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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Houston Astros vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday, August 14th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Astros vs. Marlins
The Astros take on the Marlins on Monday, August 14th 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Houston Astros (68-51) vs. Miami Marlins (62-57)
- Date: Monday, August 14th 2023
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Astros vs. Marlins
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Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 68-51, the Houston Astros travel to take on the Miami Marlins, ranked 2nd in the AL West. When playing away from home, the Astros have played well posting a record of 35-25.
Houston has been favored in 70.6% of their games, resulting in an above .500 record against the runline at 61-58. The team has an over/under record of 58-58, with an average betting line of 8.
For Houston, Framber Valdez gets the start, currently holding a record of 9-7. Coming into play, Houston Astros has put together an ERA of 3.30. Currently, opponents are batting just .227 against the left-hander. So far, Valdez has given up 13 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .275. Valdez has a WHIP of 1.09, with 35 walks allowed.
On the season, Houston boasts the 7th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Astros are batting a healthy .251, placing them 11th in the league. The team has also been strong in the power department, having hit 153 home runs which is 8th. Throughout the season, Houston's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 9th best OBP of .324.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Miami Marlins host the Houston Astros, they have a record of 62-57, placing them 3rd in the NL East. On the season, the Marlins have an above .500 home record, going 36-25 at loanDepot Park.
Miami's record against the runline sits at 54-65 while being favored 59 times in 119 games. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 54-62.
For Miami, Braxton Garrett gets the start, currently holding a record of 6-3. Across 23 appearances, Braxton Garrett has a combined ERA of 4.08. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .255 against the left-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep 15 times against Braxton Garrett, who has a WOBA allowed of .314. Garrett's WHIP of 1.19 comes along with a total of 19 walks allowed.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Miami's offense, as they are the 24th-ranked scoring team at 4.1. Although the team has struggled to drive in base runners, the Marlins offense comes into this matchup ranked 3rd in the league, at .262. So far, home runs have been elusive for the team, as they rank 25th in the league, at 111 home runs. Up to this point, Miami has been getting on base at a rate of .318, placing them 12th in all of baseball.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Astros vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Houston and Miami, the Astros are the betting favorite at -138 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 57.98%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Astros on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Astros Moneyline -138
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