Dejounte Murray7 hours ago

Questionable To Return On Wednesday
Xander Bogaerts8 hours ago

Six Teams Talking With Xander Bogaerts
Myles Turner8 hours ago

To Play Wednesday
Tyrese Haliburton8 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Javonte Green8 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday
Mike Conley8 hours ago

Won't Return On Wednesday
Alex Caruso8 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Ziaire Williams8 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Pittsburgh Pirates9 hours ago

Pirates Take Jose Hernandez In Rule 5 Draft
Kevin Porter9 hours ago

Jr. In Doubt To Play On Thursday
Lauri Markkanen9 hours ago

Has Been Ruled Out Against Warriors
Ryan Noda9 hours ago

A's Pluck Ryan Noda Away From The Dodgers
Herbert Jones9 hours ago

Will Not Play On Wednesday Night
Boston Red Sox9 hours ago

Red Sox Reel In Masataka Yoshida On Five-Year Deal
Cole Hamels9 hours ago

Wants To Pitch In 2023
Josh Jacobs9 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday Night Football
New York Mets9 hours ago

Mets Remain Involved With Kodai Senga
Carlos Rodón9 hours ago

Yankees Remain In On Carlos Rodon
Mike Williams9 hours ago

Set To Practice This Week
Carlos Correa10 hours ago

Giants Have Talked With Carlos Correa
Thad Ward10 hours ago

Nationals Select Thad Ward With First Rule 5 Pick
Zach Hyman10 hours ago

Set To Return Wednesday
James Van Riemsdyk10 hours ago

James van Riemsdyk Returns To Flyers Lineup
Craig Smith10 hours ago

Back For Bruins Wednesday
James Reimer10 hours ago

Misses Another Game
Nico Sturm10 hours ago

Back In Action Wednesday
Jack Eichel10 hours ago

Sits Out A Second Game
Filip Chytil11 hours ago

Ready To Go Wednesday
Jimmy Garoppolo11 hours ago

A Long Shot To Return In Playoffs
Joe Mixon12 hours ago

A Full Participant In Practice
Los Angeles Rams12 hours ago

Aaron Donald Ruled Out For Thursday Night
Trevor Lawrence13 hours ago

Expects To Play In Week 14
Brooks Raley13 hours ago

Mets Acquire Brooks Raley From Rays
Casey Sadler13 hours ago

Mariners Sign Casey Sadler To Minors Deal
Tucker Barnhart13 hours ago

Pirates Interested In Tucker Barnhart
Seth Lugo13 hours ago

Drawing A Lot Of Interest To Start
Courtland Sutton13 hours ago

Unlikely To Play In Week 14
Xander Bogaerts13 hours ago

Red Sox In Heavy Discussions With Xander Bogaerts
David Njoku14 hours ago

Ready To Play
Aledmys Díaz14 hours ago

Aledmys Diaz Agrees With The A's
Kenley Jansen14 hours ago

Agrees With The Red Sox
Willson Contreras14 hours ago

Cardinals, Willson Contreras Agree On Five-Year Deal
José Quintana15 hours ago

Jose Quintana Chooses The Mets
Buffalo Bills15 hours ago

Von Miller Undergoes Surgery, Out For The Year
Mark Ingram II15 hours ago

Likely Done For The Season
Trevor Lawrence15 hours ago

Up In The Air For Week 14
Tua Tagovailoa16 hours ago

Expected To Be Limited In Practice
Davis Mills16 hours ago

Texans Going Back To Davis Mills At QB
Magomed Ankalaev16 hours ago

Can Realize His UFC Dream
Jan Blachowicz16 hours ago

Set For Title Redemption
Jared Gordon16 hours ago

Has An Opportunity For A Huge Victory
Paddy Pimblett16 hours ago

Set To Showcase In UFC 282
Matt Murray19 hours ago

Records A 44-Save Shutout
Pierre-Luc Dubois19 hours ago

Extends Hot Streak With Three Assists
Anze Kopitar19 hours ago

Collects Three Assists
Sidney Crosby19 hours ago

Extends Point Streak With Two Goals
Dougie Hamilton19 hours ago

Picks Up Three Points Tuesday
Vitek Vanecek19 hours ago

Records His Second Shutout
Dricus Du Plessis19 hours ago

Hoping To Continue To Rack Up Wins
Darren Till19 hours ago

Looking For A Key Victory At UFC 282
Adam Pelech19 hours ago

Exits With Injury
Ilia Topuria19 hours ago

Meets Fellow Top-15 Undefeated Featherweight
Bryce Mitchell19 hours ago

Set To Open UFC 282 Main Card
Nathan MacKinnon20 hours ago

Out For Four Weeks
Greg Dortch1 day ago

Cardinals Hopeful Rondale Moore, Greg Dortch Return This Week
Jimmy Garoppolo1 day ago

Will Avoid Surgery, Could Return In Playoffs
Baker Mayfield1 day ago

Claimed By The Rams
Shane Wright1 day ago

Set To Re-Enter Seattle Lineup
Sean Monahan1 day ago

Questionable For Tuesday
Derick Brassard1 day ago

Rejoins Senators Lineup
David Njoku2 days ago

Browns Expect David Njoku To Play In Week 14
Lamar Jackson2 days ago

Dealing With PCL Knee Sprain
Courtland Sutton2 days ago

Deemed Day-To-Day
Hayden Hurst2 days ago

Doubtful For Week 14
Lamar Jackson3 days ago

Week-To-Week With Knee Injury
Kevin Holland3 days ago

Takes The Loss In Saturday's Main Event
Stephen Thompson3 days ago

Earns Victory In Main Event
Bryan Barberena3 days ago

Unable To Secure A Win Saturday
Rafael Dos Anjos3 days ago

Rafael dos Anjos Takes Co-Main Event By Submission
Matt Schnell3 days ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Takes The Loss Saturday
Matheus Nicolau3 days ago

Continues Run With TKO Victory
Tai Tuivasa3 days ago

Suffers Second Straight Loss
Sergei Pavlovich3 days ago

Earns Fifth Straight Victory With Knockout Win
Jack Hermansson3 days ago

Ends 2022 With Losing Record
Roman Dolidze3 days ago

Makes Most Of Opportunity With TKO Victory
Kyle Daukaus3 days ago

Has His Night Come To An Early End
Eryk Anders3 days ago

Gets It Done With A Second TKO Performance
Kevin Holland5 days ago

Hoping To Rebound With Main-Event Victory